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Thank you very much, ok actually I'd like you to ignore and forget this technology here for a moment this running here and think about the moon
謝謝各位, 首先請暫時忽略這個裝置, 我要各位稍微想像一下月亮的樣子
Think moon plays an incredibly important role in Chinese culture
從古至今,月亮在中國歷代文化扮演著相當重要的角色
it defines the calendar
我們使用的月曆是根據月亮制定
it also in the source of inspiration for thousands of poets, artists and writers
月亮帶給詩人、藝術家、作家們靈感的來源
So, in ancient times to take the idea of the moon and express it
古人從月亮得到啟發,將想法發揚光大
This's quite a complex process
其實是個滿複雜的過程
and it was done using oracle bones
他們利用甲骨文
producing this kind of artifact
作出有考古價值的工具
it was very difficult, and it was magical and mysterious process
製造過程神秘之外,還具有相當的難度
and it was confined to a very very small proportion of population
而且只受限於少數人所知
and it was used to hold things like ceremonies
它用來舉行各種儀式和祭典
so people use the flow of information
人類將資訊的交流加以操控
and a form of control and it was very limited access
侷限於少數人獲及
because it was so difficult to produce
這類史前器具的製造難度太高
You think about what happened when pen and brush and ink and paper came along
一開始,人類擁有筆具、刷具、墨水和紙的時候
Suddendly, open up the ability for people to express their ideas to a much broader audience
人類突然能自由的表達思想、傳遞給更多讀者
it also generated new art forms, calligraphy, painting, etc
這些文具也創造出新的藝術形式,例如:書法、繪畫等等•••
and provided a route for people to join the government through examinations
開創了人們加入政府的途徑
and through writings of history and things like that
例如考選制度、編撰歷史等方式
So slowly, the number of people who are able to express their ideas increased
漸漸的,能隨心所欲表達思想的人也越來越多
Print, was a major revolution
印刷術便是其中一項革命性的突破
you think about Chinese printing machine in particular
中國史上的雕版印刷
very complex devices because the numbers of the characters
光看文字的多寡就得知它極為複雜
Actually setting of a press for a book took a long time
事實上,要列印一本書的設置上就要花費好一陣工夫
and it required a huge amount of investment
也需要耗盡相當的心力與投資
in terms of the machinery, in terms of the type setting
在機器的設置上
and actually distributing the books
要讓書籍廣流市面又是另一項挑戰
So again, you had a small group of people who are very much in control
所以這些技術在生產上
of the means of production, at the same time
只侷限於少數人
you're expanding the overall size of the market and the readership by making it more broadly available
但同時,業者又希望擴大市場,讓更多讀者接觸資訊
Now, along came the computer, things have changed quite considerably
如今,電腦的出現讓事情有了轉機
now we can all express our feelings about the moon, using our computer
任何人皆能自在地用電腦表達想法
We can take graphically, we can write, we can do match-ups all kinds of things
可能藉由圖畫、寫作、各種方法
and we can broadcast it to an absolutely global audience
來實現全球性的傳播
the same time however, what that has meant is it increased the pressure for innovation
同時,電腦的出現也加速了技術革新
everyone now can produce on their computer
如今每個人都能自行用電腦來開發技術
hundreds of millions of people worldwide
世界上
people can access on the internet
數以百萬的人都能上網路傳達資訊
so it's more and more pressure for us to create
產生更多不得不創新的壓力
better, more interesting, more compelling content
急於作出更好、更有趣、更引人入勝的內容
same time, is putting pressure on traditional publishing models
同時也帶給傳統出版業更多壓迫
before a tv stations or a magazine was licensed to print many
像早期雜誌能一次性大批的印刷
and then suddenly it's not so easy now
突然間難度又加深了
because so many people could produce content
因為有數以萬計的人在進行同樣的過程
now it seems a new revolution for touch on tablet or smartphones
現階段控觸式平板、智慧型手機有了革命性的突破
and you see a company revolution in terms of again in the way you interact and generate content
有些公司為了趕上趨勢,紛紛研究互動跟生產內容
through for example mobile apps, on your phone and on your tablet
藉由你的手機和平板電腦上的程式
so the audience is increasing pretty close now to a billion smartphone users
可以觸及的使用人數高達上億
and that will continue to grow and computer users will also continue to increase as well
這個可觀的數目跟電腦使用者將持續增加
at the same time, the barriers of entry continuing to go down
跟入門的門檻成為反比
because more and more of us can do it
因為現今競爭者眾
So, a lot of people begin to wonder what's the next big trend
我們都在猜測下個世界級的趨勢為何
Last five years in technology this tremendous growth in smartphones
過去五年來,智慧型手機有相當激烈的突破
markets have come from no where
它的市場佔有率從乏人問津
suddenly you see all the excitement say they're on their iPhone5 which was launched last week
到如同雨後春筍般,人手一支iPhone5
and in the sense of disappointment there was no wow factor that got people really excited
智慧型手機這塊市場也逐日喪失新鮮度
and that shows, really, the revolution, the technology,
這些都顯示了科技技術的革新
has raised a certain level of maturity
其成熟度又日亦上升的趨勢
So, what is the next big thing
那麼,究竟下一波趨勢是什麼
we believe the next big thing is actually not just one big thing
我們相信,下一波趨勢無獨有偶
it's gonna be millions of little things
它將是數百萬計的新事物
and what's gonna make that possible is 3D printing
其中一項最具潛力的是3D列印
now 3D printing has been around for quite a while now
事實上3D列印已經存在好一段時日了
in the background, going on, it was sort of invented in the University of Bath by a professor there
早期由巴斯大學一名教授所研發
and then companies like MakerBot in the US who's started to work to popularize the technology
經由美國公司MakerBot加以推廣
so now in a situation where a 3D printer costs for consumers probably around $2000
一台3D列印機器要價近2000美元
in another words, it's pretty much the same price the printers used to cost through pc network, creating one for your home
也就是說,跟早期的影印機是同等級的價格
and you can see the price will continue to go down in the future
而且你會發現,3D列印的價格將會持續下降
so it's gonna become a truly, accessable technology for everyone
日後會成為垂手可得的一門技術
so what's 3D printing does? it gives the idea, it gives the promise that everyone can be a maker
3D列印是什麼?它提供一個你我都能製造東西的概念
tomorrow I know at TED is also talking about maker, but using a 3D printer we can print our own clothes maybe, we can print our own ornaments
明天在TED,也有一場關於製造的演說。那麼經由3D列印我們也能印出衣服、裝飾品
or we can do our own devices like this
或者是這一類的儀器
this is just some of the examples that we've done
這些只是我們舉的一些範例
so you see you can make things for yourself
由此可見,你可以自己創造東西
you wanna be a little bit more creative, you can actually make things, we can maybe sell things
若是想與眾不同,甚至可以銷售你印制的東西
think of it is perfect just came in time build to order, somebody sees it, they like it
對應客製化的時代實在太方便了;若有人看見他們喜歡的
you send a file to a printer and bam, it's done
可以寄檔案給印刷機─"蹦"的一聲,就大功告成了
all they purchase is the file, you share the file with them, they print it on their printer
他們只需要購買互享的檔案
so opens up this tremendous opportunity
也催生了像是Kickstarter這樣的網站
and it also opens up the possibility for website like Kickstarter, I don't know if you're familiar with it
不曉得你們有沒有聽說過,若你有什麼想法
but if you have an idea you gonna present your idea and people will fund the idea
他們提供執行的方式,提供款項給你們呈請的計劃
so actually have this chance to create an amazing business all through 3D printing
也開拓了3D列印的康莊大道
but actually, yes, everyone could be a maker
然而,雖然每個人都能製造東西
but it requires a team to make it really happen
不過還是需要團隊的力量來達成目標
a couple of weeks ago at VIA we hosted together, we used some ventures
幾個禮拜前我們主辦了一場會議
and the first hardware, software business started to invent in the world, not just in Taiwan
介紹當初應用在全球業界的硬體軟體
and we had over hundred people come and we put them into teams and came out with ideas
幾百個人以分組討論的方式進行參與
what kind of products for the future they'd like to create
藉由腦力激盪來思考具有未來性的產品
and what was very clear is it requires multiple disciplines
像這類活動需要很多紀律
if you are a designer, you are not necessarily a manufacturer
一個設計師不一定懂得製造
if you're a software engineer and having work in the industry for over twenty years
也許你在業界當了超過二十年的軟體工程師
I can tell you this that it doesn't mean you understand hardware
但也不表示你就完全瞭解硬體了
you need to be able to bring all thess skills together into a team to make it happen
要將這些技能融會貫通,這個團隊才能發揮效用
VIA, we've in the technology business for a long time
VIA在業界已有相當長的一段時間
and we mainly focus on creating platforms
我們集力於創造平台
at TEDxShanghai a few months ago we introduced this which is called APC and it's a $49 pc the first one world used Android
幾個月前在TEDx上海我們展示了這款美金49塊的安卓作業系統
it was about creating a platform and the time we looked at it and there was no case, why was there no case
有沒有人猜測它為何少了外殼呢?其實都跟創立平台有關
one of the reasons is we want people to think and build the cases themselves
因為我們希望大家自己動手創作
and one thing they can do actually is to use the 3D printer to create the case and prototype it
使用3D列印,我們就能作出外殼的雛形
so what we put together here is our 3D printing platform
你們看見的這台就是3D列印的裝置
as you can see, it's kind of a messy process here
看起來有點複雜
you've a got a pc, you've got a motherboard and you've also got the printer itself
這台裝置需要一台電腦、主機板跟列印機
and all these things to work together, so we're focusing integrate and make it smooth and make it easy for people to carry out
組合這些配備之後就能簡單上手
it even has some software controls we put in there which make the processing and the productions the files much easier
我們內建順暢的軟體控制配備,讓製造過程簡單化
as I said earlier, what's important also is not just about technology
如同我所說的,這不僅僅是科技上的突破
it's not just creating a platform
也不僅僅是為了創作出平台
it's about creating an ecosystem in a culture around it
而是關係到整個文化的生態系統
a culture that encourages, collaboration,
一種鼓勵相互合作的文化
Chinese poet used to get inspirations from the moon along probably, drinking few glasses of wine
中國歷代詩人閒來獨自小酌幾杯,藉由眺望明月獲取靈感
And unfortunately, that's not the model for ths kind of innovation
可惜的是,我們今日可不能依樣畫葫蘆
Much is there, I'd enjoy that. it's about bringing people together from business disciplines
如今我們講求的是整體的商業紀律
and figuring out how they can all fit into the picture and contribute towards it
需要各路人馬運籌帷幄,一同朝大方向邁進
now Taiwan it actually has an amazing infrastructure
實際上,臺灣擁有世界級的電腦基礎工業
for making this happen, it's got a world leading pc industry
完善的組織和硬體
IT hardware, and if anything held it back
若有任何呆滯不前的情況出現
in my opinion, it's always relied on Intel and Microsoft to do the thinking
我認為也得依賴英特爾、微軟來思索解決之道
and that was ok when the pc industry is really growing
這些在電腦工業發展蓬勃初期,還不是什麼大問題
but it now suddenly you gotta think something different, we have a very powerful IT industry
但如今大家必須轉換思維
a growing software and cloud service capability
蛻變並開發出更新穎的軟體和雲端服務模式
a creative community we can all see today
好比現今那些創意的社群
an entrepreneur spirit that's really driven the growth of this island
企業家創業精神驅策著福爾摩莎的發展
very very strong manufacutring capability, it's the government that encourages this kind of environment
政府也驅動著臺灣的高製造業效率
and finally, it's exciting to see the emergence of collaboration spaces where people coming together to do this kind of thing
看見各路好手凝聚力量實在令人興奮
so 3D inspiration is about what
所以,3D的觸發是什麼?
it's about taking an idea, something simple like this, it may actually look quite simple
簡單來說,它是啟動看似簡單的靈感
this is a moon, which we printed earlier
這是我們早先列印好的月球
it's about taking that idea and turning into an product
把靈感賦諸實現就是3D列印的觸發
now, to begin with that product requires a simple product
我們可以先從簡單的物體著手
it could be smaller, maybe be some jewelries or it could be a paper weigh in the office
它也許輕如鴻毛,也可能是珠寶、首飾、紙鎮般的物品
could maybe in a different color, could have a character on it, or logos all kinds of things
可以作出不同顏色,不同字體跟商標
so first just simple productisation
一開始我們先作出原型
second now it produce a wave to the prototyping
接著,再把原型樣版化
for storification and socialization
讓它得以保存,加以社會化
where in the hot phases of internet and things what is gonna happen in the future
3D列印的未來究竟將會如何發展?
how we're gonna embed the internet
要如何把3D列印嵌入網際網路
into everyone device, it provides a perfect vehicle for making that happen
進而發展成每天的應用
just thinking in the future, you adding that to connectivity
未來,我們將把3D技術與網路和感應設備結合
you adding senses, so maybe you could have environmental information, weather information, picking that up
也許能用於獲得各類環境資訊,如:氣象
you adding video capability or you add in audio
連結錄像或音訊等其它各類各樣的功能
and suddenly you got a product roadmap, you've got a story around the product
產品規劃藍圖由此而生
you've also got a clear product identity build around the original concept
你也得以將你的概念轉化成清晰、明確的產品
you can also share that concept, share the ip and files with people working on similar things
可以跟同業分享這個概念、網路位址跟檔案
So, this is the kind of process that we need to be thinking about in the future creating the idea, prototype it
現階段,我們應該集思廣益,構造未來藍圖,開發原型
start with the simple stuff, get the feedback from the market
從簡單的物體入手,獲得市場回饋
from that build the story, build the roadmap, socialize it by getting it connected and sensification
藉此建立產品故事性,規劃藍圖,運用連結將其社會化,並加上感應設備
this all may sound a little fanciful right now, but the speed the technology is moving it
乍聽之下有點天馬行空,但是憑著科技進展的速程
it's gonna happen very fast, I said also, it's about collaboration
這一切近在咫尺當然這也跟協作有著絕對的關係
no longer an individual can have a great idea, it needs a team
單打獨鬥是不管用的,我們需要絕對的團隊精神
it needs people who got capability in all different areas
現階段是需要個領域菁英集思廣益的時刻
perhaps before it wasn't quite necessarily
以往,「合作」可能不是非常必要的過程
then it's prototype, the great thing about the web is that if you have a lousy idea
而「做出樣本原型」這些事也改變了,如今,我們能盡情的發想創意,就算點子很差也無妨
you don't have to spend million dollars finding out that nobody wants to buy it
因為公司不需要花好幾百萬作出模型後,才發現根本沒人想買
you can put in design and people will tell you
你只需要把設計放在網路就已見分暁
that's how prototyping can help
這是作原型的優點
and then the next stage is actually manufaturing, as I mentioned earlier, Taiwan has that space
再者就是製造過程如同我先前強調過,臺灣有這樣的能耐
it's got thousands of great manufacturers who can turn a product into
擁有上千個技術純熟的製造廠商,能把概念付諸行動
who can turn an idea into mass produced product
將想法大量生產
and finally it's about morphing, taking it beyond the original idea, into all different areas
最終目標就是讓想法發揚光大,融入不同領域中
so, just to finish, we are back to the moon, while I've been printing, and you can see how it works
好的,現在我們又回到這顆月球
and we also have a demo over there when it's finished
演講過後,那邊還有讓各位參考的流程跟示範
but this is just a start, think the potential of this technology is enormous and it really gives an opporunity to shoot for the moon in the future. Thank you.
這顆月球只是一個起點;我相信這項科技的潛力無窮,將在未來帶給我們無限的商機。謝謝各位