Ifairlinesweren't having a badenoughtimetobe a baggagehandlersatHeathrowhavetestedpositivetoday, whichsurelybegsthequestion.
Couldthevirushavesurvived a journeyintheluggageholdhere I amonthePrincessCruiseshipandfinallyspare a thoughtforthosegiantvesselsofindulgenceturnedPetridishesofquestionablequarantine.
WitnessanairdropoftestingkitsontotheGrandPrincessmeanderingoffCaliforniafloatinghurted 3500 passengersandcrew, including 142 Brits.
Noneinfectedsofar.
But a passengeron a previousvoyagehasdiedfromthevirus, andthatwasreasonenoughtoconfineeveryonehereonboard.
Yeah, I thinkit's demonstratingthatpotentialinItaly, inIranlookingatwhat's happeninghereintheUKAreweon a similartrajectory?
Well, I don't liketomakepredictions.
I thinkit's uptosociety's howtheywillrespondtothevarious.
YoucanlookatplaceslikeSingaporeandHongKong.
SingaporehaditsfirstcaseonJanuary 23rd.
Yesterdaytheyhadgottenupto, I think, about 115 cases.
SoifyouwereintheUKviewersintheUKoversixweeksandbasicallytheyhavebeenablethroughtheirpublichealthinterventionsthroughthepublichealthresponseforcontacttracingisolationofcasesandthroughengagingthepublic, theyhavebeenabletokeepthevirusundercontrolWell, giventherateofincreasethatwe'reseeingnowinthe U.
Thevirushasbeencirculatinghereforsometimeand I thinkthegovernmentdoesrecognizethecriticalityofthesituation.
I thinkthat I actuallythinkChris, Woodyandhiscolleaguesairdoing a goodjobatcommunicatingtherisktothepublic.
I don't thinkthey'reminimizingthethreat.
I thinktheyrecognizethepotentialofthevirustoeoverallandcertainlyrelativetosomeothercountries.
I thinktheUKisdoing a goodjob.
Isthere a danger, though, ofanoverreactiongivenwhenyoulookatthescaleoffludeathsworldwideupto 600,000 yearandyoudon't shutdownpublictransportnetworkstostoppeoplegettingtheflu?
I don't thinkwe'redealingwiththeflufromwhatscientistsknowaboutthisvirussofar.
Whatconcernsyoumostaboutit?
I thinkthemostconcerningthingaboutthisvirusisthecombinationofinfectiousnessandtheabilitytocauseseverediseaseweredeathandwehavenotsince 1918 theSpanishflu, theSpanishfluseen a virusthatcombinedthosetwoqualitiesinthesamewayanddoyoubelievethe W H O figureof 3.4% mortalityrate?
Because, I mean, theUKputsit a 1% roughlyinsomerespects.
Ifitisbetween 1% and 3.4% itreallydoesn't matterwhatafterthedecimalpoint.
I thinkwhatwe'reseeingis a virusthatismany, manytimesmorelethalthanfluandrightnow, a populationthatiscompletelyvulnerabletoitandthatwe'reseeingitsabilitytoexplode.
I don't thinkit's a crazyanalogytocomparethistowardwarto a lotofpeoplemightbereallysurprised, ifnotsortofvaguelyinsulted, thatyou'recomparingthisto a warWorldWartwo.
Well, I don't w h o isusingthosekindsoftermsintalkingaboutwhat's requiredtomobilizepeople, andit's becausetheyhaveseenwhatthisvirusiscapableofdoing.
Doyouagreethere's nohopeoffsecuring a vaccineandrollingthatoutcrosspopulationintimeforthisoutbreak?
Wedon't seeanywaythat a vaccinecanbeavailablemuchmorerapidlythan 12 to 18 months.
Andandevenifitweretobeavailablein 12 to 18 months, thatwouldliterallybeintheworldrecordfordevelopinganddelivering a vaccineandthevaccinethatwouldbecomeavailablein 12 to 18 months.
Thesupplywouldbesuchthatwewouldneed, I think, ethicallytoprioritizeitforthosewhowereathighestrisk.
Soifthisis a warinyourtermsis a lengthy, itis a lengthyWhenthisis a virus, it's goingtobewithusforsometime.
It's been a reallyinterestingday, withthehealthsecretarymakingsomeprettyinterestingcommentsaboutsupermarketsandstockpiling, whichhavebeanchallengedhasmoreaboutthat.
I spoketosomeonefromoneofthebiggestsupermarketchangedthismorning, andtheysaidwewere a littlebitsurprisedaboutthatbecausewe'vehadnocontactwithgovernmentwhatsoever.
Today, twoteenageboyswerearrestedonsuspicionofraciallyassaulting a Singaporeinmanfollowingtheoutbreak, I shouldtell, hasbeenspeakingto a manwhoalsoclaimshe's beingattackedbecauseoftheCoronavirus.
Earlier, I spoketotheformerbusinesssecretary, AndreaLeadsom, andbeganbyaskingherwhethershethoughtweshouldallbeinvokingtheblitzspirittobattletheCoronavirusornot.
I thinkwhatwe'vebeenveryclearaboutisthatpeopleshouldgoabouttheirusuallivesondhe, takecareoverthere, washinghandsandsoonondheforpeoplewhofeelilltoselfisolate.
But I'm notsurethat's quitethesameastheBlitzSpirits.
You a businesssecretarybeforeyouwereletgobyBorisJohnson.
Doyoufearnow?
Giventhekindofclampdowngoingonaroundtheworldthat a globalrecessionisallbutinevitable, there's a lotofevidenceof a recentslowdown.
Anyway, we'vehadtheissueswiththetradebetweenthe U.
S.
AndChina.
We'veseen a bigslowdownintheEuropeanUnion, andso, yes, I mean, Coronavirusdoesn't help.
Wesawflybycollapsethisweek.
Just a fewweeksago, asbusinesssecretary, youtweeteddelightedthatwe'vereachedagreementwithflybysshareholderstokeepthecompanyoperating, ensuringthatUKregionsremainconnected.
Doyouregretthat, giventhattherewasnoagreement, just a a possibleagreementwhichfellapart?