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  • Luxembourg is a small country. It's about 50 miles by 35 miles,

  • with just over 600,000 people living in it.

  • And here in the capital, Luxembourg City,

  • around 200,000 people commute into work every day,

  • half from outside the country,

  • but less than 20% of them travel by public transit.

  • But from Sunday, March 1st, all public transit in the entire country will be free.

  • Pretty soon, there'll be no ticket machines, unless you want an international ticket.

  • There'll be no fare dodgers, unless you count people

  • who are sneaking into the first-class train cabins that you will still have to pay for.

  • And on the face of it, free public transit seems like an easy decision.

  • Get people out of cars and into buses and trains.

  • But it's a little more complicated than that.

  • - We are the country, besides Qatar,

  • with the highest degree of cars per household, in Luxembourg,

  • and we have definitely a big problem, especially in peak hours,

  • with enormous congestion problems.

  • We have a problem also that quality-of-life in our cities, in our villages,

  • it's really worsened.

  • That comes because Luxembourg is a country where

  • you had not only the highest average of economic growth in the last 25 years,

  • but also our population growth is the highest in the European Union.

  • Having mobility behaviour that is mainly based on individual cars

  • cannot really function anymore,

  • and at the end, it's also a problem then for our economy itself.

  • - Making public transit free is not a new idea.

  • There are quite a few cities around the world who've already done it,

  • and a lot of Estonia now has free public transit for residents.

  • Luxembourg, though, is the first country to abolish fares entirely,

  • and partly that's because it can afford to do it. The country is a small, rich tax haven.

  • The thing is, public transit here is almost free already.

  • A ticket valid for a full day on every bus, tram, and train in the country is €4.

  • The whole transit network costs the government €700 million a year to operate,

  • but all the tickets sold add up to just 10% of that.

  • By comparison, London's transit network is about half-funded by fares.

  • So from the Luxembourg government's perspective,

  • there's not actually that much difference between a €4 day ticket and free transit,

  • but "free transit" is the sort of headline that gets you a lot of good publicity.

  • But hey, if transit is free, why would you want to get around by car?

  • Well, it's because the transit here isn't great.

  • It's okay, by European standards.

  • The buses and trains will get you there. I've had no problems as a tourist,

  • but the commuter lines are already overcrowded in rush hour.

  • A lot of the rolling stock is dated, and there is a litany of complaints

  • about the paths they take and how they deal with breakdowns.

  • Driving here, even with the congestion, is usually quicker and more convenient,

  • sometimes even for journeys directly between city centres.

  • - So every year, there's more and more people moving here,

  • and the infrastructure system is under a lot of strain.

  • So the needs are to make it work, not to make it free.

  • There's lots of research on this, and what comes out over and over again

  • is that the fare is not the main motivating factor.

  • The main motivating factor is comfort, reliability, and safety.

  • No one ever knows if the trains are actually going to be on time.

  • It has happened that people are standing for an hour and a half

  • on the platform waiting for the train, with no substitute buses or anything.

  • So that's an extreme case, obviously, but if one wants to be somewhere on time,

  • one has to take this into account, that these things do happen.

  • - The cities who are doing this investment into public transport,

  • into free public transport,

  • that's really the bit of cities that, from a competitive point of view,

  • will be, in the world, the winning cities.

  • Even if I say it's free to use, somebody pays it.

  • So at the end, the 700 million euros will be paid by the taxpayers in general.

  • Someone, for example, with minimum income pays no taxes.

  • So he has the public transport, really, for free,

  • but somebody who pays high taxes, he pays much more.

  • - That's an important point: for someone like me,

  • who's a tourist with a travel budget, €4 for a day pass isn't a big issue,

  • but for someone on minimum wage who has to commute an hour, or two hours

  • from wherever housing's affordable, that makes a big difference.

  • - I don't think the key social issue in Luxembourg is the price of the transit.

  • One needs to look at the housing costs.

  • The increasing prices of housing are pushing people to the border regions.

  • So it might be financially more sound to live in Belgium, or France and Germany,

  • buy a house, or rent a house, and buy a couple of cars,

  • than it would be to live here in Luxembourg and use the transit.

  • It needs investment, and it needs investment now. It's behind.

  • And so Luxembourg needs to catch up and plan for the future.

  • - You must see the free public transport additionally

  • to the investments that we are doing

  • in the improvement of the network and the quality of the public transport.

  • If you only introduce free public transport, that will change not very much behaviour.

  • It can only function if you do it combined with a complete strategy

  • that will switch from individual mobility to multi-modality,

  • so even including pedestrians, cyclists,

  • and if you invest at the same time, a lot of money, in the infrastructure of public transport,

  • so that at the end, you can combine everything.

  • We say, if we built an infrastructure, we will build it to move people and not to move cars.

  • - I'm not saying free transit is a bad thing.

  • I think it's a great idea, personally,

  • but having good, frequent, well-connected transit

  • that isn't too crowded to board is also important.

  • The question isn't as binary as "Should public transit be free?"

  • because in a utopia, of course it would be.

  • It would also be autonomous, zero-emission,

  • and it would run from anywhere to everywhere all the time.

  • But until we're in a post-scarcity society,

  • the public are paying one way or another, either through taxes or fares.

  • The more important question is about planning and long-term investment,

  • because if your bus is always late, and your train's always cancelled,

  • it doesn't matter if they're free.

Luxembourg is a small country. It's about 50 miles by 35 miles,

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