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  • If we do nothing, the Hubble Space Telescope will fall to Earth in 2024.

  • It is in an orbit roughly 560 km above the Earth and circles the Earth once every 97

  • minutes. While for most intents and purposes the Hubble Space Telescope can be considered

  • to be in space, it actually lies in what is known as the thermosphere: the largest and

  • most tenuous part of the Earth's atmosphere. The thernosphere is roughly one million times

  • less dense than the atmosphere at sea level, yet it is enough to affect the orbits of satellites

  • that fly within it.

  • Any satellites in low Earth orbit experience a small but significant resistance as they

  • fly over the planet's surface, slowing them down and decaying their orbits. If not corrected,

  • or periodically 'pushed back up' by a rocket or the Space Shuttle, the satellites at this

  • altitude are eventually doomed to fall to Earth and burn up in the atmosphere.

  • The Space Shuttle has its own engines and isn't in orbit long enough to be affected

  • by this drag but the International Space Station and the Hubble Space Telescope are affected,

  • and they must be periodically pushed into higher orbits to correct for their orbital

  • decay.

  • To complicate matters, the amount of drag on the Hubble as it orbits within the thermosphere

  • isn't constant. It varies with the 11 year sunspot cycle. As the Sun becomes more active,

  • the atmosphere of the Earth swells and reaches farther out into space than it otherwise would.

  • This increases the density of the air that Hubble must fly through, slowing it down further,

  • lowering its orbit and ultimately shortening it's lifespan.

  • Hubble has no jets or engines of any kind for propulsion, so throughout its life, it

  • has relied on the Space Shuttle to grab onto it and move it to a higher orbit.

  • Now that NASA has suspended the Shuttle program, no more launches are scheduled to service

  • the most powerful telescope ever built. The Hubble Space Telescope is on its own.

  • That doesn't mean however, that NASA has not planned for its demise. On the last servicing

  • mission, astronauts placed a ring, known as the Soft Capture Mechanism to the back end

  • of the spacecraft. This ring will give future robotic spacecraft an easy place to grab onto.

  • Because the Hubble is so large and heavy, it will not completely burn up when its orbit

  • decays and it re-enters the Earth's atmosphere. This presents the danger that pieces could

  • fall over populated areas.

  • To ensure a safe re-entry, the Hubble Robotic and De-orbit mission is building a robotic

  • spacecraft designed to grab onto that ring, attach itself to it and guide the re-entry

  • of the Hubble onto a safe trajectory.

  • While the details of when this mission will be launched is unclear, one thing IS clear:

  • with the demise of the Space Shuttle program, no more manned missions to boost the Hubble

  • into a higher orbit are imminent and any chances of saving it will probably rest with robotic

  • craft. The last days are in sight for the most important scientific instrument ever

  • constructed.

  • If we do absolutely nothing, that last day will arrive in 2024. If we have the will,

  • there is plenty of time to arrange an alternative.

  • The Hubble Space Telescope stands at the pinnacle of a pantheon of great space telescopes. It

  • has done more to advance our understanding of our place in the universe than any that

  • has come before or since, and at a cost that is microscopic compared to other budgetary

  • expenses.

  • Because of public outcry, NASA reversed a previous position not to service the Hubble

  • and managed one more fix. Is it possible to design a robotic spacecraft to grab Hubble

  • and bring it home? It seems the least we could do.

If we do nothing, the Hubble Space Telescope will fall to Earth in 2024.

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