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  • The coronavirus has caused severe economic harm all over the world

  • as governments take unprecedented measures to control the spread of Covid-19.

  • These include lockdowns and social distancing measures

  • deemed necessary to contain the virus, affecting businesses across many industries.

  • With unemployment levels soaring, international organizations expect

  • the income gap between the richest and the poorest to get even wider.

  • So, what can governments do to tackle income inequality?

  • I just took a massive hit, my money just went from

  • from making a really, really decent salary every month, basically to zero.

  • Me, it's impacted me massively because I don't have limited companies

  • to be able to apply for these bounceback loans and whatnot, and even these loans,

  • they're basically just steps that you have to pay back with interest.

  • Mo is a private chef based in London who has worked in the restaurant business for over a decade.

  • When large catering events were put on hold and much of the wider hospitality industry

  • went into limbo during lockdown, he found himself out of a job.

  • The ones that were working full time for hotels or for restaurants,

  • they were quite lucky because they were able to get furloughed,

  • with 80% of their salary still being paid, but the guys that I have been around

  • for the last few years specifically, they have all been hit really, really hard.

  • There's been no help coming from anyone really.

  • Self-employed and low skilled workers face the highest risks in the current economic climate.

  • While working from home is the norm for many, it is a luxury that some workers cannot afford,

  • especially if their job involves manual labour.

  • Without universal access to benefits such as healthcare and sick leave,

  • the pandemic has left this group of workers in a particularly vulnerable situation.

  • Essentially, this is because lower skilled workers often don't have the option

  • of teleworking and of videoconferencing, the way we are doing right now,

  • whereas high skilled workers can continue functioning to a relatively high degree from home

  • through all the software that we have at our disposal right now.

  • So, in that context, we worry that the labor market outcomes, the employment prospects,

  • the wage distribution that we see, all of that is going to end up to being more skewed

  • towards the high skilled workers, they tend to be benefitting more from this current environment.

  • Migrant workers are also vulnerable to the current economic shock.

  • In some emerging market and developing economies, we have seen that the brunt of this crisis

  • has really fallen quite heavily on migrant workers who often live quite far away

  • from their traditional support networks, who don't often large pools of savings

  • that they can dig into to smooth their spending, and they are facing a much larger impact of this crisis

  • than even the low skilled formally employed workers within those countries.

  • To better understand the widening gap between the rich and the poor,

  • it is useful to look at income inequality trends, unemployment expectations and poverty levels.

  • Among OECD countries, the unemployment rate is expected to top 9% in 2020, from 5.4% in 2019.

  • And this figure could rise further in the event of a second wave of infections among the 37 OECD nations.

  • However, the outlook is gloomier when looking at individual countries.

  • For example, Spain is expected to see its unemployment rate increase to 19.2% this year.

  • And in Brazil, which is not a member of the OECD, the jobless number could jump to 14.4%.

  • To put things into perspective, unemployment rates worldwide have gone through the roof

  • since the start of the pandemic, surpassing the levels seen during the global financial crisis.

  • In addition, the OECD does not expect an improvement in the labor market until after 2021,

  • and many economists foresee unemployment rates increasing in coming months.

  • Although a popular target for criticism, globalization hasn't led to rising income inequality in all countries.

  • In 1990, the countries on the right-hand side of this chart had a wider gap

  • between the richest and the poorest than those on the left.

  • The nations above the line saw income inequality increase between 1990 and 2015,

  • while the countries below saw a decrease.

  • Although inequality has fallen in some parts of the world,

  • the income gap has widened over the years in some of the world's most populous countries

  • such as the U.S., India, China and Indonesia. And while income inequality remains high in

  • Latin America and the Caribbean, the gap has narrowed. Conversely, the gulf has widened in most

  • advanced industrial economies, even though the levels of income inequality remain low.

  • This suggests that employing the right policies can make a difference in narrowing the divide.

  • While it's too early to precisely predict the impact of the pandemic on income distribution,

  • recent estimates from the World Bank suggest that increased income inequality and higher rates of poverty

  • will set the course for the future after the pandemic.

  • For the first time since 1998, the World Bank expects poverty rates to rise

  • because of the coronavirus. According to their estimates, Covid-19 could push

  • 71 million people into extreme poverty, which is defined as living with $1.90 or less per day.

  • In the worst-case scenario, Covid-19 could push as many as 100 million into extreme poverty.

  • These estimates suggest that South Asia is likely to see the sharpest increase in poverty,

  • closely followed by Sub-Saharan Africa.

  • So what can governments do to address these economic challenges?

  • Leaders are being urged to keep providing assistance to the most vulnerable for the foreseeable future,

  • whilst carefully lifting some of the most stringent lockdown measures.

  • If these measures are removed too soon, then some of the problems that they have

  • been basically minimizing in the first phase would become much more evident.

  • If they are kept for too long and for everyone, then, of course,

  • there would some more disincentive for workers or companies to regain full activity.

  • It is also not just about individuals, but employers too.

  • Governments may also need to provide increased support

  • to some of the hardest-hit industries so they can keep their employees.

  • If a government has in mind implementing new policies and using this additional money

  • to reduce income inequality, where should that money go?

  • It's very important to channel the resources and the support to those who need it the most.

  • Think about, I don't know, restaurants, tourism activities, entertainment and so on and so forth.

  • These are sectors that still need to be supported, while other activities:

  • manufacturing, agricultural and other things are actually reopening

  • and therefore they actually need less support. I think perhaps it is even more important within sectors,

  • there are groups of individuals, households, and companies that need more support than others.

  • But this can be a challenge without the right infrastructure.

  • While most people in advanced economies have bank accounts and governments have existing systems

  • to distribute benefits, it is not the case everywhere.

  • There are other economies where a lot of people may not have a formal presence on the tax registers,

  • they don't have these IDs or they don't have bank accounts, and that's a big challenge.

  • And those newly unemployed workers will need assistance with finding new jobs.

  • An important piece in the jigsaw puzzle is having the right tools

  • to stay relevant in the digital age, be it through learning new abilities

  • or upgrading existing skillsets.

  • Here it will be important to have in place retraining and reskilling programs

  • to facilitate workers' acquisition of new skills so they can get employment in different sectors.

  • Aside from the public health emergency, Covid-19 threatens to undo

  • years of economic progress across the world.

  • Without effective and decisive governance, it could take many years before income inequality

  • and poverty rates can be reduced to the levels seen before the pandemic.

  • Hi everyone. Thank you so much for watching.

  • What do you think governments should do to reduce income inequality?

  • Let us know in the comments section and don't forget to subscribe.

  • I will see you soon.

The coronavirus has caused severe economic harm all over the world

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