Placeholder Image

Subtitles section Play video

  • Throughout history, gold has always been seen as one of the greatest investments one can

  • make. Currencies come and go even the U.S. dollar would probably be worthless someday

  • in the future, but gold has never lost its value through millenniums.

  • Gold is used in a wide range of industries. Some make jewelry out of it; others use it

  • in the manufacturing of certain electronic and medical devices. And others invest in

  • it like you probably, since you are watching this video.

  • As of April 2020, the price of the gold is $1657, significantly higher than it was let's

  • say 50 years ago ($300).

  • But the question is, is gold a good investment? Or to be more precise, has gold been a good

  • investment? Well, the answer isn't really that simple.

  • Since the abundance of the gold standard, the world has been overwhelmed with paper

  • currencies. It is even difficult to imagine a world where gold is a currency.

  • But it has been once upon a time not that long ago. However, the modern financial system

  • is so complex that we can no longer go back to the gold standard.

  • But what we want to explore in this video

  • is, If you have some extra cash in your piggy bank, should buy gold instead of stocks or

  • even real estate. But Before we answer that question, we have

  • to understand what drives the price of the gold first.

  • So, Besides having a unique and beautiful color, unlike other elements. Gold has always

  • been the most trusted currency. Gold has always been used as a way to pass wealth from one

  • generation to another to preserve their wealth. Because unlike gold, paper currency has always

  • been quite worthless in the long run, but gold has maintained its value throughout the

  • ages.

  • The U.S. dollar has been the most important currency for the last hundred years. Even

  • today, countries all across the world have stacks of U.S. dollars in case of emergencies.

  • But even the U.S. dollar isn't a safe heaven because the value of the dollar falls based

  • on the actions of the FED and the governmentDuring the margate crises, the economy was

  • in a deep hole, and the only way the government could save the economy was by injecting trillions

  • of dollars into the economy to keep the dice rolling again. But that pushed the investors

  • to buy more gold and doubled the price of the gold in just four years (2008-2012). In

  • fact, prior to that, between 1998 to 2008, gold prices have tripled.

  • Historically speaking, gold has proven itself to be an excellent asset against inflation

  • since its price rises together with the cost of living. In fact, whenever inflation significantly

  • rises, the price of gold simply soars. And with the modern financial system, financial

  • crises happen quite often.

  • But a financial crisis means chaos, and that means uncertainty. When it's not clear where

  • the economy is headed, people want to feel that their wealth is safe, and that's why

  • they turn to gold. During any crisis, gold often becomes the safe heaven that investors

  • look up to. Since, they are confident that, no matter what happens, gold is going to keep

  • its value.

  • Even when there is a deflation, when prices are decreasing as it was during the great

  • depression, gold prices rise.

  • But that's not all, whenever the public loses confidence in governments, they also tend

  • to turn their reserves into gold quickly. Because political instabilities can lead to

  • chaos and financial crises. Gold prices, for instance, grew during this Brexit deal. When

  • world tensions rise, gold prices usually outperform all other investments.

  • But one can argue, with all the technological

  • advancement we have today, what is stopping us from miming more gold and a huge supply

  • would drive the price down.  Well, even with modern technology, it's

  • not easy to extract gold. Gold mining production has not changed significantly

  • since 2016. And the main reason for that is, "easy gold" has already been mined; miners

  • now have to dig deeper to access quality gold reserves. And that is much more challenging

  • and raises many other problems. Miners are exposed to additional hazards, and the environmental

  • impact is heightened. In other words, it costs more to get less gold. All these factors add

  • to the costs of gold mine production and making it less attractive to investors.

  • Major suppliers of gold in the market since the 1990s have been the central banks, such

  • as the FED, since Central banks keep gold as one of their significant reserves.

  • But since the crash of 2008, even the central banks significantly stopped selling their

  • gold reserves. At the same time, the production of new gold from mines had been declining

  • since 2000. And bringing a new mine into production can take up to a decade.

  • Which all led to the rise of gold prices. The demand for gold might decline temporarily

  • from time to time, but it always rises back because Golden jewelry is part of many cultures,

  • which means that there will always be a demand even when investors turn to other forms of

  • investments.

  • But that hasn't always been the case. Once

  • upon a time, not that long ago, gold was the international currency of the world and wasn't

  • only used in the manufacturing of jewelry. I know that its difficult to comprehend that

  • just a hundred years ago, people actually used gold as a currency.

  • To understand how did we entirely moved out from gold and are completely depending on

  • fiat currency. We have to take a look at the history.

  • For over 5000 years, gold with its scarcity and beauty has captivated humankind like no

  • other metal.

  • For the first time, gold was used as solid coins around 700 BC. Before that, gold had

  • to be weighed and checked for purity when settling trades.

  • But these coins were not without their problems. They have been used in different shapes throughout

  • centuries.   However, the biggest obstacle was that gold

  • was simply too scarce, and digging it from the ground was much more difficult given the

  • technology they had in the past.

  • To understand how scarce was gold back then. In the 16the century, Spain extracted so much

  • gold from the New world that it raised Europe's supply of gold by five times.

  • Of course, paper money was gaining some popularity back then, but gold was still the main instrument

  • of the monetary system.

  • But as the world economy started to rely on debt more and more, paper money slowly began

  • to dominate world economies, but it had its fair share of problems. So the world came

  • together to create the gold standard at the end of the 19th century (1871).

  • It actually worked pretty well, inflation was at around 0 percent, and the world found

  • a common language to trade until the world decided to destroy each and started world

  • war 1. Even though the gold standard did not collapse, political alliances changed; governments

  • began to run out of gold, and national debts soared, which pushed the world to move to

  • something more flexible to base on, the world economy. Especially since gold supplies continued

  • to fall behind the growth of the global economy, which ended in a few nations holding most

  • of the gold reserves such as the United States and Britain.

  • The great depression (1929) made it only worst. War debts forced many countries to abandon

  • the gold standard. Even England had to get out by 1931.

  • and guess what happened after WW2, the U.S. had 75% of the world's monetary gold, and

  • the dollar was the only currency still backed directly by gold. But as other nations began

  • to rebuild their economies, gold slowly began to leave the United States, especially with

  • the war in Vietnam. The U.S. Went into a deficit and was afraid that it would run out of gold.

  • Countries like Belgium cashed in dollars for gold, and many others were intending to do

  • the same, which pushed the united states to completely abandon the gold standard in 1971,

  • which was the end of the gold standard. The truth is, although gold has always played

  • some role of currency for thousands of years. A true international gold standard existed

  • for around 50 years (1871 to 1914).  And today, the price of the gold is determined

  • by the factors we have discussed earlier. However, the main question remains, Has Gold

  • Been a Good Investment?

  • Well, the answer is both yes, and now, it highly depends on the time frame. Sometimes

  • it outperformed other investments, and other times investing in stocks or bonds would have

  • been a much better option. Gold might be a solid investment, but its definitely not the

  • best all the timeIf we take a look at the last 15 years, yes,

  • gold (%278 increase) did actually better than the stock market ( 173%), but if we take a

  • longer time frame such as 30 years, then the stock market has significantly outperformed

  • gold. The Dow Jones industrial average has gained ( 839%) while gold only (280%). Even

  • returns from corporate bonds ($450) have been higher than gold.

  • However, if we take even a longer time frame, such as since the abundance of the gold standard

  • ( 1971), gold (4,500%) has outperformed the stock market ( 3,221%) by a reasonable range.

  • Are they going to be a good investment during this crisis, well, its impossible to say,

  • maybe it might be, maybe not. Only time

  • will tell.

Throughout history, gold has always been seen as one of the greatest investments one can

Subtitles and vocabulary

Click the word to look it up Click the word to find further inforamtion about it