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Let's bring in Nate Silver from Fivethirtyeight eight.
讓我們請來Fiveth308的Nate Silver。
Talk about the forecast you had coming into election night.
談談你進入選舉之夜的預測。
So coming in, we had Joe Biden with an 89% chance of winning Trump with 10% 1% chance of a tie.
所以進來的時候,喬-拜登有89%的機會贏得特朗普,10%1%的機會打平。
So in 2016, we had Trump with a 30% chance of winning roughly.
所以在2016年,我們的特朗普大概有30%的勝算。
But look, you know, I don't control when the 30% happens that 10% happens.
但你看,你知道,我不能控制30%的發生,10%的發生。
So there.
所以,有。
Congratulations to Nate Silver, the new Mr Wrong 2020.
恭喜Nate Silver,2020年新的錯誤先生。
As Mr Wrong, You will write a think piece about why you were actually right before the news media gives you another chance in 2024.
作為錯先生,你會在2024年新聞媒體再給你一次機會之前,寫一篇思考文章,說明你為什麼其實是對的。
Until then, thank you for making this night truly miserable.
在那之前,謝謝你讓這個夜晚變得非常痛苦。
Uh huh.
嗯哼。
Mhm.
嗯