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- China is asserting claims to all the waters and air space
of the South China Sea.
And they're doing it not primarily with military
or law enforcement vessels,
they're doing it with an armed militia
that camouflages itself by operating on fishing boats.
The maritime militia is really the tip
of the spear for China's power projection
in the South China Sea.
The South China Sea is the most contested piece
of geography on the planet.
The largest recent deployment we've seen of this militia
has taken place over the last seven months
around Thitu Island which is occupied
by about 100 Filipino civilians
and a small military contingent.
China has had dozens of these militia boats
surrounding the island every day.
On a shot from December 20th,
what you see is 95 Chinese boats.
The heaviest day that we have monitored around this feature.
Every one of them are large.
None of them broadcasting the signals that they should be
to avoid collisions.
None of them with nets or other gear in the water.
None of them fishing.
They just sit there for long periods of time monitoring
and intimidating the Filipinos.
It seems clear that China's goal in the South China Sea
is to establish effective dominance of all the waters
and air space within what they call the 9-Dash Line.
They don't want to do that by fighting a military conflict
with the United States or anybody else.
What they want to do is use civilian actors,
these paramilitary forces to effectively control the space.
Make it impossible for their neighbors to operate,
and therefore win without ever having to fight.
The U.S. needs to turn away
from strictly military responses.
The U.S. Navy has a role in deterring outward aggression
and backing up our partners.
But the U.S. Navy cannot secure
fishing rights for Filipinos.
They can't secure law enforcement rights
for their neighbors.
The only thing that can do that is a diplomatic
and maybe economic effort in trying to convince China
to modify its claims and especially its behavior
to take these paramilitary forces off the board
before there's a crisis.