Anyoneconcernedaboutthecostofsupporting a UkrainianvictoryshouldconsiderthemuchlargercostsshouldUkrainelose?
ForUkraine, thecityofMariupolisfinallylost.
Almost 2000 fightersarethoughttohavesurrenderedsofarto a fatewhichcouldinclude a warcrimestrialofRussia's ownJamesWaterhouse, BBCNewsinKievandwecangolivenowtoKievandspeaktoJames.
HiJames.
Sowelet's pickupthereontheeventsintheeast.
A coupleofthingsPresidentZelenskysayinghasbeencompletelydestroyed.
Buttheyareclosertotheirtotheirborderandtheyhavethemeanstoinflict a muchmoresustainedattackonvillagesbecauseononehand, theRussianshavestruggledtopenetratetownsandcitiesandvillages.
Thereisnow a frontline, a muchmoresolidlyformedfrontlineformingalongtheEasternDonbassregionandtheRussiansarecontinuingtolaunchassaultstothedevastationofthesetheselocationsandthecommunitiesthatthatliveinthem.
Therecouldbe a chancehecouldescalatethingsinthefuture, whichiswhy I thinktheWestareverykeencurrentlytokeeppledgingtheirlongtermsupportsoUkrainecancontinuetodefenditself.
Well, let's pickuponthatthoughtJames, thelongerthisgoeson, ifitis a longdrawnoutconflict, whodoesthatbenefittheUkrainiansortheRussians?
Itcertainlydoesn't benefittheUkrainians.
I meanfirstandforemosttheyaretheones, youknow, Ukraineisthecountryunderattackwithitsveryfutureunderthreat.
TheRussiansarenotadversetogettingboggeddowninto a longtermconflict.
ButmanyRussiansbelievewhattheywatchontv, manyhavefaithintheirleaderandtheywanttobelievethatthey, theirrelativeswholosetheirlivesinthiswardosofor a worthycause.
I thinkifthisdoesdragoutandthisfightingdoesbecomemoreconcentratedandit's certainlystartingtolooklikethat, itwillbeasevertothedetrimentofUkraine.
Peacetalksarenothappeningcurrently, thereisnodialogueandthatisoneofthethat's themorelikelyoutcomeinthiswaralongsideeither a changeofleadershipinRussiaor a changeofheartfromVladimirPutinhimself.