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  • World leaders have voiced  disappointment at the lack  

  • of progress made on climate policies at the G-20.

  • It's the body that should be leading  Covid recovery, economic recovery,  

  • but it's also hopelessly divided  between its internal membership.

  • That, to me, makes it a disappointing G20.

  • Despite its early promise, the G-20  has often been criticized for failing  

  • to tackle the most pressing  global issues of our time.

  • But how and why did the bloc come into existence?

  • What challenges has it faced?

  • And are the criticisms really warranted?

  • The G-20, or Group of Twenty,  

  • is an informal meeting of twenty  of the world's largest economies.

  • It was born out of the G-7,  or Group of Seven, in 1999,  

  • with one main purpose: global financial stability.

  • At the time, the world was in the process  of recovering from a financial crisis,  

  • which originated in Asia in 1997 and  spread across international stock markets.

  • The finance ministers and central bank  governors for the G-7 met in Washington  D.C.

  • following the crisis and realized they  couldn't sufficiently address vulnerabilities  

  • in the global financial system without expanding  the number of economies sitting around the table.

  • So, they proposed a new forum, which would eventually include

  • the G-7 countries and 13 othersystemically significant economies.”

  • The forum was initially confined to just the finance ministers and

  • central bank governors of the 20 members.

  • Guest countries, as well as international and regional organizations,

  • would also be invited to attend.

  • But heads of state didn't get involved until nearly a decade later

  • when another, bigger financial crisis came along.

  • The G-20 leaders meeting was  the result of an accident

  • The big accident was the global  financial crisis of 2008-2009.

  • Kishore Mahbubani was the president of the United  Nations Security Council in the early 2000s.

  • He explained to me how the G-20  meetings expanded in scope.

  • The United States realized that it was in  its interests, to have a leaders meeting,  

  • to try and find a solution to  the global financial crisis.

  • And I will say, that was the finest  moment of the G-20 leaders meeting,  

  • especially the second leaders meeting in London.

  • They came up with a global stimulus  package that essentially saved the world,  

  • and it saved the world because  everybody participated in it.

  • Even China, which had not  been very badly affected,  

  • was prepared to commit $50 billion, for  a $1 trillion global stimulus package.

  • Collectively, the G-20 bloc  makes up over 80 percent of  

  • global gross domestic product and  75 percent of international trade.

  • The G-7 is a sunset organization, and  the G-20 is a sunrise organization.

  • When the G-7 leaders meet, they claim  to speak on behalf of the world.

  • But they represent less than  10% of the world's population.

  • Whereas I think the G-20 represents  60% of the world's population.

  • While the G-20 may indeed be a more representative body than the G-7,

  • it doesn't mean impactful solutions, like the global stimulus package

  • that emerged out of the 2009 summit, come easily.

  • In fact, much of the heavy lifting is done in the lead-up to these meetings.

  • The G-20 presidency rotates  each year among its members.

  • In the absence of a permanent secretariat,  a “troika,” which consists of the current,  

  • previous, and incoming presidenciesshapes the agenda, while ensuring the  

  • continuity of tasks and goals from previous years.

  • This work is divided into two streams:  a finance track and the Sherpa track.

  • All agenda items under the finance  track are handled by the members'  

  • finance ministers and central bank governors.

  • They work in conjunction with the G-20  leaders' personal representatives,  

  • known assherpas,” whose remit  includes a wider spectrum of issues.

  • Both tracks feature a series of  ministerial meetings, working groups,  

  • conferences and engagements with  non-governmental organizations.

  • Francesco Mancini is a non-resident senior  adviser at the International Peace Institute  

  • and a professor at the National University of  Singapore's Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy.

  • The G-20s are actually quite informalif you compare them to the traditional  

  • very stiff kind of diplomatic  chambers of the United Nations.

  • It was born, the G-20, as a tool to address macroeconomics and financial  issues.

  • But today, the agenda is much broader.

  • They discuss unemployment, corruption, climate  change, digital technology, you name it.

  • We all remember the summits, because that's  

  • the moment when the presidents  and the prime ministers meet.

  • But in reality, there has been already  many meetings through the year.

  • At the end, there is generally a communique,  a statement that is built on consensus.

  • The key word, here, is consensusSo, how often is that achieved?

  • Unfortunately, the United Stateslost interest in the G-20.

  • In fact, a former director of the  National Intelligence Council told me

  • very frankly, he said: Kishore, I know why  a small state like Singapore likes multilateral  

  • institutions, because it enhances your  ability to influence other countries.

  • Whereas for a great power like the United Statesmultilateral institutions, constrain them.

  • If, for example, we think about President  Trump, where he actually withdrew from the Paris  

  • Agreement, which triggered the G-20 to actually  reinforce their commitment to the Paris Agreement.

  • Normal language like international cooperation  and trade were not used in the communique,  

  • because the U.S. was against it. I think  since then, things got a little better.

  • But reality is that the tariffs that Trump put  

  • in place are still there. Sothe division is still there.

  • In 2014, Russia was suspended  from what was then the G-8,  

  • following the annexation of Crimea,13 before  it decided to permanently leave in 2017.

  • And then in 2022, there were calls for it to be  

  • excluded from the G-20 meetings  after its invasion of Ukraine.

  • And that's an absolute mistakeBecause at the end of the day,  

  • Russia is a key player in the worldas are all other great powers.

  • And it's better to have them all  in one room talking to one another.

  • And there's not just internal  divisions within the G-20.

  • Protests have been a regular feature at  the summits - a clear indication of public  

  • discontent regarding the bloc's ability to  address key global problems, or lack thereof.

  • In 2018, market research firm YouGov  polled inhabitants of five G-20 member  

  • countries about their perception of  the bloc's problem-solving abilities.

  • The results were not encouraging.

  • Those residing in Argentina, which  held the G-20 presidency that year,  

  • had the most positive perceptions  of the forum, followed by Russia.

  • It was a different picture in  the U.K., Germany and the U.S.,  

  • where only a third of those  polled viewed the G-20 favorably.

  • There are also questions  over the G-20's exclusivity.

  • A report as far back as 2011 by the Danish  Institute for International Studies termed the  

  • G-20's “institutionalized practiceof inviting  representatives from under-represented regions  

  • asconcession at the margins,” while also  criticizing its move ofpermanently excluding  

  • 173 countriesas a fact thatundercuts  its claim to representational legitimacy.”

  • 11 years on, those 173 countries continue to  be excluded from the G20's membership. So,  

  • is there hope for a more inclusive future?

  • Why should like 10% of the world's  population hold 40% of the seats  

  • of G20? That's not right. It just reflects the  fact that they are economically more powerful.

  • But in the world of tomorrow, let's say  if you exclude a country like Nigeria,  

  • which by current projections, will havelarger population than China by the year 2100,  

  • then you are not having a representative  body that represents the world of things.

  • So, I think there needs to be constant  reshuffling of the membership of the  

  • G20 to reflect not yesterday's  powers, but tomorrow's powers.

  • The most representative body in the world is  the General Assembly of the United Nations,  

  • for every country is present with one vote.

  • But we also know that it's very  hard for this body to be effective.

  • So, I wouldn't go for a G-50, I think will be  a big challenge to make any concrete decision.

  • While the informal nature of the G-20 means  there are no binding resolutions or sanctions,  

  • advocates say the forum is invaluable in  fostering conversations between leaders.

  • We have to remember that  there is a lot of bilateral  

  • activities happening during these meetings.

  • In the past, we might remember where  

  • Trump and Xi Jinping agreed in not  implementing tariffs for that time,

  • or where President Biden and Macron of  France had the opportunity to meet again,  

  • after the U.K. and U.S. and Australia,

  • kicking out France, from a submarine  nuclear agreement with Australia.

  • The G-20 leaders' meetings themselves  often don't accomplish very much.

  • But when you have bilateral meetings on  the side, they can be incredibly important.

  • Even if there's no consensus among the leadersthat doesn't mean that meeting has failed,  

  • because there may actually have beenbetter understanding that is developed.

World leaders have voiced  disappointment at the lack  

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