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What is the Halloween Strategy and Halloween Effect?
什麼是萬聖節策略和萬聖節效應?
The Halloween strategy, sometimes referred to as the Halloween effect or Halloween indicator,
萬聖節策略,有時稱為萬聖節效應或萬聖節指標,
is a market timing approach. Here's the gist:
是一種市場擇時方法。重點如下:
Stocks tend to perform better from October 31 (Halloween)
從 10 月 31 日(萬聖節) 到 5 月 1 日,
to May 1 than from May through October's end.
股票的表現往往比 5 月到 10 月底的表現更好
Advocates of this strategy propose buying stocks in November, holding
。 這項策略的倡導者建議在 11 月購買股票,持有
them over the winter, and then selling in April. They often advise reducing stock
它們過冬,然後在 4 月出售。他們經常建議
investments during the summer months or even avoiding them altogether.
在夏季減少股票投資,甚至完全避免投資。
This approach starkly contrasts the classic 'buy-and-hold' strategy,
這種方法與經典的「買入並持有」策略形成鮮明對比,
where investors maintain their positions for the long term, irrespective of market fluctuations.
在這種策略中,投資者無論市場波動如何,都長期維持其頭寸。