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  • - [Narrator] A group of seven big tech stocks

  • known as the magnificent seven, grew 75% in 2023,

  • leaving the rest of the S&P 500 in the dust.

  • But if we look at each individual stock in 2024,

  • the group has an outlier.

  • - Tesla has kind of stuck out like a sore thumb

  • in terms of the magnificent seven.

  • - [Narrator] This year, Tesla's share price is down

  • more than 25%.

  • - If Tesla's stock keeps falling, that might be bad news

  • for the S&P 500,

  • simply because it would drag the index down.

  • - [Narrator] Here's what Tesla's slide

  • says about this elite group of tech stocks

  • and why investors are concerned.

  • Apple, Microsoft, Amazon,

  • NVIDIA, Alphabet, Tesla, Meta.

  • The magnificent seven

  • - [Narrator] Unlike these gunslingers,

  • this magnificent seven is by some measures

  • worth more than all the stocks

  • from these four countries combined,

  • but that dominance has bred doubt.

  • - So one big risk, I think, on investors' minds

  • is that while these stocks have helped drive

  • the market higher toward repeated highs to start 2024,

  • there is concern that they could stage a big U-turn,

  • - [Narrator] And it wouldn't be the first time.

  • In 2022, they collectively lost $4.7 trillion in value

  • amid worries that rising interest rates

  • could cause a recession dragging down the rest of the index.

  • - People were thinking, has the dot com bubble just burst?

  • You know, are these stocks done for good?

  • - [Narrator] But in May, 2023,

  • that changed when NVIDIA announced record profits

  • for an unexpected reason.

  • - [Colette] Generative AI drove significant upside in demand

  • for our products, creating opportunities

  • and broad-based global growth across our markets.

  • - Many investors looking at its earnings,

  • hearing its earnings calls,

  • like, their mouths were to the floor.

  • They just had this incredibly blockbuster earnings report

  • that shocked investors

  • and made investors think, we have to bet big on AI.

  • And that sent NVIDIA shares soaring

  • and a lot of these other stocks soaring as well.

  • - [Narrator] Around the same time, strong economic data

  • and easing inflation gave tech stocks another boost.

  • That led to the magnificent seven's 75% rally.

  • But for Tesla, which was gearing up

  • for the Cybertruck launch,

  • there was a rough road ahead.

  • - You have elon musk saying-

  • - [Elon] You know, I just want to temper expectations

  • for Cybertruck.

  • - And that hit its stock pretty hard.

  • - [Narrator] Musk later revealed that Tesla fell behind

  • Chinese EV maker BYD in quarterly sales

  • for the first time.

  • All of this helped lead to that drop in its share value.

  • - In terms of concerns about, you know, bubbles

  • or stock being in a bubble,

  • Tesla is the one that people (chuckling)

  • worry about the most.

  • - [Narrator] A bubble is when shares of a stock

  • are pumped higher than they're worth,

  • often driven by investor excitement.

  • - Tesla has always been valued like a technology company,

  • so that gives it a higher valuation

  • because investors tend to value tech companies

  • higher than they do say car companies.

  • So some of the really bearish investors on Tesla say,

  • "Hey, this is just a car company.

  • This is not a tech company

  • and it doesn't deserve this kind of rich valuation premium."

  • - [Narrator] But there may be bubbles

  • within the technology sphere too.

  • - I've heard investors say that they think

  • AI in the stock market and the impact of AI

  • and all these AI beneficiaries are a huge bubble.

  • The issue is that we're still in early innings

  • of the AI game in the stock market,

  • and it's gonna be years before we find out, you know,

  • what are the implications of AI?

  • How are people and companies actually using this technology?

  • So that seems pretty far out in the future right now.

  • - [Narrator] While some investors are uncertain

  • about the magnificent seven's future,

  • others are doubling down on their positions.

  • - Some individual investors

  • and even institutional investors I've been speaking with

  • are kind of afraid to bet against these stocks

  • because they've been so dominant in the market.

  • - [Narrator] Some investors say that Tesla

  • doesn't deserve to be part of that group, but-

  • - The thing is, people have been saying that Tesla

  • is in a bubble for like five years now.

  • Of course, for the most part

  • it's held up the past few years.

  • So time will tell if it ends up kind of collapsing

  • and being the bubble that a lot of investors say it is.

- [Narrator] A group of seven big tech stocks

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