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  • Iran's unprecedented attack on Israel made the new reality of conflict very clear.

  • From Iran to Ukraine, this is the era of cheap drone warfare.

  • Kiev endured an aerial assault by Russian drones.

  • The Kremlin seeing the biggest drone attack yet inside Russia.

  • Missiles, drones, a barrage of attacks in the Red Sea.

  • Iran has started a direct attack on Israel by launching dozens of drones.

  • Drones have changed the landscape of war.

  • It's like the AK-47 of 21st century warfare.

  • They're a feature of the modern battlefield, mostly because they're so inexpensive and easy to make.

  • And many of these drones can be traced back to Iran, a country under strict international sanctions.

  • So how are drones changing the economics of warfare?

  • This attack was a direct response to something that happened on the 1st of April when Israel bombed a building close to the Iranian embassy in Damascus.

  • There were some very senior Iranian generals in that building who died in that attack.

  • The Iranians had to respond.

  • These were designed to overwhelm Israeli defenses while a separate battery of missiles were following at a distance.

  • So if everything had gone to plan, the missiles would have been able to penetrate those defenses.

  • We've never seen a swarm this big.

  • Scores all set off at the same time.

  • And it could be a game changer in the way war is conducted.

  • Asymmetry is often what decides a conflict.

  • It's effectively when one side is more powerful than the other.

  • Historically, at least in the modern history of warfare, every technological advance has come from the technologically superior military power.

  • So the most powerful countries got more powerful and the gap between them and the rest widened.

  • To address this kind of mismatch, the weaker power seeks a way to catch up.

  • An asymmetrical tool.

  • Drone warfare is a way to close the capability gap and it's a way to diffuse power.

  • Drones come in a full spectrum.

  • Most of the drones that we're using in the West, like the Reaper drone, which has been somewhat the iconic drone that we've used since 9-11, which cost in the region of $30 million.

  • At the other end of the spectrum are the drones we saw over the weekend.

  • They are what are called kamikaze drones.

  • All they do is carry a payload of explosives and they ram into a target and blow up.

  • In military circles, they're called lawnmowers on wings.

  • People are saying that the Shahi drone is Iran's AK-47 because it is extremely versatile and can be produced in high quantity at low cost.

  • Now we entered into the next phase of drone warfare, which is low-tech drones at large quantities.

  • The main Iranian drone company is called Shahed Aviation Industries, which the U.S. says is a subsidiary of the Revolutionary Guards.

  • They have been using scores and scores of small companies to circumvent sanctions.

  • They have their own smuggling networks globally where they can get their hands on any sort of component part that they need.

  • Shahed drones can be found in Syria, Russia, Ethiopia, Tajikistan and Venezuela.

  • The Shahed-136 is the best known.

  • It carries up to 50 kilograms of explosives and has a range of up to 2,500 kilometers, which lets Iran strike targets within Israel without needing to use proxy forces in Lebanon,

  • Gaza and elsewhere.

  • This is where the economic consideration comes in.

  • They cost anywhere between $20,000 and $50,000.

  • Others are even cheaper, as little as $1,000.

  • Each missile the Israelis were using cost in the region of hundreds of thousands of dollars, if not millions of dollars.

  • America and Israel together probably spent around $1.5 billion in defending against the

  • Shahed drones, while the Shahed drones all put together probably cost the Iranians in the region of something like $3 million.

  • You can drain your enemies' military budgets by them having to restock their air defences at a very high cost.

  • If Iran didn't have these drones and these missiles, it would have to send jet fighters over long distances in order to attack Israel.

  • If Israel shot down those jet fighters, that would be a huge blow for Iran.

  • Iran's proxy in Yemen, the Houthis, have already managed to clog up trade in the Red

  • Sea with the threat of drones and inexpensive but accurate missiles.

  • Drones have changed the war in Ukraine too.

  • Cheap, consumer, mainly Chinese, models have been adapted to drop explosives on multimillion-dollar tanks.

  • And more sophisticated drones have been used to great effect against the Russian Navy.

  • Those drones have been key in Ukraine's ability to destroy quite a large part of Russia's naval fleet in the Black Sea.

  • The U.S. military has leaned increasingly on fewer but more sophisticated and more expensive weapons systems.

  • All of this is provoking big rethinks about how to kit out modern armies.

  • Over time, we need to find a better way to defend against these drones at lower cost.

  • We know that the U.S. has been developing weapons to counter the threat of drones.

  • Lasers, the use of anti-aircraft weapons, the German anti-aircraft weapons have been very effective in Ukraine, for instance.

  • But there's a big economic challenge here too.

  • For the defense industry, it's more profitable to rely on the multibillion-dollar research and development of sophisticated platforms where you only sell one or two or three of.

  • In other words, big defense companies don't consider cheap drones an attractive business proposition.

  • To change that thinking, governments would need to provide defense companies with the motivation to build the tech.

  • I think what is needed is an incentive and a push to say we need more platforms at cheaper cost and use them in a networked way.

  • For more UN videos visit www.un.org

Iran's unprecedented attack on Israel made the new reality of conflict very clear.

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