Andifyou'redominatingthatmarket, othercompaniesaregoingtoeitherhavetomake a betterhumanoidrobotthanyou, whichisdifficultbecauseyouhaveeconomiesofscalealreadyfrombeingfirstandyourhumanoidrobotischeaper.
Iftheycan't dothat, thenthey'regoingtohavetosubsidizetheirintroductionoftherobotandlose a lotofmoneyfor a longtimeuntiltheycangetthoseeconomiesofscale.
Eventhatisdifficultbecausehowdoyoumake a robotbetterthanyoursifyouhavethedatafrommillionsofrobotsonthefieldmakingyourAImodelsbetter?
Theotheroptioniscompaniescantrytofocuson a morenarrowusecaseof a robotratherthanbeing a generalizedhumanoidrobot.
Theycanhavemaybesomespecializedfunctionality, butthenthat's a smallermarket.
I meanitcouldleadtoprofitabilitybecausemaybethatnarrowuserobotcandocertainthingsbetterandmaybeit's cheaperthan a generalizedhumanoidrobot.
However, it's a smallermarketanditmightbeslowertoreacheconomiesofscalein a slowermarket.
A generalizedhumanoidrobotlikeOptimuscanlearnquitefast, soitcouldactuallymaketheseothernarrowusecasesperhapsirrelevantovertimeasitbecomesmorecapable.
Allright, a thirdthingaboutbeingfirsttohumanoidrobotsisthatyouhavemindshareandmarketing.
Thenothercompanies, theybasicallyhavetobeatyourproductincapabilityandprice, butthat's extremely, extremelydifficultfor a startuptodoin a fieldwherethere's a bigfirstmoveradvantage.
I thinkatthecenterof a lotofthisisTeslashareholdersreaffirmingtheircommitmentandtheirapprovalofElonMuskastheleaderofTesla.
I thinkthekeythingthatElonbringstoTeslaisthatheisanaccelerantofinnovation.
Evenheusedthatphraseattheshareholdermeeting.
Whatthatmeansisthatwhenthere's somethingthatneedstoimprove, thatneedstobedevelopedorinvented, or a newproducthastocometolife, Elonknowsexactlyhowtogetthere.
Thehumanoidrobotisprobablythemostsubstantialproduct, atleast I couldthinkofrightnow.
Ifthingsgowell, I meanobviouslytherearerisksinvolved, butifthingsgowell, thenTesla I thinkhasdefinitely a brightfuturewithRobotaxiandOptimushumanoidrobot.
A greatclipbyElonMuskdivingintosomeofthesepointsthat I shareinthisvideoregardingTesla's positiontodevelopthishumanoidrobotandwhatitmeansintermsofpotential.
Teslaisgoingtobebyfartheleaderinthat.
You'reseeing a lotofrobotstartups, but I thinkit's actuallyverychallengingtodoOptimusas a robotstartupbecausewhatwefoundtomakeOptimuswork, we'vehadtodesignfromfirstprinciples, fromscratch, everypartofelectronics, thecommunicationsystem, everythinghadtobedonefromscratch.
Soeventhoughtherearemanyelectricmotorsmadeintheworld, there's nosupplychainforthetypesofmotorsandsensorsandgearboxesthatareneededfor a humanoidrobot.
Becauseitrequiressomuchground-updesign, designingeverymotor, gearbox, sensor, powerelectronicsfromscratch, it's veryhardfor a startupto, ifnotimpossible, for a startuptoreplicatethat.
Andeventhemostoptimisticestimatesthat I'veseenforOptimus, theoptimist, I thinkundercountthemagnitudeofwhatthisrobotwillbeabletodo.
As I saidatthebeginningofthepresentation, I agreewiththeArkenbestanalysisthatautonomoustransportiscalled a fivetoseventrilliondollarmarketcapsituation.
Optimus, I think, is a twenty-five, literallytwenty-fivetrilliondollarmarketcapsituation.
Now, I don't wanttotrivializewhat's necessarytogetthere.