Morethan 5 millionpeopleinFloridaareunderevacuationorderswiththeimpendingarrivalofhurricaneMiltonIt's themostpowerfulcategory 5 stormwithferociouswindsofupto 270 kilometersanhourLet's takeyoulivetoTampa, FloridaNowMiltonisexpectedtohittheTampaarealaterAndasweweresayingwithferociouswindsofupto 160 milesanhour, that's around 270 kilometersanhourandasweweresayingintheintroductiontherethat's whyPresidentJoeBidenhaswarnedthatleavingnowis a matteroflifeanddeathasThestate's undertakenitslargestevacuationeffortinyearswelltheysaythatit's goingtomakelandfallinthecominghoursandhasthepotentialtobeoneofthemostdestructivetoEverberecordedintheregionWell, ofcourseitcomeslesslessthan a fortnightafterhurricaneHeleneanotherpowerfulhurricanehitFloridaSteveNibbshasmoreAnevacuationsirenonthestreetsofReddingtonShoresinFloridaDebrisisstillparredupafterstormHelenetwoweeksagoandnowpeoplearebeingtoldtheyhavetoleaveagainMandatoryevacuationordersareinplacefornearlysixmillionpeopleashurricaneMiltonapproachesManyareheadingtosafetyasauthoritieswarnthatstormsurgescouldbeupto 15 feetWithwarningsthatifyoustaywhentoldtoleaveyoumaynotsurviveWecanrebuildhomes.
Wecanrebuildbusinesses.
WecangetpeoplebackontheirfeetButonlyiftheygothey'resafeandtheysurvivethestormWe'renotgoingtobeabletobringpeoplebackwhowhostaybehindin 10 or 15 feetofstormsurgeHurricaneMiltonisintensifyingnow a category 5 withspeedsaround 165 milesperhourThiscrewfromtheNationalOceanicandAtmosphericAssociationdubbedhurricanehuntersflewthroughityesterdayandfeltitspowerOnThegroundresidentsaredoingwhattheycantoprotecttheirpropertiesbeforetheyleavebutthere's realfearhereapprehensiveain't reallyanxiousWehavetwoyoungkidsScaryOver 50 countiesarenowunder a stateofemergency, butnoteveryoneisdecidingtofleeWegotfourfive-galloncansTommyHallandhisfamilylivenearVeniceBeachandthey'vechosentoweathertheincomingStorm, we'vegotgasfoodtwogeneratorsPortableairconditionstopusharoundtoroomtheroom.
So I ThinkwemightdookayButweatherforecastersarenowwarningoftheseverityanddangerofthisstorm.
Ithasdropped 50 millibarsin 10 hoursTrackinghurricaneMiltonforecasterJohnMoralesbrokedownonairbecauseoffearsofwhat's tocomeeverythingthat's goingonReallydoesaffectyouemotionallyAndyeahmydeliveryofOftryingtocarryanaudiencethroughthesetypeofemergencies, I thinkit's becomeCertainlynotthesamenotalarmist.
I wouldwasbefore I amalarmedMiltonstrengthhasalreadybroughtfloodingalongtheMexicancoastanddownedpowerlinesandtreesButthe u.s IsbracingitselfformuchworsewithofficialssayingthatMiltonhasthepotentialtobeoneofthemostdestructivehurricanesonrecordWhenitmakeslandfalllatertodayStevenibsBBCNewswellourcorrespondentGordonCarrera's inTampainFloridaandhe's beentalkingtopeoplewhohavebeenpreparingforthearrivalofhurricaneMiltonHereinTampa.
Thereis a senseoftimerunningoutaheadofMilton's reallynowimminentArrivalthestreetsinthecityhavebeeneerilyquietHardlyanyone's aroundthefewpeoplewhowehaveseenhavebeenpreparingtheirhomesortheirofficesforthestormBoardingthingsupmaybemovingthingsaround I thinkoneofthethingsthat's quiteshockingisjustthatyoucanseearoundmethedevastationwhichisstillherefromHurricaneHelenewhichhittwoweeksagoandthere's anenormousamountofdebrisaroundparticularlywhere I aminTampaandtheconcernisthatthemassivesurgewhichwillcomewithMiltoncouldliftupallthisdebrismoveitaroundcauseevenmoredamageandthefearisthatthesurgewithMiltoncouldbe 12 feetorperhapsevenmorehighcomparedtoabouthalfthatorlesswithHelenesocouldbeverysignificantIndeedthere's a lotofworkgoingonalreadytothinkabouthowthecommunitywillrespondafterwardsButfirstofall, they'vegottogetthroughthatstorm, whichisnowjustreallyhoursawayfromarrivinghereGordonCarreraonatthegroundthereWell, theNationalHurricaneCenterintheUnitedStatesexpectshurricaneMiltontomakelandfallasanextremelydangeroushurricaneTheBBC's SophieRaworthexplainswhyclimatechangeisthoughttobebehindtheferocityofthestormWell, HurricaneMiltonwillbethesecondpowerfulstormtohitFloridainlessthantwoweeksanditiscurrentlytravelingacrosstheGulfofMexicoYoucanseeitspaththereandwarmwatersintheGulfofMexicohavehelpeditbecome a dangerousHurricanethatisexpectedtomakelandfallasearlyastomorrowNowscientistssaythatclimatechangeistoblamewithmuchwarmerseassuperchargingthesehurricanesThesearethenormalrangeoftemperaturesfortheAtlanticandthisshouldbejustaboutherewheretheyarenowButlookhowmuchwarmerthewatersarethisyearatornearthehottesttemperaturesonrecordTheoceansabsorbmostoftheextraheatthatcarbondioxideandothergreenhousegasestrapnearEarth's surfaceSowarmerseasmeanmorewaterevaporatesandthatallowsstormstostrengthenandgrowSophieRaworththere.
Well, let's speaktoProfessorMilesAllen a climatephysicistattheUniversityofOxfordWelcometotheprogram A lotofpeoplewanttoknowhowmuchclimatechangemightbeplaying a partinthisbecauseofcourseTherealwaysis a hurricaneseasonintheUnitedStates, butyoudon't regularlyseestormsofthisferocitycategoryfiveThat's right.
I meanwe'vealwayshadhurricanesinthispartoftheworldHurricanesarethesegiantenginesforturningenergyfromwarmoceantemperaturesintokineticenergyoftheairandOfcourseifyoujustifyouIncreasethetheoctaneinthefuelsotospeakbywarmingupseasurfacetemperaturesasSophieRaworthwassayingYouallowhurricanestogetmoreintenseandwehaveseenanintensificationandlotsofindicatorsofhurricaneactivitySincethe 1980s thelonger-termpictureisis a bitlessclearButthatcoincideswith a periodofrapidlyrisingseasurfacetemperaturesmuchofwhichisdowntohumaninfluenceonclimateandIntermsofwhatmightcomenextintermsofthisstormYouknowwhenyoutrackthisas a physicistwhatcouldcomenext?
Wellcruciallyfor a stormactivityorforthisstormitself.
WearegettingmuchbetteratHelpingenormouslyintermsofsavinglives, ofcourse, itcan't really I meanitcanhelppeopleprotecttheirpropertiesButtheystilldoenormousdamageSooneofthereallygoodnewsstorieshereishowwellforecasthurricanesarecomparedtowhattheywouldhavebeen a fewdecadesagoButthelongertermoutlookisworryingofcoursebecauseweareasseasurfacetemperaturescontinuetowarmWewillseemoreintensestormsofthisnatureHowmanymoreyouknow, it's it's likerolling a dice, youknowIfthediceis a littlebitloadedYoucan't sayeverytimeyourollitexactlyhowmanysixesyou'regoingtogetButsomebutbutyouknow, weareloadingitinthatdirectionandwhenyoulookatthehistoryoftheintensificationofThesehurricanesandlinkingthattoclimatechange.
Whatlessonscanyoudrawfromthat?
I mean, ofcourse, werememberHurricaneKatrina.
Thatwas a category 5 Hurricanethatwaswhatnearlycloseto 20 yearsagonowWhatcanyoudrawfromthelessonsinthepastdecadeortwo?
I meantheimportantlessonisclimatechangeismakingcertaintypesofextremeweathermoreintenseIt's alsomakingotherkindsofextremeweatherlessintenseinotherpartsoftheworldandwearehavingtocopewith a changingclimateas a resultofHumaninfluenceas a resultofrisinggreenhousegasconcentrations, butthereallyimportantmessage I think I'd reallylikeyourviewerstogetisthatthisisthisiswecanstopitWecouldwecouldstopglobalwarmingwithin a generationifweputourmindstoitthecombinationofreducingtheamountofcarbondioxideweproducefromburningfossilfuelsandResponsibledisposaloftheremainderandinthatregard I meanBritain's got a prettygoodtrackrecordofreducingtheamountoffossilofcarbondioxideWeproducefromfossilfuelsandtheannouncementlastweekofthegovernmentthatwe'regoingtostartResponsiblydisposingofcarbondioxidebackundertheNorthSeaisalsoverywelcomeSotherearestepsintherightdirection, butwe've a longwaytogo.
ThankyouverymuchJusttosaywehavemoreonthedevelopmentssurroundingHurricaneMiltonontheBBCNewswebsitewherewecontinuetorun a livepageIthas a livestreamaswellandthere's plentyofupdates, ofcourseaswecontinuetotrackthatstorm
Morethan 5 millionpeopleinFloridaareunderevacuationorderswiththeimpendingarrivalofhurricaneMiltonIt's themostpowerfulcategory 5 stormwithferociouswindsofupto 270 kilometersanhourLet's takeyoulivetoTampa, FloridaNowMiltonisexpectedtohittheTampaarealaterAndasweweresayingwithferociouswindsofupto 160 milesanhour, that's around 270 kilometersanhourandasweweresayingintheintroductiontherethat's whyPresidentJoeBidenhaswarnedthatleavingnowis a matteroflifeanddeathasThestate's undertakenitslargestevacuationeffortinyearswelltheysaythatit's goingtomakelandfallinthecominghoursandhasthepotentialtobeoneofthemostdestructivetoEverberecordedintheregionWell, ofcourseitcomeslesslessthan a fortnightafterhurricaneHeleneanotherpowerfulhurricanehitFloridaSteveNibbshasmoreAnevacuationsirenonthestreetsofReddingtonShoresinFloridaDebrisisstillparredupafterstormHelenetwoweeksagoandnowpeoplearebeingtoldtheyhavetoleaveagainMandatoryevacuationordersareinplacefornearlysixmillionpeopleashurricaneMiltonapproachesManyareheadingtosafetyasauthoritieswarnthatstormsurgescouldbeupto 15 feetWithwarningsthatifyoustaywhentoldtoleaveyoumaynotsurviveWecanrebuildhomes.
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