A meetingatRamsteinAirBasewithUkrainianPresidentZelenskyandkeyEuropeanleaderswasalsopostponed.
Butwithnextmonth's U.S. electionloominginthebackground, manyarewonderingifBiden's visitthisweekwillbringUkraineclosertoNATOmembership.
I mean, I'd besurprisedifanythingthatfundamentalwasannouncedafterthismeeting.
I thinkthismeetingismoresymbolic.
I thinkit's for, youknow, BidentosortofunderscoreagainhowimportantsupportforUkraineis, howimportant, youknow, the U.S. engagementwithEuropeisand U.S. leadership.
Thishasbeen a majorlegacyofhispresidency.
So I thinkhejustwantedtokindofsignalthatagainandsetthestage.
ButreallybigdecisionslikethefutureofUkraine, NATOmembershiparen't goingtohappenbeforeNovember, andalsotheEuropeansaregoingtohavetoplay a rolethere.
Andwhatcouldthe U.S. electionsmeanforthefutureofNATO?
ThenegativescenariounderTrumporevenHarris, ifyouhaveHarrisand a reallydividedorstuckEU, asweframedit, is a veryweakenedNATO, becauseyouhave a massivesecuritythreatintheeasternborderofthecontinentthatrequireseither a reallystrong U.S. presenceorsomethingtochangeontheEuropeansideandfortheEuropeanstogaincapabilities.
AndiftheEuropeansdon't dothat, thenyou'llhave a veryweakenedNATOrightawayin 2025 and a veryweakenedEuropeansecurity, let's putitthatway.
Andunder a Harrispresidency?
I'm American, so...
Andwith a Harrispresidency, you'relookingat a similarresult, lessdramatic, butby 2027, 2028 aswell, becausethe U.S. simplydoesn't havethecapacitytostayfocusedonEuropetotheextentthatithas.
SecurityexpertsareurgingEuropetotake a moreunitedapproachinproducingweaponsandsaythatEuropeneedstoacceleratemakingtoughdecisionsforthefutureofNATO.
LivStroudforEuronews.
U.S.
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