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  • Ford: TODAY I GET TO FLY ON A JET THAT WAS ORIGINALLY DESIGNED FOR WAR.

  • NOW NASA'S USING IT FOR A PEACEFUL MISSION,

  • BUT THE STAKES ARE JUST AS HIGH.

  • OUR TASK IS TO COLLECT AIR SAMPLES

  • THAT MEASURE GREENHOUSE GASES IN THE ATMOSPHERE,

  • THE MAIN CAUSE OF CLIMATE CHANGE.

  • FOR OVER 20 YEARS,

  • I'VE SERVED ON THE BOARD OF CONSERVATION INTERNATIONAL.

  • SO THIS ISN'T THE FIRST TIME

  • I'VE WORRIED ABOUT THREATS TO OUR PLANET.

  • BUT THIS IS A CHANCE FOR ME TO SEE UP CLOSE

  • HOW SCIENTISTS STUDY CLIMATE CHANGE...

  • AND WHAT IT ALL MEANS.

  • YOU WERE MEASURING FOR US METHANE AND CO2.

  • WHEN YOU SEE THESE LEVELS GOING UP,

  • YOU'RE A CLIMATE SCIENTIST,

  • HOW DO YOU FEEL ABOUT WHAT'S HAPPENING?

  • PERSONALLY, IT'S PRETTY SCARY. YEAH.

  • THE WORLD IS GOING TO BE SUFFERING IN A LOT OF WAYS

  • FROM THIS PHYSICAL REALITY FOR A LONG TIME TO COME.

  • Cheadle: IT'S 10:00 A.M. ON MARCH 16, 2013.

  • THIS HAS BECOME A WEEKLY RITUAL.

  • EACH SATURDAY, THESE PEOPLE WALK THE FOUR MILES

  • AROUND THE CARGILL MEAT-PACKING PLANT ON THE EDGE OF TOWN.

  • THEY'RE PRAYING FOR RAIN AND FOR THE PLANT TO REOPEN.

  • SIX WEEKS AGO, IT CLOSED,

  • AND OVERNIGHT, 10% OF THE AREA'S ENTIRE WORK FORCE WAS LAID OFF.

  • IT SHUT DOWN BECAUSE OF A THREE-YEAR DROUGHT

  • THAT DEVASTATED THE CATTLE HERD HERE IN TEXAS.

  • AND WITHOUT COWS, YOU CAN'T RUN A MEAT-PACKING PLANT.

  • Man: FATHER, WE -- WE PRAY FOR THE SITUATION IN CARGILL, MY GOD,

  • 'CAUSE AS YOU BRING THE MOISTURE, AS YOU BRING THE RAIN,

  • CONDITIONS WILL CHANGE, MY GOD.

  • BECAUSE IT'S YOUR RAIN, IT'S YOUR SPIRIT...

  • Cheadle: IN A LOT OF THE COUNTRY,

  • SOMETHING LIKE A DROUGHT IS SEEN AS AN ACT OF GOD,

  • OR PART OF A NATURAL CYCLE.

  • BUT WHERE I LIVE, IN LOS ANGELES,

  • IT SEEMS LIKE ANY KIND OF EXTREME WEATHER

  • GETS BLAMED ON CLIMATE CHANGE.

  • SOMETIMES IT FEELS LIKE WE LIVE IN TWO DIFFERENT COUNTRIES.

  • I WANT TO KNOW WHAT THE TRUTH IS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT

  • AND IF IT'S POSSIBLE FOR THESE TWO SIDES TO TALK TO EACH OTHER.

  • SO I'M HEADING TO TEXAS TO FIND OUT.

  • [ EXPLOSION ]

  • [ INDISTINCT SHOUTING, CAR ALARM BLARING ]

  • THIS IS AL HASAKAH PROVINCE. I'M FROM HASAKAH CITY.

  • Friedman: I'M LESS THAN AN HOUR'S DRIVE

  • FROM THE SYRIAN BORDER.

  • ON THE OTHER SIDE, A CIVIL WAR IS RAGING --

  • THE WORLD'S DEADLIEST CONFLICT.

  • I'LL INTRODUCE MYSELF.

  • I WORK AS A MEDIC AND SAFETY CONSULT.

  • I SERVED IN THE BALKANS, IN SARAJEVO, AFGHANISTAN.

  • THIS WILL BE MY 10th TRIP INTO SYRIA.

  • BUT I'M NOT HERE TO WRITE ABOUT THE LATEST BATTLE.

  • THERE'S A DIFFERENT DISASTER I'M INTERESTED IN,

  • ONE I HOPE WILL TELL ME SOMETHING ABOUT THE REAL ROOTS

  • OF THIS CONFLICT.

  • IT FEEDS INTO THE EUPHRATES.

  • IT ACTUALLY STOPPED? WOW.

  • HUH.

  • FOUR YEARS BEFORE THE CIVIL WAR STARTED,

  • SYRIA WAS HIT BY A DROUGHT

  • THAT LASTED UNTIL JUST BEFORE THE REVOLUTION,

  • A DROUGHT SO DEVASTATING

  • THAT IT ALTERED THE LIVES OF MILLIONS OF SYRIANS.

  • THERE'S A MAN ON THE OTHER SIDE

  • OF THAT BORDER WHO CAN TELL ME ABOUT IT.

  • I JUST HAVE TO GET THERE.

  • THE NEAREST SYRIAN ARMY TROOPS?

  • NOBODY REALLY KNOWS WE'RE COMING, IS THAT CORRECT?

  • YEAH.

  • Woman: THIS REPORT CONSTITUTES AN ALARM-CLOCK MOMENT

  • FOR THE WORLD,

  • BECAUSE THIS REPORT WILL TELL US, AGAIN,

  • THAT EVERYTHING WE THOUGHT WE KNEW ON CLIMATE CHANGE

  • HAS ACTUALLY BEEN UNDERESTIMATED,

  • THAT THE EFFECTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE WILL BE UPON US

  • FASTER AND IN A MORE INTENSE FASHION THAN WE HAD THOUGHT.

  • President H.W. Bush: WE ALL KNOW THAT HUMAN ACTIVITIES

  • ARE CHANGING THE ATMOSPHERE

  • IN UNEXPECTED AND IN UNPRECEDENTED WAYS.

  • Man: ...THAT THE GREENHOUSE EFFECT HAS BEEN DETECTED,

  • AND IT IS CHANGING OUR CLIMATE NOW.

  • Man #2: THE ATMOSPHERE AND OCEAN HAVE WARMED.

  • THE AMOUNT OF SNOW AND ICE HAVE DIMINISHED.

  • SEA LEVEL HAS RISEN,

  • AND THE CONCENTRATIONS OF GREENHOUSE GASES HAVE...

  • Schwarzenegger: THERE IS NO MORE FIRE SEASON.

  • WE HAVE WILDFIRES ALL YEAR 'ROUND.

  • Man #3: CLIMATE CHANGE, EXTREME WEATHER...

  • Man #4: A WAKE OF MASSIVE DESTRUCTION...

  • Man #3: ...AND OUR VULNERABILITY TO IT.

  • Man #4: ...UNTHINKABLE, AND THE DEVASTATION.

  • Man #5: ...WHERE 12 YEARS OF DROUGHT HAS LEFT THE LANDSCAPE BONE-DRY.

  • Man #6: WE GOT ANY PATRIOTS IN THE CROWD?!

  • Woman #2: A NEW SCIENTIFIC REPORT HAS DETERMINED

  • THE LAST DECADE WAS THE WARMEST ON RECORD.

  • Man #7: OUR WORLD IS CHANGING FASTER

  • AND MORE DRAMATICALLY THAN EVER BEFORE.

  • Man #4: WE MAY HAVE RATIFIED OUR OWN DOOM.

  • Ford: THE DATA WE COLLECTED WITH THAT JET, PLUS A LOT MORE,

  • ALL COMES HERE TO NASA'S ADVANCED SUPERCOMPUTING FACILITY

  • IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA.

  • THESE DAYS, THE MOST JAW-DROPPING IMAGES

  • COMING OUT OF NASA AREN'T OF MARS OR THE MOON,

  • BUT OF WHAT'S HAPPENING TO OUR OWN PLANET.

  • Nemani: SO, HERE IS A PICTURE OF THE PLANT GROWTH.

  • WE HAVE DROUGHTS GOING ON IN THE MIDWEST,

  • IN RUSSIA, IN BRAZIL, IN ARGENTINA.

  • Hansen: THREE BREAD BASKETS --

  • THE CORN BELT, UKRAINE, RUSSIA --

  • WHEAT BELT, AND DOWN HERE IN ARGENTINA --

  • THE SOY-CORN BELT --

  • IT'S ALL UNDERPERFORMING UNDER DROUGHT.

  • THIS IS ACTUAL DATA, NOT A PROJECTION?

  • YES.

  • CAN WE CONNECT THIS DROUGHT TO MAN-MADE CLIMATE CHANGE?

  • AND GREENHOUSE GASES COME FROM THE BURNING OF FOSSIL FUELS,

  • AND THEY COME FROM CARS AND PLANES...

  • FROM DEFORESTATION.

  • ...AND COAL-FIRE PLANTS. EXACTLY, YES.

  • HOW DOES THAT PLAY OUT IN THE UNITED STATES

  • OVER THE NEXT FEW YEARS?

  • HERE WE'RE LOOKING AT HISTORICAL CLIMATE -- JULY 1950.

  • THESE ARE HIGH TEMPERATURES.

  • AS YOU CAN SEE, ONLY A FEW AREAS,

  • LIKE IN ARIZONA, YOU HAVE 100-PLUS DEGREES IN JULY.

  • BUT AS WE GO INTO THE FUTURE,

  • THE MODELS PREDICT THOSE REALLY HOT AREAS TO BE GROWING.

  • JUST SO YOU CAN SEE HOW THE HIGH TEMPERATURES

  • ARE SPREADING ACROSS THE COUNTRY.

  • AND IMAGINE THE IMPACT OF THOSE TEMPERATURES

  • WHERE WE PRODUCE FOOD.

  • AH.

  • Moore: IMAGINE, HARRISON,

  • THAT FARGO, NORTH DAKOTA, IS LIKE PHOENIX.

  • THOSE AGRICULTURAL AREAS IN THE MIDWEST --

  • 100 DEGREES.

  • THESE ARE CONSERVATIVE PROJECTIONS

  • BY THE WORLD'S LEADING SCIENTISTS.

  • AND ONE OF THE BIGGEST CAUSES

  • OF THIS IS SOMETHING ASTONISHING.

  • EACH YEAR. THAT'S A BIG NUMBER.

  • IT TURNS OUT THAT DEFORESTATION

  • ACCOUNTS FOR ABOUT THE SAME AMOUNT OF EMISSIONS

  • AS CARS, PLANES --

  • IN FACT, ALL THE TRANSPORTATION ON THE ENTIRE PLANET.

  • THAT'S BECAUSE LIVING TREES

  • BREATHE IN AND STORE CARBON AS THEY GROW.

  • BUT WHEN THEY DIE,

  • THEY RELEASE THAT CARBON BACK INTO THE ATMOSPHERE.

  • MORE CARBON IN THE AIR MEANS MORE GLOBAL WARMING.

  • AND EVERY COUPLE OF YEARS,

  • ENOUGH FOREST TO COVER ALL OF GERMANY IS LOST FOREVER.

  • THIS PICTURE IS OF FOREST LOSS COLORED BY YEAR.

  • THE BEST COUNTRY IN TERMS OF REDUCING DEFORESTATION

  • HAS BEEN BRAZIL.

  • AT THE OPPOSITE END OF THE SPECTRUM,

  • IN TERMS OF THE HIGHEST RATE OF INCREASE PER YEAR,

  • IS INDONESIA.

  • IT'S KIND OF A DOUBLE WHAMMY FOR CLIMATE CHANGE

  • 'CAUSE FIRST THEY CUT THE TREES

  • THAT HAVE BEEN TAKING IN THE CARBON.

  • AND THEN THEY SLASH AND BURN THE LANDSCAPE,

  • AND THAT RELEASES SO-CALLED "BLACK CARBON."

  • SO MUCH FOREST IS BEING BURNED THERE

  • THAT YOU CAN SEE THE SMOKE FROM SPACE.

  • SO IS IT LEGAL TO SET THESE FIRES?

  • NO. UNDER INDONESIAN LAW, IT IS ILLEGAL.

  • AND WHAT ARE THEY BEING CLEARED FOR?

  • THEY'RE CLEARED FOR TWO PRODUCTS -- PALM OIL AND PAPER.

  • EVERYBODY KNOWS WE CUT DOWN TREES TO MAKE PAPER,

  • BUT PALM OIL?

  • [ CASH REGISTER BEEPING ]

  • SNACK FOODS, CEREALS, CAKES,

  • PROCESSED FOODS,

  • CANDY BARS, COOKIES,

  • CHEEZ-ITS, OREOS, SOAPS, SHAMPOOS.

  • IT'S PRETTY MUCH ON EVERY AISLE OF MOST SUPERMARKETS.

  • YOU'LL FIND PALM OIL IN THERE.

  • PALM OIL COMES FROM THE FRUIT OF OIL PALM TREES.

  • LAFCADIO CORTESI OF RAINFOREST ACTION NETWORK

  • TELLS ME THAT ALMOST ALL OF THOSE PALM TREES

  • ARE GROWN ON LAND THAT USED TO BE FOREST.

  • IT'S NOT THE OIL THAT'S BAD. IT'S HOW THE OIL IS PRODUCED.

  • COMPANIES NEED TO FIND OUT

  • WHERE THEIR PALM OIL'S COMING FROM,

  • AND THEY NEED TO MAKE A COMMITMENT --

  • "WE'RE NOT GONNA CONTRIBUTE TO CLIMATE CHANGE

  • AND DEFORESTATION,"

  • AND THEN LOOK AT THEIR SUPPLY CHAINS AND PROVE THAT.

  • LAFCADIO SAYS DEMAND FOR PALM OIL

  • IS GROWING FASTER THAN ANY OTHER AGRICULTURAL COMMODITY.

  • AND IN INDONESIA,

  • THAT MEANS EVEN MORE INCENTIVE TO DESTROY FORESTS.

  • I'M GOING THERE TO FIND OUT MORE.

  • Cheadle: ON MY WAY TO TEXAS,

  • THE SIGNS OF DROUGHT ARE CLEAR.

  • RANCHERS HERE WERE AMONG THE FIRST TO FEEL ITS EFFECTS.

  • GOOD TO SEE YOU. YEAH.

  • ONE OF THEM, MONTY BEST, HAS BEEN HERE HIS WHOLE LIFE.

  • SO THIS IS ONE OF YOUR SPOTS, RIGHT?

  • THIS IS ONE OF MY SPOTS RIGHT HERE.

  • HOW BIG OF AN EXPANSE?

  • 17,000 ACRES HERE ON THIS RANCH.

  • WOW.

  • 17,000.

  • YEAH, THIS IS WHERE I STARTED OUT RIGHT HERE.

  • Best: I THOUGHT IT NEEDED THE RAIN LAST YEAR.

  • IT'S GOT TO RAIN THIS TIME.

  • I THOUGHT IT WAS JUST ANOTHER DRY SPELL,

  • AND WE'D BE OUT OF IT, BUT IT'S MORE THAN A DRY SPELL.

  • Cheadle: MONTY TELLS ME HE'S HAD TO SELL 2/3 OF HIS STOCK

  • JUST TO STAY IN BUSINESS.

  • AND HE'S NOT ALONE.

  • ACROSS THE BORDER IN TEXAS, WHERE I'M HEADED,

  • THE CATTLE HERD IS AT ITS LOWEST LEVEL

  • IN MORE THAN HALF A CENTURY,

  • DOWN BY MORE THAN 2 MILLION COWS,

  • WHICH IS WHY THAT MEAT-PACKING PLANT IN PLAINVIEW HAD TO CLOSE.

  • WHEN I ARRIVE, IT'S CLEAR THIS ISN'T A BIG TOWN.

  • JUST 22,000 PEOPLE.

  • SO I FIGURE SOMETHING THAT KILLED

  • 2,300 JOBS IN A SINGLE DAY

  • HAS GOT TO BE AFFECTING JUST ABOUT EVERYONE.

  • WHAT ROLE DID CLIMATE CHANGE PLAY

  • IN THE DROUGHT THAT LED TO ALL THIS?

  • WHAT DO THE PEOPLE HERE THINK?

  • I PAY A VISIT TO ONE OF THE LAID-OFF WORKERS, NELLIE MONTEZ.

  • HEY, DON. HI.

  • SO THIS IS WHERE I GREW UP. I'VE LIVED HERE ALL MY LIFE.

  • MY KIDS WERE BORN AND RAISED RIGHT HERE IN THIS HOUSE.

  • THIS IS MY MOM AND DAD'S HOUSE.

  • MOM AND DAD LIVE RIGHT NEXT DOOR?

  • OH, THAT'S NICE.

  • Montez: SEE, A LOT OF THE BUSINESSES

  • HAVE ALREADY CLOSED DOWN AND STUFF.

  • DID YOU EVER SEE IT COMING?

  • I MEAN, THE PLANT CLOSURE?

  • NO. CARGILL'S THE MAIN SOURCE OF INCOME.

  • LIKE, THAT CAN'T HAPPEN.

  • THAT DAY, WHEN THEY TOLD US,

  • THEY TOOK US INTO THE CAFETERIA.

  • YEAH, WHAT WAS THAT LIKE?

  • OH, MY GOD. THAT WAS JUST UNREAL.

  • IT WAS LIKE THEY ROUNDED UP A HERD OF CATTLE IN A PEN

  • AND JUST HIT US OVER THE HEAD WITH IT.

  • THIS IS IT.

  • THIS IS IT.

  • THIS IS HOME, SWEET, HOME.

  • WELL, HOME AWAY FROM HOME, RIGHT?

  • HOME AWAY FROM HOME.

  • Cheadle: NELLIE TOLD ME IT WAS A GOOD JOB.

  • SHE SAVED ENOUGH MONEY TO BUY A HOUSE,

  • AND FOR THE FIRST TIME IN HER LIFE,

  • WASN'T LIVING PAYCHECK TO PAYCHECK.

  • BUT WHEN THEY TOLD ME, "IT'S OVER,"

  • I'M GOING LIKE, "WHAT CAN I DO?" YOU KNOW?

  • WHO'S GONNA HIRE A 46-YEAR-OLD WOMAN AS A FORKLIFT DRIVER?

  • WHAT DO YOU THINK THE REASON WAS FOR THE DROUGHT?

  • I MEAN, DO YOU ATTRIBUTE IT TO ANYTHING?

  • DO YOU THINK ABOUT THAT?

  • UM, MY ONLY THOUGHT WAS, "I THINK IT'S BIBLICAL."

  • BIBLICAL?

  • I REALLY DO.

  • RELIGION PLAYS A BIG ROLE IN PLAINVIEW.

  • THERE ARE OVER 70 CHURCHES IN TOWN,

  • AND I DISCOVER THAT BELIEVING THE DROUGHT IS GOD'S WILL

  • OR PART OF A NATURAL CYCLE IS COMMON HERE.

  • AS I TALK TO MORE AND MORE OF THE LOCALS,

  • IT DOESN'T SEEM LIKE ANYONE

  • THINKS HUMANS COULD BE AFFECTING THE CLIMATE.

  • I THINK IT'S A CYCLE.

  • EVERYTHING RUNS IN 20-YEAR CYCLES.

  • THERE'S ONLY ONE MAN THAT KNOWS HOW MUCH RAIN WE'RE GONNA GET,

  • AND THAT'S GOD AND HE'S NOT A SCIENTIST,

  • SO I'M NOT PUTTING MUCH FAITH IN WHAT THEY SAY.

  • [ CHUCKLES ]

  • GENESIS 9 SAYS

  • THAT THERE WILL ALWAYS BE SEED TIME AND HARVEST.

  • THIS BUSINESS OF THESE PEOPLE SAYING

  • THAT THERE'S GONNA BE A CALAMITY IN WEATHER IS NOT TRUE.

  • Cheadle: BUT WHAT IF IT IS TRUE?

  • WHAT IF GLOBAL WARMING IS THE REASON

  • ALL THESE PEOPLE HERE LOST THEIR JOBS?

  • Friedman: I'VE SPENT DECADES REPORTING ON THE MIDDLE EAST,

  • BUT I HAVE TO SAY THE EVENTS IN SYRIA THESE DAYS

  • ARE SOME OF THE MOST HEARTBREAKING I HAVE EVER SEEN.

  • I THOUGHT I KNEW HOW IT ALL STARTED

  • WITH PROTESTS OVER GOVERNMENT REPRESSION

  • AND WIDESPREAD POVERTY IN EARLY 2011.

  • HI. TOM FRIEDMAN.

  • FARAH NASIF. HI. THANKS FOR COMING.

  • BUT THEN I MET FARAH NASIF,

  • A YOUNG SYRIAN REFUGEE LIVING HERE IN WASHINGTON D.C.,

  • AND SHE MADE ME WONDER

  • IF THERE MIGHT BE A LOT MORE TO THIS STORY.

  • SHE TOLD ME THAT BEFORE THE CIVIL WAR,

  • SHE HAD LIVED THROUGH ANOTHER DISASTER.

  • SO, IS THIS YEAR AFTER YEAR, LESS RAIN?

  • AND THAT THE GOVERNMENT'S RESPONSE MADE PEOPLE SO ANGRY

  • THEY WERE EAGER TO TAKE TO THE STREETS.

  • SHE SAID I COULDN'T UNDERSTAND THE CIVIL WAR

  • IF I DIDN'T UNDERSTAND WHAT HAPPENED IN THE DROUGHT.

  • THEY MOVED FROM THE COUNTRYSIDE TO THE CITY.

  • WOW.

  • REALLY?

  • LATER, I LEARN THAT THIS DROUGHT

  • WAS THE WORST IN SYRIA'S MODERN HISTORY

  • AND THAT IT HAPPENED IN THE FOUR YEARS

  • JUST BEFORE THE REVOLUTION.

  • OVER A MILLION PEOPLE WERE DISPLACED,

  • AND ACCORDING TO THE UNITED NATIONS,

  • MORE THAN 2 MILLION WERE FORCED INTO EXTREME POVERTY.

  • THAT'S REALLY SCARY.

  • AND THIS DROUGHT WAS PART OF A TREND.

  • ACCORDING TO A STUDY BY THE U.S. GOVERNMENT'S

  • NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION,

  • OVER THE LAST 40 YEARS,

  • CLIMATE CHANGE HAS CAUSED THE MEDITERRANEAN REGION TO DRY UP,

  • RESULTING IN LONGER, MORE SEVERE DROUGHTS.

  • THE PLACES IN RED ARE GETTING THE WORST OF IT,

  • AND SYRIA IS RIGHT AT THE EPICENTER.

  • I ALSO COME ACROSS

  • A CONFIDENTIAL U.S. DIPLOMATIC CABLE

  • WRITTEN TWO YEARS BEFORE THE REVOLUTION.

  • IT CONTAINS SOME DIRE PREDICTIONS.

  • A U.N. OFFICIAL STATIONED IN SYRIA

  • FEARED THE DROUGHT WOULD THROW THE ENTIRE COUNTRY INTO CHAOS.

  • BUT CAN THERE REALLY BE A CONNECTION

  • BETWEEN A DROUGHT AND A CIVIL WAR?

  • HEY, IT'S THOMAS FRIEDMAN FROM THE NEW YORK TIMES.

  • [ BUZZER ]

  • Rice: CLIMATE CHANGE IS NOW WELL UNDERSTOOD

  • TO BE A MAJOR NATIONAL-SECURITY ISSUE

  • AND A SOURCE OF STRESS

  • ON A NUMBER OF THE UNDERLYING CAUSES OF CONFLICT --

  • DROUGHT, FLOODS,

  • FOOD SHORTAGES, WATER SCARCITY.

  • ALL OF THESE DRIVE INCREASED HUMAN INSECURITY,

  • POVERTY,

  • AND CAN CONTRIBUTE TO CONFLICT.

  • HOW MUCH DO YOU FEEL THAT STRESS IN NORTHERN SYRIA,

  • WHERE YOU HAVE THIS REGION AFFLICTED BY DROUGHT

  • FROM 2006 TO 2010,

  • RIGHT ON THE EVE OF THE REVOLUTION THERE,

  • CONTRIBUTED TO IT?

  • IT'S VERY HARD TO QUANTIFY.

  • HOWEVER, WE ALL KNOW THAT,

  • YOU KNOW, WHERE THERE IS DROUGHT,

  • WHERE THERE IS INSECURITY,

  • WHEN THERE IS POVERTY, HUNGER, POOR GOVERNANCE,

  • REPRESSIVE POLICIES,

  • IT MAY MAKE THE TINDER IN THE BOX

  • MORE READILY IGNITABLE.

  • IN OTHER WORDS, IF A DROUGHT IS BAD ENOUGH,

  • IT CAN HELP PUSH AN ALREADY STRESSED SOCIETY

  • TO THE BREAKING POINT.

  • IS THAT WHAT HAPPENED IN SYRIA?

  • Ford: I ARRIVE IN INDONESIA

  • TO WHAT LOOKS LIKE THE WORST SMOG I'VE EVER SEEN.

  • BUT IT'S NOT SMOG.

  • IT'S SMOKE.

  • FIRE IS THE CHEAPEST WAY TO CLEAR A FOREST.

  • SO IT CAN BE REPLACED BY THIS --

  • PALM TREES FOR PALM OIL.

  • THESE PLANTATIONS MAY LOOK LUSH,

  • BUT THEY TAKE THE PLACE OF DENSE JUNGLES

  • THAT WERE STORING CARBON FOR HUNDREDS OF YEARS.

  • THE PALM TREES WILL ONLY GROW FOR 25 YEARS

  • BEFORE BEING CUT DOWN AND BURNED AGAIN,

  • RELEASING ALL THEIR CARBON INTO THE ATMOSPHERE.

  • BUT EVEN THAT ISN'T THE WORST OF IT.

  • IN BORNEO, ONE OF INDONESIA'S MANY ISLANDS,

  • TWO PEOPLE ARE WAITING TO SHOW ME MORE.

  • [ CROWD CHEERING ]

  • I'M MET BY REZAL KUSUMAATMADJA.

  • GOOD FLIGHT?

  • GOOD FLIGHT.

  • REZAL AND HIS BUSINESS PARTNER, DHARSONO HARTONO,

  • ARE TAKING ME TO A REMOTE PIECE OF FOREST

  • THAT THEY'RE TRYING TO SAVE.

  • [ BIRD CALLING ]

  • ALSO ON THIS JOURNEY,

  • MY FRIEND RUSS MITTERMEIER,

  • A DISTINGUISHED PRIMATOLOGIST

  • AND PRESIDENT OF CONSERVATION INTERNATIONAL,

  • WHICH HAS FOCUSED ON CLIMATE CHANGE

  • AND DEFORESTATION FOR MANY YEARS.

  • REZAL AND DHARSONO TELL ME

  • THAT THE MOST REMARKABLE AND PRECIOUS THING ABOUT THIS JUNGLE

  • IS RIGHT UNDER OUR FEET.

  • WHAT WE'RE WALKING ON ISN'T MUD.

  • IT'S A THICK LAYER OF COMPRESSED,

  • DECAYING VEGETATION CALLED PEAT.

  • MANY OF INDONESIA'S FORESTS SIT ON PEAT,

  • AND PEAT IS FULL OF CARBON.

  • Ford: SO, WHAT ARE THESE GUYS DOING HERE?

  • GETTING A CORE SAMPLE OF SOME KIND OF THE PEAT, RIGHT?

  • THAT'S CORRECT.

  • ARE YOU GONNA SEND IT TO A LABORATORY?

  • YES, WE HAVE TO TEST WHAT WE CALL THE BULK DENSITY...

  • RIGHT.

  • ...AND THE ORGANIC CARBON CONTENT.

  • IN A TYPICAL PEAT SAMPLING,

  • IF YOU MEASURE ONE METER BY ONE METER AND ONE METER --

  • THAT'S ONE CUBIC METER --

  • IT CONSISTS BETWEEN 45 KILOGRAMS TO 90 KILOGRAMS...

  • OF CARBON DIOXIDE. ...OF CARBON. OF CARBON.

  • DOES PEAT CONTAIN THE SAME AMOUNT OF CARBON

  • AS A REGULAR FOREST?

  • PEAT CAN BE 10 TIMES AS MUCH.

  • AND IF THERE'S A FIRE IN THIS FOREST,

  • THE PEAT WILL BURN, TOO,

  • RELEASING ALL THAT STORED CARBON INTO THE AIR.

  • PEAT FIRES ARE ALMOST IMPOSSIBLE TO EXTINGUISH.

  • THEY CAN SMOLDER FOR YEARS.

  • WHAT'S THE TOTAL CONTAINED IN THIS AREA

  • THAT YOU'RE TRYING TO PROTECT?

  • WE HAVE ESTIMATED ALMOST A BILLION TONS OF CARBON DIOXIDE.

  • YOU LIVE IN LOS ANGELES, RIGHT?

  • SO, I THINK LOS ANGELES HAS 5 MILLION CARS.

  • TAKE 1/3 OUT -- THE CARS --

  • AND THAT'S THE KIND OF EMISSION THAT WE'RE PREVENTING.

  • WOW.

  • THAT'S A LOT OF CARS.

  • AND THAT'S JUST THIS AREA.

  • IN TOTAL, THE DESTRUCTION OF INDONESIA'S PEAT LANDS

  • ACCOUNTS FOR AN ASTONISHING 4%

  • OF THE WORLD'S GREENHOUSE-GAS EMISSIONS.

  • BUT AFTER FIVE YEARS OF TRYING TO PROTECT THIS ONE PEAT FOREST,

  • THEY STILL HAVEN'T SUCCEEDED.

  • WHAT'S THE PROBLEM? WHY AREN'T WE DOING IT?

  • ONE OF THE BIGGEST PROBLEMS

  • THAT WE'VE BEEN FACING IN THE PAST FIVE YEARS

  • IS TO GET THE RIGHTS TO THE LAND --

  • THE LEASE OF THE LAND -- FROM THE GOVERNMENT.

  • IT'S NOT EVEN BEING GRANTED. WHY?

  • THE MINISTER OF FORESTRY HAS TO SIGN THIS CONCESSION RIGHTS.

  • BUT THE PAPER THAT HE HAS TO SIGN

  • HAS BEEN SITTING THERE FOR OVER A YEAR, I THINK.

  • EVERYBODY KNOWS THAT CORRUPTION IS A PROBLEM IN INDONESIA.

  • ONE OF THE BIG SOURCES OF CORRUPTION

  • IS ACTUALLY THE FORESTRY SECTOR

  • JUST BECAUSE THEY HOLD A LOT OF LAND.

  • WE NEVER HEARD DIRECTLY FROM THE MINISTER HIMSELF

  • WHAT KINDS OF THINGS THAT HE WANTS FROM US,

  • BUT WE'VE HEARD FROM OTHER PEOPLE

  • THAT BECAUSE IT IS A BIG AREA, WE HAVE TO GIVE SOMETHING UP.

  • GIVE SOMETHING UP. GIVE SOMETHING UP.

  • IN OTHER WORDS,

  • THEY HEAR THAT OFFICIALS IN THE FOREST MINISTRY

  • MAY BE LOOKING FOR A BRIBE.

  • IT'S HAPPENED HERE IN THE PAST.

  • I WANT TO MEET THE MINISTER IN CHARGE,

  • BUT THERE'S A LOT MORE TO SEE FIRST.

  • Cheadle: THE DROUGHT THAT CAUSED THE PLANT IN PLAINVIEW TO CLOSE

  • WASN'T JUST LIMITED TO TEXAS.

  • AT ITS HEIGHT, IT COVERED 2/3 OF THE CONTINENTAL U.S.

  • I WAS LOOKING FOR SOMEONE

  • WHO COULD HELP ME UNDERSTAND WHAT CAUSED IT.

  • AND I FOUND HER ONE TOWN OVER

  • AT TEXAS TECH UNIVERSITY IN LUBBOCK.

  • KATHARINE HAYHO IS ONE OF

  • THE TOP CLIMATE SCIENTISTS IN THE WORLD.

  • SHE'S WRITTEN MORE THAN 60 PEER-REVIEWED PUBLICATIONS,

  • AND ONE OF HER SPECIALTIES IS DROUGHT.

  • HERE IN WEST TEXAS, IT'S FEAST OR FAMINE.

  • WE HAVE YEARS WHEN IT'S DRY AS A BONE.

  • WE HAVE YEARS WHEN IT'S RECORD FLOODING,

  • AND THAT'S JUST THE WAY IT'S ALWAYS BEEN

  • AS FAR BACK AS WE GO.

  • SO JUST TO GIVE YOU AN EXAMPLE, HERE IN LUBBOCK,

  • WE ONLY HAVE ABOUT 9 OR 10 DAYS A YEAR

  • OVER 100 DEGREES ON AVERAGE.

  • IN 2011, WE HAD ALMOST 50 DAYS OVER 100,

  • AND THAT IS GONNA BE THE TYPICAL SUMMER

  • BY THE MIDDLE OF THE CENTURY

  • IF WE CONTINUE ON OUR CURRENT PATHWAY.

  • SO WHAT HAPPENS IF YOU TAKE THAT EXACT NATURAL CYCLE

  • OF DROUGHT, WET, DROUGHT, WET, AND YOU MAKE IT HOTTER?

  • WELL, WHEN IT'S DRY,

  • ALL THAT EXTRA TEMPERATURE

  • IS GONNA CAUSE EVEN MORE WATER TO EVAPORATE.

  • IT'S GONNA DRY OUT THE SOIL EVEN MORE.

  • SO THE AVERAGE DROUGHT IS GONNA BECOME MORE SEVERE

  • AS IT GETS WARMER.

  • THE QUESTION, THEN, IS WHAT'S CAUSING IT TO CHANGE?

  • THERE'S WHAT I CALL FOUR USUAL SUSPECTS

  • THAT WE KNOW HAVE DONE IT BEFORE.

  • NATURAL CYCLES IS #1 -- SUSPECT #1.

  • THE SUN IS SUSPECT #2

  • 'CAUSE THAT'S WHERE WE GET ALL OUR ENERGY FROM.

  • SO HOW DO WE KNOW IT'S NOT THE SUN?

  • IT'S BECAUSE WE CAN ACTUALLY LOOK AT THE SUN'S ENERGY.

  • WE'VE BEEN MEASURING IT.

  • SO WE HAVE THIS REGULAR CYCLE, RIGHT?

  • BUT WE ALSO HAVE THESE LONG-TERM CHANGES

  • WHERE IT WAS GIVING US MORE AND MORE ENERGY

  • UP UNTIL ABOUT THE 1970s, AND THEN IT STARTED TO GO DOWN.

  • AND THIS IS OUR TEMPERATURE.

  • OUR TEMPERATURE ACTUALLY KEPT ON GOING UP.

  • SO IT'S NOT THE SUN.

  • CAN'T BE THE SUN.

  • PULL THE SUN OUT. WE WOULD BE GOING DOWN.

  • WE WOULD BE GETTING COOLER IF IT WAS THE SUN. RIGHT.

  • WE KNOW IT'S NOT VOLCANOES

  • BECAUSE VOLCANOES JUST COOL THE EARTH WHEN THEY ERUPT.

  • WHAT ABOUT NATURAL CYCLES?

  • YOU SEE THESE REGULAR CYCLES EVERY 100,000 YEARS OR SO.

  • RIGHT.

  • AND YOU SEE THE CYCLES IN TEMPERATURE

  • AND IN CARBON DIOXIDE.

  • WE SEE THAT TEMPERATURE

  • AND CARBON DIOXIDE TRACK TOGETHER.

  • MM-HMM.

  • WE ALSO SEE THAT RIGHT NOW WE ARE WAY OUT OF THE BALL PARK.

  • CO2 IS OUT OF THE BALL PARK BECAUSE OF HUMAN ACTIVITY,

  • AND THE EARTH'S TEMPERATURE IS RISING RIGHT ALONG WITH IT.

  • SO THE BOTTOM LINE IS

  • THE NATURAL SUSPECTS ALL HAVE ALIBIS.

  • WE CAN'T BLAME IT ON NATURAL CYCLES,

  • THE SUN, THE ICE AGES, VOLCANOES.

  • NATURAL CAUSES WOULD BE CAUSING US TO COOL RIGHT NOW,

  • AND WE'RE GETTING WARMER FASTER AND FASTER.

  • WE'RE HEADING INTO AN UNKNOWN FUTURE

  • LIKE WE HAVE NEVER PUT OURSELVES IN BEFORE.

  • AS I LEAVE TOWN,

  • I WONDER HOW PEOPLE IN PLAINVIEW

  • WOULD REACT TO WHAT SHE JUST TOLD ME.

  • WOULD THEY SEE A CONFLICT

  • BETWEEN HER SCIENCE AND THEIR FAITH?

  • AND I CAN SEE THE LIGHT THAT IS COMIN' ♪

  • FOR THE HEART THAT HOLDS ON

  • THERE WILL BE AN END TO THESE TROUBLES

  • BUT UNTIL THAT DAY COMES

  • COME ON, LET'S PRAY!

  • Cheadle: BUT KATHARINE DOESN'T SEE A CONFLICT.

  • FATHER, THANK YOU FOR THIS MORNING.

  • SHE'S A DEVOUT CHRISTIAN, HERSELF.

  • AMEN.

  • [ MAN CHANTING IN ARABIC ]

  • Friedman: ON MY WAY TO SYRIA,

  • I LEARN ABOUT A FAMILY THAT RECENTLY FLED THE WAR

  • AND IS NOW TAKING REFUGE HERE.

  • [ MAN SINGING IN ARABIC ]

  • HAVE YOU EVER SEEN ANYTHING LIKE THAT BEFORE?

  • TWO MONTHS?! THEY TOOK YOU AWAY FOR TWO MONTHS?

  • AND WHAT ARE YOUR PLANS NOW?

  • YOU WANT TO GO BACK AND REJOIN YOUR COMRADES

  • AND CONTINUE THE REVOLUTION?

  • Friedman: HOW MANY OTHER SYRIANS, I WONDER,

  • HAVE A SIMILAR STORY TO TELL?

  • THE ANSWER IS ON THE OTHER SIDE OF THAT BORDER.

  • I'M TOLD THERE'S A REBEL COMMANDER

  • LEADING A GROUP OF FAILED FARMERS TURNED FIGHTERS.

  • THAT'S WHERE I'M HEADING.

  • Ford: IN ORDER TO TRULY UNDERSTAND DEFORESTATION HERE,

  • IT'S IMPORTANT TO KNOW THIS COUNTRY'S HISTORY.

  • THE DICTATORSHIP THAT WAS IN POWER FROM THE 1960s TO THE '90s

  • SEIZED HUGE SWATHS OF LAND FROM INDIGENOUS PEOPLES

  • BY LABELING THEM "STATE FOREST,"

  • THEN PARCELED THEM OUT TO BIG COMPANIES.

  • THE COMPANIES LEVELED THE FOREST.

  • BUT THEN A FEW YEARS AGO,

  • IT SEEMED LIKE THINGS WERE TAKING A TURN FOR THE BETTER.

  • THE COUNTRY'S PRESIDENT DECLARED A MORATORIUM

  • ON THE DESTRUCTION OF ALL NATURAL FORESTS.

  • BY SAVING, REGENERATING,

  • AND SUSTAINABLY MANAGING FORESTS,

  • WE ARE ALSO DOING OUR PART

  • IN REDUCING GLOBAL GREENHOUSE-GAS EMISSIONS.

  • Ford: BUT THE CUTTING AND BURNING CONTINUED.

  • IN FACT, IT ACCELERATED.

  • IT SEEMS AS IF THE PRESIDENT'S AUTHORITY WAS LIMITED.

  • PERHAPS THERE WAS TOO MUCH MONEY TO BE MADE.

  • [ ANIMALS CALLING ]

  • [ ELEPHANT CRIES ]

  • THESE PEOPLE FROM THE WORLD WILDLIFE FUND

  • ARE BRINGING ME TO A BEAUTIFUL PLACE CALLED TESSO NILO.

  • CONSERVATION INTERNATIONAL AND WWF WORKED FOR YEARS

  • TO GET IT DECLARED A NATIONAL PARK.

  • THE GOVERNMENT, SPECIFICALLY THE FORESTRY MINISTER,

  • WOULD THEN BE RESPONSIBLE FOR PROTECTING IT.

  • BUT WHEN IT WAS NAMED A PARK 10 YEARS AGO,

  • THAT DIDN'T STOP THE PALM-OIL INVASION.

  • WE REALIZED THAT THERE WAS A HUGE ELEPHANT HERD

  • IN THIS PROVINCE THAT NOBODY WAS TAKING CARE OF.

  • THERE WERE CONFLICTS WITH THE OIL-PALM COMPANIES

  • AND THESE ELEPHANTS IN THE SURROUNDING AREA.

  • WHAT DO THEY DO ABOUT THE ELEPHANTS?

  • THEY POISON THEM.

  • WE FOUND GROUPS

  • OF UP TO 21 ELEPHANTS DEAD.

  • IT'S CLEAR THAT WHAT'S HAPPENING TO THESE ELEPHANTS

  • IN THIS FOREST IS DEEPLY CONNECTED TO OUR OWN FUTURE

  • BECAUSE OF CLIMATE CHANGE.

  • Man: EXTINCTION IS HAPPENING,

  • AND WE ARE WATCHING RIGHT HERE.

  • THERE'S NOTHING ELSE IN SUMATRA LEFT OF THIS ECOSYSTEM.

  • THIS IS THE LAST SPOT, AND IT'S GOING, GOING, GOING.

  • Ford: IT'S IMPORTANT TO EXPERIENCE THIS PARADISE FIRST

  • TO APPRECIATE WHAT COMES NEXT --

  • THE DESTRUCTION.

  • Hayho: MANY PEOPLE VIEW SCIENCE AND FAITH

  • AS BEING DEEPLY DIVIDED,

  • BUT FOR ME, GROWING UP WITH A DAD WHO WAS A SCIENTIST

  • WHO WAS ALSO A MISSIONARY

  • AND WHO WAS VERY ACTIVE IN THE CHURCH,

  • I GREW UP WITH THE UNDERSTANDING THAT THERE WAS NO CONFLICT.

  • BY STUDYING SCIENCE,

  • WE'RE STUDYING WHAT GOD WAS THINKING

  • WHEN HE CREATED THE UNIVERSE.

  • Cheadle: I'VE NEVER HEARD OF ANYONE LIKE KATHARINE HAYHO --

  • AN EVANGELICAL CLIMATE SCIENTIST?

  • SHE'S MADE IT HER MISSION TO EXPLAIN THE SCIENCE

  • OF CLIMATE CHANGE TO PEOPLE OF FAITH.

  • Hayho: EVERY MAJOR FAITH AT ITS CORE

  • HAS THE IDEA THAT YOU SHOULD TAKE CARE OFF PEOPLE

  • WHO HAVE LESS THAN YOU DO.

  • IF YOU LOOK AROUND THE WORLD,

  • WE'RE SEEING THINGS HAPPENING

  • THAT ARE AFFECTING OUR GLOBAL NEIGHBORS.

  • THE ONLY SENSIBLE RESPONSE

  • IS REDUCING OUR OWN CONTRIBUTION,

  • TAKING CARE OF THOSE THAT WE CAN,

  • AND LOVING OUR NEIGHBORS AS OURSELVES.

  • WE'VE BEEN DIGGING THIS STUFF UP FROM WAY UNDER THE GROUND,

  • WHERE IT WOULD NORMALLY STAY FOR ABOUT A MILLION YEARS,

  • AND WE'VE BEEN PUTTING IT INTO THE ATMOSPHERE

  • REALLY, REALLY QUICKLY.

  • I'VE BEEN A CHRISTIAN SINCE, YOU KNOW, I WAS -- CAN REMEMBER.

  • Cheadle: EVEN STUDENTS ASK HER HOW TO SQUARE SCIENCE AND FAITH.

  • I FEEL LIKE OF COURSE GOD'S IN CONTROL,

  • BUT HE'S GIVEN US THE FREEDOM TO MAKE CHOICES,

  • AND WHAT WE'RE SEEING HERE

  • IS WE'RE SEEING THE CONSEQUENCES OF CHOICES WE MADE.

  • BUT IT'S OFTEN DIFFICULT TO SEW THESE SEEDS

  • IN THE HARD-BAKED POLITICAL TERRAIN OF TEXAS.

  • THOSE THAT WANT TO TAKE THE POSITION

  • THAT GLOBAL WARMING IS MAN'S FAULT

  • AND IT IS INCONTROVERTIBLE -- THAT'S NOT CORRECT.

  • WHY WOULD I PUT OUR CHILDREN'S FUTURE IN JEOPARDY

  • ON SCIENCE THAT FRANKLY IS NOT PROVEN,

  • AND JUST BECAUSE THERE IS A LARGE NUMBER OF SCIENTISTS

  • THAT STAND UP AND SAY, "OH, IT IS --

  • IT'S MAN'S FAULT AND THAT IS THAT"?

  • Hayho: WHAT FRUSTRATES ME

  • AND WHAT ACTUALLY MAKES ME ANGRY

  • IS NOT WHEN PEOPLE DISAGREE WITH ME.

  • WHAT MAKES ME ANGRY

  • IS WHEN I SEE PEOPLE WHO I KNOW KNOW BETTER

  • DELIBERATELY LYING TO PEOPLE ABOUT THIS ISSUE.

  • AND SO WHEN I SEE PEOPLE TELLING OTHER PEOPLE,

  • "CLIMATE HASN'T CHANGED. GLOBAL WARMING HAS STOPPED.

  • GOD WOULD NEVER LET THIS HAPPEN TO THE PLANET,"

  • WELL, OH, YEAH? LOOK AROUND.

  • THERE'S A LOT OF BAD THINGS

  • THAT HAPPEN TO THE PLANET EVERY SINGLE DAY.

  • DOES GOD LET THOSE HAPPEN? YEAH, HE DOES. WHY?

  • BECAUSE HE GAVE US THE BRAINS TO MAKE GOOD AND BAD CHOICES.

  • Montez: I BELIEVE THAT AS LONG AS YOU'VE GOT GOD,

  • HE'S GONNA GUIDE YOU TO THE NEXT STEP.

  • SO OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF WEEKS, I STARTED PRAYING,

  • AND LIKE THAT -- INSTANTLY -- I JUST FELT PEACE.

  • SO TO ME, IT FELT LIKE IT WAS CONFIRMATION.

  • THAT'S GOOD.

  • SO YOU'RE GOING TO THE NEXT STEP WITH STRENGTH.

  • Cheadle: THAT NEXT STEP IS LEAVING PLAINVIEW.

  • THERE ARE JUST NO JOBS HERE.

  • THREE MONTHS AFTER THE PLANT CLOSED,

  • NELLIE MOVES IN WITH HER BROTHER AND HIS FAMILY IN SAN ANTONIO.

  • BUT THINGS STILL AREN'T LOOKING UP.

  • Montez: I'VE BEEN HURTING THE LAST TWO MONTHS.

  • MY FINANCES MAINLY.

  • Cheadle: SHE CAN'T FIND ANYONE TO BUY HER OLD HOUSE

  • BACK IN PLAINVIEW,

  • SO SHE'S FALLEN BEHIND ON THE MORTGAGE,

  • AND THE BANK'S THREATENING FORECLOSURE.

  • AND HER NEW JOB IN THE APPLIANCE WAREHOUSE DOESN'T PAY MUCH.

  • Montez: MY UNEMPLOYMENT RAN OUT,

  • SO ALL I HAD IN SAVINGS WAS A MONTH'S WORTH.

  • I'VE GOT TO TAKE THE BEST OFFER THAT THEY GIVE ME,

  • AND THE BEST ONE WAS WHERE I'M WORKING NOW.

  • AND THAT'S $12 AN HOUR.

  • THAT DOESN'T COMPARE TO WHAT I WAS MAKING

  • BACK HOME IN PLAINVIEW.

  • Farley: WE PRAY FOR RAIN, AND WE HOPE FOR RAIN

  • BECAUSE THE REALITY IS NOTHING GROWS WITHOUT RAIN.

  • GOD HAS SET IT UP

  • SO THAT A SPRINKLE OF RAIN FALLS ON THE SOIL,

  • AND FROM THAT SOIL COMES UP

  • FRUIT, PLANTS, VEGETABLES, LIFE.

  • Cheadle: KATHARINE WANTS TO INTRODUCE ME

  • TO HER FIRST CLIMATE-CHANGE CONVERT.

  • THIS WATER IS THE TRUTH OF THE GOSPEL,

  • AND THAT'S WHY WE'RE HERE THIS MORNING.

  • SOAK IT IN.

  • Cheadle: IT'S THIS EVANGELICAL PREACHER DREW FARLEY,

  • WHO ALSO HAPPENS TO BE HER HUSBAND.

  • Hayho: IT WASN'T UNTIL AFTER DREW AND I GOT MARRIED

  • THAT I ACTUALLY REALIZED

  • THAT HE DIDN'T THINK CLIMATE CHANGE WAS REAL.

  • AND NOT ONLY THAT,

  • BUT THAT MANY OF THE PEOPLE THAT I WAS GETTING TO KNOW IN CHURCH

  • DIDN'T THINK IT WAS REAL.

  • Farley: A LOT OF MY POLITICAL OPINIONS ARE REPUBLICAN.

  • I'M A CHRISTIAN. I BELIEVE GOD CREATED THE WORLD.

  • YOU KNOW, I'M CONSERVATIVE IN MANY WAYS.

  • AND I ALSO BELIEVE THAT CLIMATE CHANGE IS REAL.

  • IT SEEMS LIKE THE SAME PEOPLE

  • THAT DON'T WANT TO BELIEVE IN THAT SCIENCE

  • BELIEVE IN SCIENCE WHEN THEY NEED TO TAKE A PILL

  • OR BELIEVE IN SCIENCE WHEN THEY,

  • YOU KNOW, WANT SOMETHING TO WORK RIGHT IN THEIR HOUSE

  • THAT'S ATTRIBUTABLE

  • TO OTHER SMART PEOPLE WHO PUT THAT TOGETHER,

  • BUT IN THIS ISSUE,

  • IT'S GOT TO BE A PART OF SOMETHING ELSE.

  • UNFORTUNATELY, IT'S GOTTEN SO --

  • THE POLITICS AND THEN THE QUESTIONS ABOUT GOD

  • AND THEN THE CLIMATE CHANGE --

  • IT'S ALL JUST BECOME THIS BALL OF SOUND BITES.

  • YEAH.

  • AND PEOPLE CAN'T PARSE IT OUT.

  • YEAH, AND I GUESS THAT'S REALLY WHAT IT IS,

  • IS THAT IF YOU ACCEPT CLIMATE CHANGE,

  • THEN, "I HAVE TO VOTE FOR OBAMA."

  • OR IF I SAY, YOU KNOW, IT'S NOT REAL,

  • THEN I CAN STAY WITH MY POLITICAL AFFILIATION,

  • I CAN STAY WITH THE CHURCH, AND EVERYTHING'S ALL GOOD

  • BECAUSE, REALLY, WHAT MOST PEOPLE WANT TO DO,

  • I THINK, IS AVOID CONFLICT.

  • YOU KNOW, A THERMOMETER IS NOT REPUBLICAN.

  • A THERMOMETER IS NOT DEMOCRAT.

  • THE MORE TIME I SPEND HERE, THE MORE I WONDER,

  • IS THERE A WAY TO DISCUSS CLIMATE CHANGE

  • WITHOUT POLITICS OR RELIGION GETTING IN THE WAY?

  • COULD THIS KIND OF DISCUSSION HAPPEN IN PLAINVIEW?

  • [ INDISTINCT SHOUTING ]

  • Man: AT LEAST TWO EXPLOSIONS,

  • MOST LIKELY CAR BOMBS,

  • IN A TOWN ALONG TURKEY'S BORDER WITH SYRIA.

  • WHILE THE DETAILS OF THIS ATTACK ARE STILL COMING OUT,

  • TODAY'S ATTACK RAISES FEARS THAT SYRIA'S BRUTAL CIVIL WAR

  • MAY BE CROSSING INTO NEIGHBORING TURKEY NOW.

  • Friedman: AS WE PREPARE TO LEAVE,

  • THERE'S A MAJOR BOMBING ON OUR SIDE OF THE BORDER

  • JUST A FEW TOWNS OVER.

  • I THINK IT'S THE WORST SUCH A THING

  • HAPPEN IN TURKEY IN YEARS.

  • THE BORDER'S BOUND TO BE BRISTLING WITH TURKISH TROOPS,

  • AND ALL THE BORDER CROSSINGS I'VE DONE,

  • THERE'S BEEN COMPLICATIONS.

  • WHAT'S GOING ON ON THE OTHER SIDE OF THAT BORDER RIGHT NOW?

  • WHAT IS IT LIKE?

  • NOW IT'S SOMEHOW MORE RISKY...

  • WHERE ARE WE RIGHT NOW?

  • Man #2: THE SECONDARY AIM --

  • I CLASSIFY IT AS THE SECONDARY AIM -- IS YOUR JOB.

  • THE SECONDARY AIM? THAT'S THE SECONDARY AIM.

  • THE PRIMARY AIM IS THAT EVERYBODY GOES HOME

  • IN EXACTLY THE SAME CONDITION THAT WE'RE ALL SITTING HERE NOW.

  • IT'S THE MOST DANGEROUS PLACE FOR JOURNALISTS

  • IN THE WORLD AT THE MOMENT.

  • NOBODY REALLY KNOWS WE'RE COMING.

  • THAT CORRECT? YEAH.

  • [ INDISTINCT CONVERSATIONS ]

  • Ford: LAST YEAR,

  • WHAT WAS HAPPENING AT TESSO NILO NATIONAL PARK

  • BECAME SUCH AN EMBARRASSMENT

  • THAT THE FORESTRY MINISTER WAS FORCED TO PAY A VISIT.

  • HE URGED THE PEOPLE THERE TO STOP THE DESTRUCTION.

  • HE HAS THE POWER AND THE RESPONSIBILITY

  • TO BACK UP THESE WORDS WITH ACTION.

  • BUT I'VE HEARD IT HASN'T EXACTLY HAPPENED.

  • THE TOTAL PARK SIZE RIGHT NOW ON PAPER IS 86,000 HECTARES.

  • Man #2: AND HOW MUCH IS LEFT NOW

  • OF THAT ORIGINAL AREA OF THE PARK?

  • RIGHT NOW WE ESTIMATE ABOUT 18,000 HECTARE

  • OF GOOD FOREST LEFT IN THE PARK.

  • EVERYTHING ELSE IS EITHER VERY DEGRADED FOREST

  • OR OPEN WASTE LANDS, OPEN BRUSH AREAS,

  • AND MOST OF IT IS PALM-OIL PLANTATION NOW.

  • ISN'T THE FORESTRY DEPARTMENT

  • RESPONSIBLE FOR POLICING THIS KIND OF ACTIVITY?

  • YES, THE MINISTRY OF FORESTRY

  • IS IN CHARGE OF DOING ALL THE LAW ENFORCEMENT.

  • WHAT HAPPENS?

  • MOST OF THE TIME, NOTHING HAPPENS.

  • IF YOU LOOK ALL AROUND US NOW,

  • WE SEE ALL THESE PATCHES OF BLACK SOIL

  • ALL OVER THE PLACE -- LEFT, RIGHT, FRONT, EVERYWHERE.

  • IT'S ALL BURN SCARS.

  • THEY BURN ALL THE LOGS ON THE GROUND HERE.

  • THIS IS HORRIFYING. LOOK AT THAT.

  • THEY JUST CUT THEM AT THE BASE,

  • DROPPED THE TREES, BURNED EVERYTHING.

  • RIGHT. WOW.

  • Ford: IF INDONESIA'S FORESTRY MINISTER

  • WON'T EVEN PROTECT A NATIONAL PARK,

  • WHAT HOPE IS THERE FOR THE REST OF THE COUNTRY'S FORESTS?

  • Man: THERE IS STILL SMOLDERING.

  • THE FIRE, THE SMOKE IS STILL COMING UP OVER THERE.

  • THE GUYS ARE ALREADY SETTING THE SEEDLINGS

  • INTO THE FRESH BLACK SOIL.

  • THIS MAKES A COMPLETE JOKE

  • OUT OF THE CONCEPT OF NATIONAL PARK.

  • IT'S REALLY SAD.

  • 86,000 HECTARES, AND IT'S HARDLY ANYTHING LEFT.

  • THIS IS UNBELIEVABLE.

  • OH, I CAN'T WAIT TO SEE THE MINISTER OF FORESTRY.

  • I CAN'T WAIT!

  • Cheadle: PLAINVIEW, TEXAS, IS STILL REELING

  • FROM THE CARGILL PLANT CLOSURE.

  • TO PAY THE BILLS, THE CITY RAISED PROPERTY TAXES,

  • AND THE SCHOOL DISTRICT LOST OVER 200 STUDENTS

  • BECAUSE SO MANY FAMILIES HAD TO LEAVE.

  • NOW KATHARINE HAYHO IS COMING TO TOWN

  • TO TALK ABOUT THE DROUGHT THAT CAUSED IT ALL.

  • PEOPLE FROM ALL OVER ARE CURIOUS TO HEAR WHAT SHE HAS TO SAY.

  • Carter: YOU'D HAVE TO BE A LITTLE BIT CRAZY

  • NOT TO AT LEAST WANT TO KNOW A LITTLE BIT MORE ABOUT IT.

  • I MEAN, SHE CERTAINLY,

  • TO ME, IS MORE CREDIBLE THAN SOMEBODY LIKE AL GORE,

  • IF WE'RE GONNA PICK ON AL GORE.

  • BUT SHE HAS THE SAME BELIEFS AS I DO,

  • AS FAR AS FROM A CHRISTIAN, YOU KNOW, BASE DEAL.

  • Cheadle: NELLIE MONTEZ EVEN MADE THE SIX-HOUR DRIVE

  • FROM SAN ANTONIO.

  • Montez: I WANT TO KNOW WHAT IT IS

  • THAT REALLY CAUSED THIS DROUGHT.

  • SO WHEN TOMORROW OR THE DAY AFTER TOMORROW,

  • MY KIDS SAY, YOU KNOW, "WHAT IS THAT?

  • WHAT ARE THEY TALKING ABOUT?" I HAVE SOME KIND OF ANSWERS.

  • YOU KNOW, 'CAUSE RIGHT NOW NOBODY KNOWS.

  • EVEN MY DAD ASKED ME, "WHAT'S IT ABOUT?"

  • I DON'T KNOW WHAT TO TELL HIM.

  • Man: SO PLEASE JOIN ME

  • IN WELCOMING DR. KATHARINE HAYHO TO THE PODIUM.

  • [ APPLAUSE ]

  • Hayho: ONE OF THE MOST INCREDIBLE THINGS ABOUT OUR PLANET

  • IS SOMETHING THAT WE SEE EVERY DAY

  • AND WE PROBABLY DON'T EVER NOTICE. IT'S OUR ATMOSPHERE.

  • JUST LIKE A BLANKET ON A COLD NIGHT

  • KEEPS US WARM BY TRAPPING OUR BODY HEAT UNDER THE BLANKET,

  • IN THE SAME WAY,

  • OUR ATMOSPHERE KEEPS US 60 DEGREES WARMER

  • THAN WE WOULD BE WITH NO ATMOSPHERE.

  • IF WE DIDN'T HAVE THESE LITTLE THINGS OF CARBON DIOXIDE

  • IN OUR ATMOSPHERE, WE'D BE A FROZEN BALL OF ICE.

  • WHAT'S HAPPENING IS WE HAVE THIS NATURAL GREENHOUSE EFFECT HERE

  • WITH THIS NATURAL ATMOSPHERE,

  • AND WE ARE ADDING AN EXTRA LAYER TO IT

  • THAT WAS NEVER INTENDED TO BE THERE.

  • WHEN I LOOK AT THE INFORMATION THAT WE GET FROM THE PLANET,

  • I LOOK AT IT AS GOD'S CREATION SPEAKING TO US.

  • AND IN THIS CASE, THERE'S NO QUESTION

  • THAT GOD'S CREATION IS TELLING US THAT IT IS RUNNING A FEVER.

  • Cheadle: AS I LISTEN,

  • I FIND MYSELF WONDERING WHY FAITH AND SCIENCE

  • ALWAYS SEEM SO FAR APART.

  • CLIMATE'S CHANGING BECAUSE OF WHAT WE'RE DOING.

  • THERE'S NO WAY AROUND IT.

  • Cheadle: IF THERE WERE MORE PEOPLE LIKE KATHARINE,

  • MAYBE THEY WOULDN'T HAVE TO BE.

  • DID YOU GET TO MEET NELLIE?

  • NELLIE, THIS IS KATHARINE.

  • I SAW YOU NODDING. [ LAUGHTER ]

  • I'M NELLIE. I USED TO WORK AT THE CARGILL PLANT. OH, OKAY.

  • SHE WAS JUST TALKING ABOUT

  • THAT SHE HADN'T REALLY THOUGHT ABOUT --

  • WELL, TELL ME WHAT YOU WERE SAYING.

  • JUST LIKE THE THINGS THAT YOU WERE SAYING

  • THAT WE CAN DO AS FAR AS, YOU KNOW,

  • TAKING SOME OF THAT LAYER OF BLANKET OFF, YOU KNOW?

  • RIGHT THERE, I'M SITTING THERE GOING, "I DIDN'T KNOW THAT.

  • WOW! I DIDN'T KNOW THAT."

  • YOU KNOW, WHEN YOU HAVE SOMEBODY

  • THAT BELIEVES THE SAME WAY AS YOU

  • AND IS FROM THIS PART OF THE --

  • OR HAS LIVED HERE FOR QUITE A WHILE

  • AND IS TEACHING AT TEXAS TECH,

  • YOU KNOW, YOU SEE THAT CONSERVATIVE SIDE

  • OF THAT TELLING YOU THE MESSAGE,

  • IT SURE MAKES A LOT OF DIFFERENCE.

  • IT'S ABOUT HOW IT COMES SOMETIMES,

  • NOT NECESSARILY WHAT IT IS,

  • AND IT'S HARD TO DECOUPLE THOSE THINGS.

  • [ TRAIN WHISTLE BLOWING ]

  • Man: FATHER, YOUR WORD LETS US KNOW IN JEREMIAH 29:7

  • TO PRAY FOR THE PEACE AND THE PROSPERITY OF OUR CITY,

  • AND WE PRAY FOR THE PEACE AND THE PROSPERITY, MY GOD.

  • LET GOD BE EXALTED

  • GOD BE EXALTED

  • Montez: WE ALL BELIEVE THAT WE WERE GONNA COME TOGETHER,

  • PRAY ABOUT THIS,

  • AND SOMETHING'S GONNA CHANGE FOR PLAINVIEW.

  • I HAD NEVER HEARD OF CLIMATE CHANGE.

  • AFTER HEARING KATHARINE, I WAS JUST LIKE, "WOW."

  • WELL, IF WE START USING THE RIGHT THINGS

  • AND DOING THE RIGHT THINGS, WE CAN PROBABLY SAVE OUR PLANET.

  • WE LIVE FOR YOUR GLORY

  • LIVE FOR YOUR GLORY

  • Hayho: I NAIVELY THOUGHT

  • THAT I WOULD STUDY CLIMATE SCIENCE

  • UNTIL WE FIXED THE PROBLEM,

  • AND THEN I'D GO BACK TO ASTROPHYSICS.

  • [ LAUGHS ] THAT WAS A LONG TIME AGO.

  • IT WAS URGENT WHEN I STARTED STUDYING THIS PROBLEM,

  • AND IT'S WAY MORE URGENT TODAY.

  • AND SO UNTIL WE HAVE POLICIES IN PLACE

  • TO ACTUALLY START CURBING OUR CARBON EMISSIONS

  • AND REDUCING THE IMPACT

  • WE'RE HAVING ON OUR PLANET, I HAVE TO KEEP GOING.

  • Friedman: ONCE WE CROSS THE BORDER,

  • THE SIGNS OF WAR ARE EVERYWHERE.

  • HERE. THIS IS OUR CHECKPOINT HERE.

  • TOM. NICE TO MEET YOU. THANK YOU VERY MUCH.

  • Friedman: THE COMMANDER TELLS ME

  • HE USED TO BE A COTTON FARMER.

  • BUT WHEN THE DROUGHT HIT,

  • HE HAD TO TURN TO SMUGGLING TO FEED HIS FAMILY.

  • STARVING MAKES YOU DO ANYTHING.

  • WHEN THEY WRITE THE HISTORY OF THIS REVOLUTION,

  • HOW IMPORTANT WILL THE DROUGHT BE?

  • AFTER SHARING A MEAL WITH THE COMMANDER,

  • IT'S TIME TO TURN BACK.

  • IT'S DANGEROUS TO LINGER AROUND HERE,

  • EVEN THIS CLOSE TO THE BORDER.

  • LATER, I'LL FIND OUT THAT THIS TOWN WAS TAKEN OVER BY AL QAEDA

  • AND THAT 100 PEOPLE WERE EXECUTED.

  • AS WE LEAVE,

  • THE WORDS OF THE SYRIAN COMMANDER RING IN MY HEAD.

  • HE CALLED IT A REVOLUTION OF FREEDOM

  • AND A REVOLUTION OF THE HUNGRY.

  • DROUGHTS ARE NOTHING NEW.

  • NEITHER ARE BRUTAL DICTATORS, RELIGIOUS CONFLICTS,

  • OR PEOPLE'S DESIRE FOR FREEDOM.

  • BUT FOR THE SYRIANS WHO LIVED THROUGH IT,

  • THE DROUGHT WILL BE FOREVER SEARED INTO THEIR MEMORIES

  • AND FOREVER SHAPE THEIR FEELINGS

  • TOWARD THE REGIME THEY NOW SEEK TO OVERTHROW.

  • AND THE REST OF US SHOULD TAKE NOTICE.

  • THIS VOLATILE PART OF THE WORLD

  • IS ONLY GETTING HOTTER AND DRYER.

  • MORE DROUGHTS MAY MEAN MORE PEOPLE DISPLACED,

  • MORE LIVES UPROOTED, PERHAPS MORE WAR.

  • AND WE'D BE VERY FOOLISH TO THINK IT WON'T AFFECT US.

Ford: TODAY I GET TO FLY ON A JET THAT WAS ORIGINALLY DESIGNED FOR WAR.

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