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  • Another trading week is in the books.

  • Here on Wall Street. Here is the New York Minute for October, the 14th.

  • We have a strong day in Europe and the opening here in Wall Street,

  • but that soon dissipated. Stocks ended up luckily flat for the day,

  • and that was because of changes in fixed income and common currencies.

  • The dollar is strengthening very noticeably at present because its right back up to the top of its recent arrange.

  • And that is because bond yields, treasury yields were also rising very sharp

  • to the 10-year yield has almost go back up to 1.8%.

  • Inflation expectations are also rising for the States, still at a very low level

  • but right back up toward the top of their recent ranges.

  • Now all of this is because there is now a belief that the Fed really is going to be raising rates in December of this year.

  • However, if you take a look at the implicit forecasts for rates by the end of next year,

  • people still think it's only really a 50-50 shot that they would've raised rates once more by then.

  • There is still a belief that the Fed is fundamentally dovish,

  • even though there is a great concern about rising inflation and the strengthening dollar.

  • It's an unappetizing mix and it the explains why stocks gave up their gains for today.

  • And that's the New York Minute.

Another trading week is in the books.

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