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  • no nation state, no matter how strong their economy,

  • no matter how United their population, can last forever

  • all countries will eventually disappear

  • some will slowly fade away and some will suddenly collapse

  • it's likely that several countries will go this way in the next 10 years

  • here are some at risk of disappearing

  • Lesotho is the last absolute monarchy in Africa

  • it's a small country surrounded by South Africa

  • Their king is basically insane

  • So Lesotho has long been a poor country. But it's got so bad recently that the

  • people of Lesotho are looking for an exit

  • a campaign within the country is begging South Africa to invade

  • Lesotho would cease to exist as an independent country

  • the monarchy would be overthrown and it would become a province of south africa

  • support for the campaign is growing rapidly

  • as the life expectancy in Lesotho has fallen to just 34

  • so the South African government could invade at any time

  • I don't think the Ukraine can last much longer

  • and the reason for this is that it was never meant to exist in the first place

  • it was created as a buffer between Russia and the rest of Europe

  • and Russia has always wanted to control Ukrainian land because of their natural gas pipelines

  • in 2014, Ukraine's Crimean Peninsula was annexed by Russia

  • and has been under Russian control since

  • other areas of Ukraine are currently engaged in power struggles with

  • with Russia clearly seeking more control

  • the Ukrainian people have never been United

  • with seventeen percent of their population identifying as Russian

  • Their country is being torn apart

  • for 42 years, libya was ruled by Colonel Gaddafi

  • but in 2011, he was killed in the Arab Spring

  • since then libya has been a fractured country, with different regions being held by different armies

  • the problems started when Libya's new government

  • failed to crush all the other power-hungry groups

  • So the country fell into civil war

  • the situation was a lot better when Gaddafi held power

  • Barack Obama has called not preparing for a post-gaddafi Libya his biggest mistake

  • if we're being honest

  • libya isn't really a country anymore

  • it's been split into three different ones

  • it's only a matter of time until the UN realizes Libya hasn't existed since 2014

  • the UK is a union of 4 countries

  • England

  • Scotland

  • Wales

  • And Northern-Ireland

  • if any of these countries were to leave for union it would be a big deal

  • But if England or Scotland were to leave, the union would effectively disappear

  • Last year, the people of Scotland voted against independence

  • The population of Scotland is currently split around 50/50 on the issue

  • so it's not beyond imagination that Scotland may one day and leave the union

  • if that were to happen

  • it's unlikely the union could survive

  • spain is one of europe's biggest countries, but that might soon change

  • A number of regions within Spain have their own independence movements

  • The most likely to gain independence is Catalonia

  • there is a big cultural divide between Catalonia and the rest of Spain

  • they even have their own language

  • earlier this year, catalonia's Parliament gained a new leader who is pro-independence

  • his party aims for Catalonia to break away from Spain within 18 months

  • they have already began building their own institutions like a military

  • the spanish government is opposing their actions on constitutional grounds

  • it's going to be interesting to see which side wins

  • North Korea is different from other countries on this list for obvious reasons

  • so many sanctions have been put on North Korea

  • that it's government can't afford to feed most of its population

  • it's among the most impoverished nations

  • there are 3 things likely to soon happen to North Korea

  • the first is that their government collapses and society breaks down until

  • it's reunified with South Korea

  • the second is that they try to invade South Korea, in which case we'd see a

  • similar outcome

  • the third is that North Korea is completely annexed by China and simply

  • becomes a Chinese province

  • I actually think the third is more likely

  • much like Libya, Syria has been in a state of civil war since the Arab Spring

  • but the Syrian dictator was never overthrown

  • he still controls 40% of the country's land and 66% of the population

  • the rest is controlled either by Syrian rebels, the Kurds, or Isis

  • I don't think the country will every unify because of the ethnic divisions within the country

  • the Kurds have always wanted an independent country in northern Syria

  • they basically have that now

  • what we now recognize as Syria was first created as a colony in the French Empire

  • not as an independent country. That's why the ethnic divisions are so visible

  • in 2008 Kosovo became an independent country up until that point it was a un

  • Up until that point it was a UN Protectorate

  • and before that, it was part of serbia but Kosovo broke away from

  • serbia in a brutal civil war

  • Today, it's an extremely weak country

  • it's tiny economy is still recovering from the war

  • it really doesn't make sense for kosovo to exist as a country

  • ninety-two percent of its population are ethnically Albanian

  • and they share a border with Albania

  • the obvious solution is for Albania to absorb Kosovo

  • I'm surprised it hasn't happened already Albania's Prime Minister has publicly

  • stated that the unification of the two countries is inevitable

  • thanks to rising sea levels there are a whole load of islands at risk of

  • completely disappearing

  • I mean, the Maldives, they'll soon be gone

  • and most of micronesia as well

  • the island nation of Kiribati is home to 100 thousand people, but their islands are vanishing

  • and they need a new home

  • so their government is planning on moving them all to Fiji

  • Fiji is also an island nation

  • so maybe it's not the best plan

  • the European Union is essentially a federalist country in the same way the United States is

  • it has its own flag, its own legal system to enforce its own laws,

  • it's represented in the g20, and it's soon to have its own military

  • With all these things, it can only be called a country but it's a country in trouble

  • all across the continent we see the rise of anti-union movements

  • great britain may soon leave the Union. This would be a hammer blow to the Union

  • possibly inspiring other members to leave

  • I think it's going to be difficult for the Union to survive the next 10 years

no nation state, no matter how strong their economy,

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