Overthecourseofmylifetime, themostvaluablethings I'velearnedweretheresultsofmistakes I reflectedontohelpformprinciples.
So I wouldn't makethesamemistakesagain.
Theseprinciplestookmefrombeing a veryordinarymiddle-classkidfromLongIslandtobecomingverysuccessfulasjudgedbyconventionalmeasures.
Theyalsogavemethemeaningfulworkandmeaningfulrelationshipsthat I valueevenmorethantheseconventionalsuccesses.
Peopleoftenaskmehow I didit.
I canassureyouitwasn't becauseofmyuniquenessas a person.
Itwastheresultof a uniqueapproachtolife I believealmostanybodycanadopt.
Itstartswithembracingrealityanddealingwithit.
Thepathyoutakeinlifeisyourmostimportantdecision.
Inmycase, I wantedmylifetobegreat, and I fearedboredomandmediocritymorethan I fearedfailure.
Since I didn't startoutwithmoney, and I didn't needmuchmorethan a bedtosleepinandfoodtoeat, I couldskewmydecisionstopursuemyadventures.
Soeversince I was a kid, I ranafterthethings I wanted, crashed, gotupandranagain, andcrashedagain.
Andeachtime I crashed, I learnedsomething, gotbetter, andcrashedless.
Bydoingthatoverandoveragain, I learnedtolovethisprocess, eventhecrashingpartofit.
Throughit, I encounteredreality, and I learnedhowtodealwithit, whichinspiredanotheroneofmymostfundamentalprinciples, whichisthattruthistheessentialfoundationforproducinggoodoutcomes.
Bytruth, I don't meananythingmorethanthewaytheworldworks.
Realizingthatmademe a hyper-realist, bywhich I mean I becamesomeonewhohasdiscoveredthegreatrewardsofdeeplyunderstanding, accepting, andworkingwithrealityasitis, andnotas I wishitwouldbe.
When I say I'm a hyper-realist, peoplesometimesthink I'm sayingthatdreamscan't cometrue.
That's absolutelynottrue.
Withoutpursuingdreams, lifeismundane.
What I meanisthat, tome, hyper-realismisthebestwaytochooseone's dreamsandthenachievethem.
Havingbigdreams, plusembracingreality, plushavinglotsofdeterminationwillbringyou a successfullife.
I believethisformulaistrueforeveryone.
Butwhatdoes a successfullifelooklike?
Weeachhavetodecideforourselveswhatsuccessis.
I don't carewhetheryouwanttobe a masteroftheuniverseortoliveunder a palmtree, oranythingelse.
Somethingterriblehappenedtomein 1982, when I beteverythingon a depressionthatnevercame.
Theperiodbetween 1979 and 1982 wasoneofextremeturbulence, fortheglobaleconomy, themarkets, andforme.
And I believedthattheUSeconomy, withtheworldeconomytiedtoit, washeadedtoward a catastrophe.
Thisviewwasextremelycontroversial.
I wantedthegreatupside, andverypubliclytook a bigriskandwaswrong, deadwrong.
After a delay, thestockmarketbegan a bigbullmarketthatlasted 18 years, andtheUSeconomyenjoyedthegreatestgrowthperiodinitshistory.
Thisexperiencewaslike a blowtomyheadwith a baseballbat.
I hadtocutmylossessothatmycompany, Bridgewater, wasleftwithoneemployee, me.
I wassobroke, I hadtoborrow $4,000 frommydadtopaymybills.
Butevenworsewashavingtoletgothepeople I caredsomuchabout.
I wonderedwhether I shouldgiveupmydreamofworkingformyselfandplayitsafebyworkingforsomeoneelsein a jobthatwouldrequiremetoputon a tieandcommuteeveryday.
Though I knewthatforme, takinglessriskwouldmeanhaving a lessgreatlife.
Italsoledmetoreflectonnature, becauseitprovides a guideforwhat's true.
So I thought a lotabouthowthingswork, whichhelpedtoputme, andmyowncircumstances, inperspective.
I sawthatatthebigbang, allthelawsandforcesoftheuniversewerecreatedandpropelledforward, interactingwitheachotheras a perpetualmotionmachine, inwhichallthebitsandpiecescoalesceintomachinesthatworkfor a while, fallapart, andthencoalesceintonewmachines.
I foundthatifinsteadofdealingwiththeseeventsasone-offs, I couldseeeachasjustanotheroneofthose, andapproachtheminthesameway a biologistmightapproachananimal.
Because I couldseetheseeventstranspireinprettymuchthesamewaysoverandover, I couldmoreclearlyseethecause-effectrelationshipsthatgoverntheirbehaviors, whichallowedmetodevelopbetterprinciplesthat I couldexpressinbothwordsandalgorithms.
I learnedthatwhilemosteveryoneexpectsthefuturetobe a slightlymodifiedversionofthepresent, itistypicallyverydifferent.
That's becausepeoplearebiasedbyrecenthistory, andoverlookeventsthathaven't happenedin a longtime, perhapsnotevenintheirlifetime.
Buttheywillhappenagain.
Withthatperspective, I realizedthatwhat I missedwhen I mistakenlycalledfor a greatdepressionwashiddeninthepatternsofhistory, and I couldusemynewfoundknowledgeofthesepatternstomakebetterdecisionsinthefuture.
Andwhen I thoughtaboutmychallenge, balancingriskandreward, I realizedthatriskandrewardnaturallygotogether.
I couldseethattogetthemostoutoflife, onehastotakemorerisk, andthatknowinghowtoappropriatelybalanceriskandrewardisessentialtohavingthebestlifepossible.
Imagineyouwerefacedwiththechoiceofhaving a safe, boringlifeifyoustaywhereyouare, orhaving a fabulousoneifyoutaketheriskofsuccessfullycrossing a dangerousjungle.
I stillneededtofacetwobigbarriersthatweallmustface.
I can't tellyouwhichpathinlifeisbestforyou, because I don't knowhowimportantitisforyoutoachievebiggoalsrelativetohowimportantitisforyoutoavoidthepainsrequiredtogetthem.
Thisisthecourage I spokeofearlier, andweeachhavetofeelthesethingsoutforourselves.
Aftermybigmistakeincallingfor a depression, I hadcometooneoflife's forksintheroad, aswealldo.
If I madethechoicetotake a normaljobandplayitsafe, I wouldhaveendedupwith a verydifferentlifethantheone I had.
Butaslongas I couldpaytherent, putfoodonthetable, andeducatemykids, theonlychoiceformewastoriskcrossingthejungleinpursuitofthebestlifepossible.
Mybigmistakeinbettingon a depressiongaveme a healthyfearofbeingwrong.
Inotherwords, itgavemedeephumility, whichwasexactlywhat I needed.
Atthesametime, itdidn't stopmefromaggressivelygoingafterthethings I wanted.
When I refertoyouregobarrier, I'm talkingaboutthepartsofyourbrainthatpreventyoufromacknowledgingyourweaknessesobjectively, sothatyoucanfigureouthowtodealwiththem.
I neededanapproachthatwouldgivemetheexceptionalupsidewithoutalsogivingmetheexceptionaldownside.
When I discoveredit, itturnedouttobemyholygrail.
Togetit, I neededtoreplacethejoyofbeingprovenrightwiththejoyoflearningwhat's true.
Thisneedpromptedmetoseekoutthemostthoughtfulpeople I couldfindwhodisagreedwithme.
I didn't careabouttheirconclusions, I justwantedtoseethingsthroughtheireyes, andtohavethemseethingsthroughmyeyes, sothattogetherwecouldhashthingsouttodiscoverwhat's true.
Inotherwords, what I wantedmostfromthemwasthoughtfuldisagreement.
I foundthattakingthisradicallyopen-mindedapproachandbelievability-weightingpeople's thinkingsignificantlyincreasedmyprobabilitiesofmakingthebestdecisionspossible.
I nolongerwantedtogetacrossthejungle, butinsteadwantedtofindgreaterandgreaterchallengestogoafter, surroundedbygreatpeopleworkingtogetheron a sharedjourney.