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MARIA: WELCOME BACK.
THE RECORD ROLE FOR IF STOCK
MARKET CONTINUES THIS WEEK.
INCREDIBLE UNCHARTERED HIGHS
HIGHLIGHTED BY THE DOW JONES
INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE CRACKING THE
25,000 MARK FOR THE FIRST TIME
BLACK CONTINUE THIS YEAR OR
SHOULD WE EXPECT A CORRECTION.
WITH MORE NOW WE HAVE JASON AND
RALPH, DIRECTOR OF TECHNICAL
PROGRAM.
GOOD TO SEE YOU BOTH.
THANK YOU FOR JOINING US.
RALPH, A REAL HONOR TO HAVE YOU
AS YOU WERE REALLY ONE OF THE
ORIGINALS OF THIS PROGRAM, "WALL
STREET WEEK."
HOW ARE YOU DOING, RALPH?
>> DOING FINE.
AND YOU'RE DOING A GREAT JOB.
I KNOW LOU WOULD BE VERY VERY
HAPPY WITH WHAT YOU'RE DOING
WITH HIS OLD SHOW.
CONGRATULATIONS.
MARIA: YOU AND I GO BACK A LONG
TIME AND I GOT TO GIVE YOU KUDOS
HERE.
IT ALL STARTED IN JUNE OF 1995
WITH YOUR 578-PAGE REPORT
ENTITLED "DOW 7,000".
YOU CALLED DOW 7,000 WHEN THE
DOW WAS AT 4,000.
A LOT OF PEOPLE SAID HE'S NUTS.
I DON'T BELIEVE IT.
WE GOT THERE, SIX MONTHS LATER
YOU RAISED YOUR TARGET TO DOW 10
NOWS.
YOU WERE SO RIGHT.
YOUR FIRM GAVE YOU A LITTLE RED
CORVETTE.
YOU TOOK ME FOR A RIDE IN THAT
CAR.
I REMEMBER.
>> YES, WE DID.
WE WENT DOWN BROADWAY.
MARIA: SINCE YOU PREDICTED DOW 4
DOW 25,000 WHICH WE REACHED THIS
>> YES, I THINK SO.
IN FACT, MY VERY SHORT TERM
TARGET WHEN I DID IT A COUPLE OF
WEEKS AGO WAS 25,900.
I THINK THAT'S A GIVEN.
BUT MY SECONDARY TARGET FOR THIS
YEAR, MARIA, IS 28,700.
I THINK THAT'S VERY DOABLE.
MARIA: WHY?
WHAT TO YOU SEE OUT THERE THAT
MAKES YOU SO BULLISH?
>> THAT'S A GREAT QUESTION.
IT'S NOT WHAT'S HAPPENED IN THE
IT'S WHAT'S HAPPENED IN THE LAST
HALF, THE SECOND HALF OF 2017.
MARIA, IT WAS SUCH SECTOR
ROTATION, SO POWERFUL AND SO
IMPRESSIVE, MONEY COMING BACK
IMPRESSED.
MARIA: JASON, YOU HAVE ONE OF
THE BEST RESEARCHER
THE BEST RESEARCH SHOPS ON THE
STREET.
HOW DO YOU SEE ?
IT?
>> I AGREE WITH RALPH.
AN OLD FRIEND.
GOOD TO SEE YOU.
IN SOME WAYS I THINK WE'RE JUST
BEGINNING -- A LOT OF PEOPLE
THINK THIS MIGHT BE THE END OF
THE BUSINESS CYCLE GIVEN HOW
LONG THE EXPANSION HAS BEEN.
BUT IN SOME WAYS IT'S JUST THE
BEBEGINNING BECAUSE I THINK
CENTRAL BANKS, WHILE THEY WERE
HELPFUL AT THE BEGINNING WOUND
UP GETTING IN THE WAY AT THE
END.
AND I BELIEVE THERE ARE PEOPLE
THAT ARE PO O-POOING THE TAX
CUT.
PERSONALLY I THINK IT'S GOING TO
AVERAGE PERSON THAT PAYS TAXES.
AND I ALSO THINK FOR BUSINESS
INVESTMENTS.
WE'RE JUST GETTING STARTED.
CHRONOLOGICALLY IT SEEMS QUITE
OLD.
IN MY OPINION WE'RE JUST GETTING
GOING.
AND I ALSO AGREE WITH RALPH.
I THINK YOU'RE GOING TO
ZEROATION INTO THE MORE
ENCYCLICAL VALUE ORIENTED
SECTORS OF THE MARKET.
MARIA: I THINK YOU MAKE A GOOD
REALLY IN THE LAST EIGHT YEARS
WAS REALLY DO TO EASY MONETARY
POLICY.
THERE REALLY WEREN'T A LOT OF
MARKET.
BUT THIS TIME, THIS YEAR WE SEE
RATES BEGINNING TO GO UP.
SO MONETARY POLICY IS TAKEN AWAY
AND NOW WE'VE GOT FISCAL POLICY
DRIVING THE BUCK.
>> AND THE NET RESULT OF THAT --
THE OVERALL MARKET MIGHT NOT DO
AS WELL AS IT HAS, LET'S SEE,
LAST YEAR.
BUT THE OPPORTUNITIES TO MAKE
I THINK IT'S MUCH BETTER FOR
ACTIVE MANAGERS BECAUSE THERE'S
GOING TO BE GREATER DISPERSION
OF RETURNS.
AND I THINK YOU'RE GOING TO SEE
STRONGER COMPANIES CONSOLIDATING
A LOT OF THE WEAKER COMPANIES AS
INTEREST RATES RISE.
MARIA: WHAT ABOUT THAT RALPH?
HOW DO YOU MAKE MONEY IN THIS
JASON JUST SAID.
YOU KNOW WHAT, JASON, CORRECT ME
IF I'M WRONG.
I THINK THE MARKET IS LOOKING
BEYOND THE NEXT QUARTER OR TWO.
I THINK IT'S LOOKING OUT INTO
THE END OF THIS YEAR AND PERHAPS
EVEN INTO 2019.
IT'S A LONG TERM VIEW THAT THE
MARKET IS TAKING.
YOU KNOW, THE LIFELINE OF THE
BULL MARKET THAT HAD IN THE LATE
'90s, MARIA, WAS LOW
THAT'S THE FERTILE GROUND FOR
THIS.
I LOVE WHAT JASON SHAD TO SAY.
IT KIND OF FITS IN WITH MY LONG
TERM FEELING.
AS FAR AS BUYING ANYTHING, I
WOULD LOOK AT STOCKS THAT
HAVEN'T PERFORMED, LIKE
EXXONMOBIL, BIG BLUE CHIP DOW
STOCK, HALL BURTON, A DRILLING
STRENGTH IN ENERGY.
BANKING STOCKS.
I THINK IT'S JUST STARTING FOR
COMPANIES LIKE CITI GROUP AND
BANK OF AMERICA.
MARIA: YOU MAKE A GREAT POINT.
IT'S BEEN A LOT OF TECH THAT'S
BEEN LEADING HERE.
>> SO I THINK PEOPLE -- WHEN
ECONOMIC GROWTH IS RELATIVELY
LOW, PEOPLE WOULD PAY UP FOR
GROWTH, EARNINGS GROWTH AND
ECONOMIC GROWTH.
NOW THAT ECONOMIC GROWTH WILL BE
MORE DIFFUSE, MORE APPARENT, I
THINK INVESTORS WILL FIND GROWTH
WITH RALPH.
I THINK ENERGY AND FINANCIALS IN
PARTICULAR ARE TWO GREAT PLACE
TO LOOK FOR FINANCIAL BENEFIT A
LOT FROM REGULATORY REFORMS AND
SO I THINK THE OUTLOOK IS QUITE