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>>> TRUMP’S BAD NUMBERS. LET’S PLAY "HARDBALL."
LET’S PLAY "HARDBALL." GOOD EVENING.
GOOD EVENING. I’M CHRIS MATTHEWS IN
I’M CHRIS MATTHEWS IN WASHINGTON.
WASHINGTON. WITH NEW POLLS SHOWING HIS
WITH NEW POLLS SHOWING HIS DEMOCRATIC RIVALS WELL
DEMOCRATIC RIVALS WELL POSITIONED TO MAKE HIM A
POSITIONED TO MAKE HIM A ONE-TERM PRESIDENT, PRESIDENT
ONE-TERM PRESIDENT, PRESIDENT TRUMP IS WRAPPING UP THE THIRD
TRUMP IS WRAPPING UP THE THIRD SUMMER OF HIS PRESIDENCY BY
SUMMER OF HIS PRESIDENCY BY LASHING OUT IN ALL DIRECTIONS AS
LASHING OUT IN ALL DIRECTIONS AS HE WATCHES ONE OF HIS BIGGEST
HE WATCHES ONE OF HIS BIGGEST PRIORITY, THE BORDER WALL AT A
PRIORITY, THE BORDER WALL AT A STAND STILL AND THE ECONOMY
STAND STILL AND THE ECONOMY PERHAPS UNABLE TO SUSTAIN ITS
PERHAPS UNABLE TO SUSTAIN ITS EXTRAORDINARY PACE.
EXTRAORDINARY PACE. WHAT SEEMS TO BE UNSETTLING THE
WHAT SEEMS TO BE UNSETTLING THE PRESIDENT ARE THE POLL NUMBERS.
PRESIDENT ARE THE POLL NUMBERS. WITH THE ELECTION 14 MONTHS
WITH THE ELECTION 14 MONTHS AWAY, A NEW QUINNIPIAC POLL
AWAY, A NEW QUINNIPIAC POLL SHOWS TRUMP TRAILING EACH OF THE
SHOWS TRUMP TRAILING EACH OF THE TOP FOUR DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATES
TOP FOUR DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATES BY DOUBLE-DIGITS.
BY DOUBLE-DIGITS. LOOK AT THESE NUMBERS.
LOOK AT THESE NUMBERS. FORMER VICE PRESIDENT JOE BIDEN
FORMER VICE PRESIDENT JOE BIDEN LEADS HIM BY 16.
LEADS HIM BY 16. SENATOR BERNIE SANDERS IS UP BY
SENATOR BERNIE SANDERS IS UP BY 14.
14. SENATOR ELIZABETH WARREN BY 12.
SENATOR ELIZABETH WARREN BY 12. SENATOR KAMALA HARRIS UP BY 11.
SENATOR KAMALA HARRIS UP BY 11. MEANWHILE, NEW YORK SENATOR
MEANWHILE, NEW YORK SENATOR KIRSTEN GILLIBRAND BESET BY LOW
KIRSTEN GILLIBRAND BESET BY LOW POLL NUMBERS ANNOUNCED LATE
POLL NUMBERS ANNOUNCED LATE TODAY SHE IS LEAVING THE
TODAY SHE IS LEAVING THE PRESIDENTIAL COMPETITION.
PRESIDENTIAL COMPETITION. BUT THE PRESIDENT DOES NOT GET
BUT THE PRESIDENT DOES NOT GET MORE THAN 40% IN THESE POLLS.
MORE THAN 40% IN THESE POLLS. IN ANY OF THE MATCHUPS WITH THE
IN ANY OF THE MATCHUPS WITH THE DEMOCRATIC FRONT-RUNNERS, 40% IS
DEMOCRATIC FRONT-RUNNERS, 40% IS HIS TOP.
HIS TOP. TRUMP HAS HELD AN APPROVAL
TRUMP HAS HELD AN APPROVAL RATING IN THE LOW 40s IN MOST
RATING IN THE LOW 40s IN MOST POLLS AND THE REAL CLEAR
POLLS AND THE REAL CLEAR POLITICS HAS HIM AT ABOUT 43.
POLITICS HAS HIM AT ABOUT 43. TRUMP HAS BEEN COUNTING ON THE
TRUMP HAS BEEN COUNTING ON THE REASONABLE PROCESS THAT ONCE THE
REASONABLE PROCESS THAT ONCE THE DEMOCRATIC NOMINEE IS ACTUALLY
DEMOCRATIC NOMINEE IS ACTUALLY SELECTED AT THE CONVENTION NEXT
SELECTED AT THE CONVENTION NEXT SUMMER, HIS POSITION WILL BE
SUMMER, HIS POSITION WILL BE STRENGTHENED, THAT HE WILL LOOK
STRENGTHENED, THAT HE WILL LOOK BETTER IN COMPARISON.
BETTER IN COMPARISON. BUT THE NEW NUMBERS OUT NOW, THE
BUT THE NEW NUMBERS OUT NOW, THE MATCHUP NUMBERS MAY EXPLAIN WHY
MATCHUP NUMBERS MAY EXPLAIN WHY IN RECENT DAYS WE HAVE SEEN THE
IN RECENT DAYS WE HAVE SEEN THE PRESIDENT ATTACKING EVERYONE HE
PRESIDENT ATTACKING EVERYONE HE THINKS HAS DONE HIM WRONG,
THINKS HAS DONE HIM WRONG, LOBBING ATTACKS AT THE MAYOR OF
LOBBING ATTACKS AT THE MAYOR OF SAN JUAN IN PUERTO RICO AS THE
SAN JUAN IN PUERTO RICO AS THE ISLAND BRACES FOR HURRICANE
ISLAND BRACES FOR HURRICANE DORIAN, ATTACKING FOX NEWS,
DORIAN, ATTACKING FOX NEWS, WHICH USED TO BE HIS FAVORITE
WHICH USED TO BE HIS FAVORITE CHANNEL, BUT NOW HE SAYS IT
CHANNEL, BUT NOW HE SAYS IT ISN’T WORKING FOR US ANYMORE.
ISN’T WORKING FOR US ANYMORE. AND OF COURSE HIS DEFAULT
AND OF COURSE HIS DEFAULT TARGET, THE MEDIA.
TARGET, THE MEDIA. WITH THE NEW POLL NUMBERS
WITH THE NEW POLL NUMBERS PUTTING HIM BACK UP AGAINST THE
PUTTING HIM BACK UP AGAINST THE WALL, THE PRESIDENT IS REVERTING
WALL, THE PRESIDENT IS REVERTING TO HIS STANDARD PLAYBOOK AND
TO HIS STANDARD PLAYBOOK AND CROWD CHEERING HITS LIKE "BUILD
CROWD CHEERING HITS LIKE "BUILD THE WALL".
THE WALL". THE "WASHINGTON POST" REPORTS
THE "WASHINGTON POST" REPORTS THE PRESIDENT IS SO EAGER TO
THE PRESIDENT IS SO EAGER TO COMPLETE HUNDREDS OF MILES OF
COMPLETE HUNDREDS OF MILES OF BORDER FENCE AHEAD OF THE 2020
BORDER FENCE AHEAD OF THE 2020 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION, THAT HE
PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION, THAT HE HAS DIRECTED AIDES TO FAST TRACK
HAS DIRECTED AIDES TO FAST TRACK BILLIONS OF DOLLARS OF
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS OF CONSTRUCTION CONTRACTS,
CONSTRUCTION CONTRACTS, AGGRESSIVELY SEIZE PRIVATE LAND,
AGGRESSIVELY SEIZE PRIVATE LAND, AND DISREGARD ENVIRONMENTAL
AND DISREGARD ENVIRONMENTAL RULES.
RULES. WOULD HARD THEM SHOULD THEY ARE
WOULD HARD THEM SHOULD THEY ARE TO BREAK THE LAW TO GET THAT
TO BREAK THE LAW TO GET THAT WALL BUILT.
WALL BUILT. WELL, THE "WASHINGTON POST" ADS
WELL, THE "WASHINGTON POST" ADS THE PRESIDENT HAS TOLD SENIOR
THE PRESIDENT HAS TOLD SENIOR AIDES A FAILURE TO DELIVER ON
AIDES A FAILURE TO DELIVER ON THE SIGNATURE PROGRESS OF HIS
THE SIGNATURE PROGRESS OF HIS 2016 CAMPAIGN WOULD BE A LETDOWN
2016 CAMPAIGN WOULD BE A LETDOWN TO HIS SUPPORTERS AND AN
TO HIS SUPPORTERS AND AN EMBARRASSING DEFEAT.
EMBARRASSING DEFEAT. THAT’S HOW HE SEES IT.
THAT’S HOW HE SEES IT. THE PRESIDENT IS DENYING HE
THE PRESIDENT IS DENYING HE OFFERED PARDONS, TWEETING IT WAS
OFFERED PARDONS, TWEETING IT WAS MADE UP BY "THE WASHINGTON POST"
MADE UP BY "THE WASHINGTON POST" ONLY TO DEMEAN AND DISPARAGE
ONLY TO DEMEAN AND DISPARAGE FAKE NEWS.
FAKE NEWS. I’M JOINED BY JACKIE SPEIER FROM
I’M JOINED BY JACKIE SPEIER FROM CALIFORNIA, ROBERT COSTA FOR
CALIFORNIA, ROBERT COSTA FOR "THE WASHINGTON POST," JASON
"THE WASHINGTON POST," JASON JOHNSON, POLITICS EDITOR AT THE
JOHNSON, POLITICS EDITOR AT THE ROOT, KATIE ROGER, WHITE HOUSE
ROOT, KATIE ROGER, WHITE HOUSE CORRESPONDENT FOR "THE NEW YORK
CORRESPONDENT FOR "THE NEW YORK TIMES."
TIMES." CONGRESSWOMAN, I LOVE
CONGRESSWOMAN, I LOVE POLITICIANS WHO TELL ME THEY
POLITICIANS WHO TELL ME THEY DON’T READ POLLS, YET EVERYBODY
DON’T READ POLLS, YET EVERYBODY PAYS FOR THEM.
PAYS FOR THEM. EVERYBODY ACTS ON THEM.
EVERYBODY ACTS ON THEM. THEY’RE SCARING THE BEJESUS OUT
THEY’RE SCARING THE BEJESUS OUT OF HIM.
OF HIM. HE COULD LOSE TO BERNIE SANDERS.
HE COULD LOSE TO BERNIE SANDERS. DO YOU BELIEVE HE IS IN THAT
DO YOU BELIEVE HE IS IN THAT DEEP WATER RIGHT NOW?
DEEP WATER RIGHT NOW? JUST THE NUMBERS.
JUST THE NUMBERS. DO YOU BELIEVE THEM?
DO YOU BELIEVE THEM? >> I THINK THAT HE BELIEVES
>> I THINK THAT HE BELIEVES THOSE NUMBERS, AND I THINK THAT
THOSE NUMBERS, AND I THINK THAT HE’S SHOWING PARANOID SYMPTOMS.
HE’S SHOWING PARANOID SYMPTOMS. AND IT’S BECOMING VERY
AND IT’S BECOMING VERY WORRISOME.
WORRISOME. PROBABLY THE BEST POLL NUMBER IN
PROBABLY THE BEST POLL NUMBER IN TERMS OF HIM RECOGNIZING THAT
TERMS OF HIM RECOGNIZING THAT HE’S IN TROUBLE IS THAT NOW
HE’S IN TROUBLE IS THAT NOW POLLS SHOW THAT THE PUBLIC
POLLS SHOW THAT THE PUBLIC BELIEVES THE ECONOMY IS NOT
BELIEVES THE ECONOMY IS NOT HELPING THEM 37% AND IS HELPING
HELPING THEM 37% AND IS HELPING THEM 31%.
THEM 31%. >> YOU ARE DISTORTING THAT
>> YOU ARE DISTORTING THAT NUMBER.
NUMBER. CONGRESSWOMAN, YOU’RE DISTORTING
CONGRESSWOMAN, YOU’RE DISTORTING THE NUMBER.
THE NUMBER. 61% OF THE NEW POLL YOU’RE
61% OF THE NEW POLL YOU’RE QUOTING SAY THE ECONOMY IS IN
QUOTING SAY THE ECONOMY IS IN EXCELLENT SHAPE RIGHT NOW.
EXCELLENT SHAPE RIGHT NOW. 61% SAY IT’S EXCELLENT.
61% SAY IT’S EXCELLENT. AND 30 SOME SAY IT’S GETTING
AND 30 SOME SAY IT’S GETTING BETTER THAN EXCELLENT.
BETTER THAN EXCELLENT. AND YOU’RE SAYING YOU GIVE ME
AND YOU’RE SAYING YOU GIVE ME THE 37% AT THE WRONG END OF THE
THE 37% AT THE WRONG END OF THE FACT THERE.
FACT THERE. THE BIG FACT IS THEY DO LIKE THE
THE BIG FACT IS THEY DO LIKE THE ECONOMY.
ECONOMY. >> WELL, THE STATISTICS I JUST
>> WELL, THE STATISTICS I JUST SAW SHOWED THAT THE QUESTION
SAW SHOWED THAT THE QUESTION THAT WAS ASKED RELATIVE IS THE
THAT WAS ASKED RELATIVE IS THE ECONOMY WORKING FOR YOU, IT WAS
ECONOMY WORKING FOR YOU, IT WAS 37% NO.
37% NO. 31% YES.
31% YES. SO MAYBE WE’RE TALKING ABOUT TWO
SO MAYBE WE’RE TALKING ABOUT TWO DIFFERENT POLLS, CHRIS.
DIFFERENT POLLS, CHRIS. >> I GUESS WE ARE.
>> I GUESS WE ARE. THE LATEST POLL WE GOT WAS 61%.
THE LATEST POLL WE GOT WAS 61%. AND MY QUESTION IS YOU THINK
AND MY QUESTION IS YOU THINK THAT TRUMP’S IN TROUBLE BECAUSE
THAT TRUMP’S IN TROUBLE BECAUSE PEOPLE THINK THE ECONOMY IS NOT
PEOPLE THINK THE ECONOMY IS NOT WORKING FOR THEM.
WORKING FOR THEM. IS THAT RIGHT?
IS THAT RIGHT? >> NO, I THINK HE’S IN TROUBLE
>> NO, I THINK HE’S IN TROUBLE BECAUSE OF HIS ACTIONS.
BECAUSE OF HIS ACTIONS. I THINK THE DEEPER HE GOES --
I THINK THE DEEPER HE GOES -- NOW THAT HE’S ACTUALLY SAID THAT
NOW THAT HE’S ACTUALLY SAID THAT FOX NEWS ISN’T WORKING FOR HIM,
FOX NEWS ISN’T WORKING FOR HIM, I MEAN, THAT IS PROBABLY THE
I MEAN, THAT IS PROBABLY THE MOST REAL COMMENT HE’S MADE.
MOST REAL COMMENT HE’S MADE. AND IT SHOWS THAT HE’S LASHING
AND IT SHOWS THAT HE’S LASHING OUT AT EVERYTHING, EVEN HIS
OUT AT EVERYTHING, EVEN HIS BELOVED FOX NEWS.
BELOVED FOX NEWS. SO I THINK IT’S MORE HIS
SO I THINK IT’S MORE HIS BEHAVIOR THAN IT IS ANYTHING
BEHAVIOR THAN IT IS ANYTHING ELSE.
ELSE. >> ROBERT, YOU’RE A STUDENT OF
>> ROBERT, YOU’RE A STUDENT OF THIS GUY.
THIS GUY. WHAT DO YOU THINK?
WHAT DO YOU THINK? DO YOU THINK THESE NUMBERS ARE
DO YOU THINK THESE NUMBERS ARE REAL TO HIM?
REAL TO HIM? THE MATCHUP NUMBERS, THE NUMBERS
THE MATCHUP NUMBERS, THE NUMBERS THAT SHOW HIM LOSING TO BERNIE,
THAT SHOW HIM LOSING TO BERNIE, WARREN, KAMALA HARRIS, JOE BIDEN
WARREN, KAMALA HARRIS, JOE BIDEN BIG TIME, ALL OF THEM.
BIG TIME, ALL OF THEM. >> THEY TAKE SERIOUSLY INSIDE OF
>> THEY TAKE SERIOUSLY INSIDE OF THE WHITE HOUSE AND THEY FACE A
THE WHITE HOUSE AND THEY FACE A POSSIBLE THREAT FROM A STRONG
POSSIBLE THREAT FROM A STRONG DEMOCRATIC NOMINEE IN 2020.
DEMOCRATIC NOMINEE IN 2020. AND SO THEY’RE LOOKING AT THINGS
AND SO THEY’RE LOOKING AT THINGS LIKE EXECUTIVE ACTION ON THE
LIKE EXECUTIVE ACTION ON THE BORDER WALL TO TRY TO GET THAT
BORDER WALL TO TRY TO GET THAT BASE ACTIVATED OP THE REPUBLICAN
BASE ACTIVATED OP THE REPUBLICAN SIDE, KNOWING THAT THEY FACE A
SIDE, KNOWING THAT THEY FACE A REAL TOUGH OUTCOME IN CONGRESS
REAL TOUGH OUTCOME IN CONGRESS THIS FALL.
THIS FALL. SPEAKER PELOSI MAY NOT BRING THE
SPEAKER PELOSI MAY NOT BRING THE USNC TO A VOTE.
USNC TO A VOTE. >> THE NAFTA SUBSTITUTE.
>> THE NAFTA SUBSTITUTE. WHY DOESN’T HE BLAME IT ON THE
WHY DOESN’T HE BLAME IT ON THE DEMOCRATS, KATIE?
DEMOCRATS, KATIE? THEY DON’T WANT THE HELP HIM ON
THEY DON’T WANT THE HELP HIM ON THE WALL.
THE WALL. THEY DON’T WANT TO HELP HIM ON
THEY DON’T WANT TO HELP HIM ON DETENTION CENTERS.
DETENTION CENTERS. THEY DON’T WANT TO HELP ON ANY
THEY DON’T WANT TO HELP ON ANY OF THIS STUFF.
OF THIS STUFF. >> I THINK THE MEDIA MIGHT BE AN
>> I THINK THE MEDIA MIGHT BE AN EASIER FOIL FOR HIM RIGHT NOW.
EASIER FOIL FOR HIM RIGHT NOW. IT’S JUST WHAT HE HAS ALWAYS
IT’S JUST WHAT HE HAS ALWAYS RELIED ON.
RELIED ON. WE’RE NOT GIVELING HIM FAVORABLE
WE’RE NOT GIVELING HIM FAVORABLE COVERAGE ON HIS BORDER WALL, ON
COVERAGE ON HIS BORDER WALL, ON ALL OF THE WHIMS IN THE ECONOMY.
ALL OF THE WHIMS IN THE ECONOMY. I THINK HE IS LASHING OUT INSIDE
I THINK HE IS LASHING OUT INSIDE THE WHITE HOUSE THE SPIN IS --
THE WHITE HOUSE THE SPIN IS -- >> DO YOU THINK HE GETS GOOD
>> DO YOU THINK HE GETS GOOD PRESS?
PRESS? >> DO I THINK?
>> DO I THINK? >> A GOOD PRESS.
>> A GOOD PRESS. >> I THINK HE WOULD SAY HE DOES
>> I THINK HE WOULD SAY HE DOES NOT GET GOOD PRESS.
NOT GET GOOD PRESS. I THINK HE OFTEN GETS FAIR
I THINK HE OFTEN GETS FAIR PRESS.
PRESS. I THINK HE GETS AGGRESSIVE
I THINK HE GETS AGGRESSIVE PRESS, BUT HE HITS RIGHT BACK,
PRESS, BUT HE HITS RIGHT BACK, AND I THINK THAT INVITES MORE
AND I THINK THAT INVITES MORE SCRUTINY ON HIM.
SCRUTINY ON HIM. >> WHAT DO YOU THINK, JASON?
>> WHAT DO YOU THINK, JASON? HE IS OBVIOUSLY AN UNHAPPY MAN
HE IS OBVIOUSLY AN UNHAPPY MAN RIGHT NOW.
RIGHT NOW. I THINK THE POLLS ARE ROUGHLY
I THINK THE POLLS ARE ROUGHLY ACCURATE.
ACCURATE. THEY GENERALLY ARE.
THEY GENERALLY ARE. THE SIZE OF THE POLLS WAS 17,500
THE SIZE OF THE POLLS WAS 17,500 PEOPLE BEING SURVEYED.
PEOPLE BEING SURVEYED. THESE ARE STRONG EVIDENCES OF A
THESE ARE STRONG EVIDENCES OF A PROBLEM.
PROBLEM. >> THE POLITICAL SCIENTISTS NEED
>> THE POLITICAL SCIENTISTS NEED TO PAY ATTENTION TO THAT NUMBER.
TO PAY ATTENTION TO THAT NUMBER. THAT’S HUGE WHEN YOU HAVE THAT
THAT’S HUGE WHEN YOU HAVE THAT MANY PEOPLE THAT YOU’RE ACTUALLY
MANY PEOPLE THAT YOU’RE ACTUALLY POLLING.
POLLING. HERE IS WHAT IS DANGEROUS.
HERE IS WHAT IS DANGEROUS. THE REAL CAMPAIGNS DOESN’T START
THE REAL CAMPAIGNS DOESN’T START UNTIL ACTUALLY AFTER LABOR DAY.
UNTIL ACTUALLY AFTER LABOR DAY. IT’S ONE THING WHEN YOU’RE
IT’S ONE THING WHEN YOU’RE LOSING TO THE GENERIC DEMOCRAT
LOSING TO THE GENERIC DEMOCRAT THAT POINT JOE BIDEN IS AT 100%
THAT POINT JOE BIDEN IS AT 100% NAME RECOGNITION.
NAME RECOGNITION. SO IS BERNIE SANDERS.
SO IS BERNIE SANDERS. IF YOU CAN LOSE TO ELIZABETH
IF YOU CAN LOSE TO ELIZABETH WARREN AND KAMALA HARRIS THIS
WARREN AND KAMALA HARRIS THIS EARLY ON, WHEN THERE ARE STILL
EARLY ON, WHEN THERE ARE STILL PEOPLE WHO DON’T KNOW THEM, THAT
PEOPLE WHO DON’T KNOW THEM, THAT IS A VERY BAD SIGN.
IS A VERY BAD SIGN. SHOULD HE BE WORRIED?
SHOULD HE BE WORRIED? NO.
NO. WE INDUSTRIAL A LONG TIME TO GO.
WE INDUSTRIAL A LONG TIME TO GO. BUT SHOULD HE BE CONCERNED ABOUT
BUT SHOULD HE BE CONCERNED ABOUT HOW HIS PRESIDENCY IS BEING
HOW HIS PRESIDENCY IS BEING VIEWED GOING INTO THE HOLIDAY