I'm Bruce Millington and enjoying this week by Dan Childs and Liam Flynn from the Racing Post football desk as well as Paddy Powers.

Wizard of Odds Jason Murphy To bring you all the best bets for F A Cup, fourth round weekend loads and loads of life football, we will also look at the best bets in the league games and in Europe have the naps.

But first of all that we need to reflect on a really fascinating midweek round of matches in the Premier League, which has left us in a situation where Liverpool play wolves tonight.

The upset miles clear.

If anyone hasn't paid out in Liverpool, they should do because that's all done.

But there's an intriguing situations elsewhere. 00:00:55.330 --> 00:01:0.450 Only 11 points separate fifth to 19th which is just incredible. 00:01:0.740 --> 00:01:4.760 There's such a cluster so we can have a look at some of the markets were little. 00:01:4.760 --> 00:01:6.440 Consider if there's any value in top half. 00:01:6.450 --> 00:01:12.530 Bottom off because there's so many teams vying for those positions would also have a look at who we think it's gonna go down on.

First of all, let's have a look at who is most likely to be the next manager to go now.

This time last week, we sat here and looked at him.

We thought the 10th 1 no manager to go, was decent value.

But Ali might still be at the wheel, but his grip on is loosening, isn't it?

Jason, What's the latest sack race?

Betting from Paddy Power?

Yes.

So we've only in its favor now at 11.

Being Smith.

4th 1 anyhow, 11 to 2.

Nor managers.

Now it's and then Daniel Fargo twenties.

And we have a really good impair special team here.

So we always keep this market up in place.

Or what we see him reunited last night is when you start looking later, getting a bad result, the battle call me.

And so you It was 15 to 2 prior to the match last night.

According to treat one at one, they're better common. 00:01:56.880 --> 00:02:3.190 We had him in our air to 11 days to live on a full time, and I think he is in a very precarious position. 00:02:3.480 --> 00:02:6.070 Andi at 11 I think is possibly still a bit about you. 00:02:6.340 --> 00:02:7.750 Well, you're a man, you fan. 00:02:7.750 --> 00:02:13.690 I mean, give us your non neutral view on it, cause I mean, it was an absolutely revolting display, wasn't it?

For me, it's always about the process and not just one result in isolation.

So if you look at the game last night, United had chances before Burnley scored.

Might have should have scored.

It hits the stand and leggy doesn't pinch, which is about four Marshall.

It's a bad first torch that stops them getting away.

The shock where you know, you know, you should have been ahead before Bernie scored and we only had two shots on target in the game.

Well, for me and I've always said it.

The worst thing that's happened today was getting that penalty against P S G fortnight gets ridiculed with that video.

He's what he said in the studio afterwards, and foreign I went on about you have to give him the job because it's a rule of the results that he's getting now waiting.

There's two problems with United, and it's all at the board level at the time. 00:02:53.150 --> 00:03:9.890 I can understand where to get the job, but if it was a Liverpool football club on the board of directors that they're having their would have looked at that run of form and said he's writing away of here is getting a serious run a look because on that rule, we bet apartment with a rash for a guard outside the box didn't deserve to win with that Lester in that room. 00:03:9.890 --> 00:03:10.640 We didn't deserve it.

And we were actually two mill down the home to Barney as well in that room and got to to Where is if that had been a Burnley win a year ago?

We're probably having a different conversation back then.

A bow shot.

Scott, I'm not talking about this guy.

Run now, for me is gay, and it's about the process.

You know, you don't see in north of a process there from Shaw's car.

No.

Yes, You have to give someone time for giving.

The time is in the job, and what I've seen so far, I'd be quite happy to rip it all up and start again and just bring in Pa tch or Allegra if he was interested, cause I don't think Charles Car, if he is going to be successful, is too far down on that road.

That project of success and I'd rather give it to someone with Maura of a proven track record at this stage.

What?

That's what It aboard to decide that.

Yeah, absolutely.

And Dan?

I mean, you know, you're talking project in on their leg. 00:03:54.500 --> 00:04:0.690 Re the man you job yet They're still the biggest club in the world and all that, But you're not taking a countless. 00:04:0.690 --> 00:04:4.430 People have tried to revive the Fergie Days and failed, you know? 00:04:4.530 --> 00:04:9.160 I mean, could you I mean, put it in a vast improvement on Sasquatch book. 00:04:9.170 --> 00:04:11.370 Could even he turn this around?

I think what the new manager, if it was positive, will be asking.

It's not so much about how much wages that you're gonna be given its is what there is going to change in terms of recruitment are gonna be out with eyes.

Ah, director of football, Worth its salt gonna be brought in because that is that's been the problem with Manchester United over the last 67 years is the recruitment has been absolutely hopeless.

Have been paying top dollar for guys are Alexis Sanchez told Gender.

Their career on It's Rudy got a massive contract in the about a year before he was finally let go.

The list goes on Fred's plan a little better now, but it's still worth what I paid for him.

But now that is the issue.

Is the recruitment there?

And so do you think that's Oscar?

Will go sooner rather than later or with a limp on to the summer? 00:04:58.910 --> 00:05:5.380 I should look to replacing It all depends on who used to come in, but you think you can get actually a lot worse than it is at the moment. 00:05:5.390 --> 00:05:9.900 You look a I mean, we talk there about how they played before, but only score. 00:05:9.900 --> 00:05:15.330 But my my issue would be watched, the game and the lack of response after going one nil down.

Antonio Donna when we talked about the last couple of seasons Burnley.

It's gone to upper on man, you know.

I had a foot back and there's even been a lot of fading of their performance in the last year, if you like, because I went to kneel down and I never really looked like getting back into it.

And there's just a sheer lack of quality.

Confidence was an issue as well, but you just couldn't really see where that where the guy was gonna come from.

A big issue for them now, then, is that the hair was bailing them out.

I mean, basically, you know, he started losing.

There is magic back end of last season, and that's largely continued.

You know, I'd say too 43 2 or three years ago he was.

He was when they finished second, that was all down to him.

It was just an absolutely, But it's not happening anymore, she replies. 00:05:57.830 --> 00:06:0.100 I mean, look, Archos, much of the criticism he go. 00:06:0.100 --> 00:06:3.480 He was a dick guarantee you a certain amount of goals this season. 00:06:3.480 --> 00:06:9.710 You look now, Rushford, Dave exotic, really good season for him and that's giving a big boost and then something. 00:06:9.710 --> 00:06:14.340 You take him outside and and he's gonna get the goal was I mean, you just you just can't see where we're gonna come from.

So is 8 to 11 value, then then 8 to 11 value for Be the next man out to be the next man out.

I would I would say no, because you look at the past history and I don't seem to be particularly decisive that I honor you with managerial changes.

I mean, you know, they let the social situation carry on and on and on and then eventually appointed him, and it just seems to be a state of inertia again.

There.

Now, I just think they're going to think, Well, we're still, you know, within touching distance of Chelsea.

Let's see how it goes on Liam.

I guess the other issue is, if you are fortunate, you know, you might have thought, Well, when?

When I get you know, I've gone from Tottenham.

But I know I can pretty much wondering to man United whenever the phone rings. 00:06:57.820 --> 00:07:0.470 Does he actually want to wondering to man united now? 00:07:0.470 --> 00:07:4.250 Or is he looking at You know what's happening in Spain and some of the bigger clubs on the continent? 00:07:4.260 --> 00:07:5.590 Well, yeah, it's interesting. 00:07:5.600 --> 00:07:7.800 So I still think Man United have that pull factor. 00:07:7.800 --> 00:07:15.160 I still have that reputation on Don't think there's a massive amount for him to lose if he goes into United in a sense of where they are now, they can't, you know, go.

They can deteriorate much more than they already have done under Social this season.

I think I saw this morning There's something like 1 to 6 to get their lowest point total in the Premier League, which is about 64.

So and you know they have to do tremendously well in the latter part of the season to reach that.

To reach that tally, I think the problem was so sharp.

Performance is not only result, performances haven't been good enough.

And the big thing with the plate.

Managers like Pep Guardiola light Jorgen clock that the top top managers in Europe, they improved players when they come to the club.

That hasn't been the case of Manchester for a long time.

Big plate, big name players are coming in for a lot of money on their no improving.

I mean, I think you look at the place I brought last summer.

I mean Maguire and Lambert Sacha.

They probably bean some of the better players this season, but they haven't drastically improved on what they already like beforehand.

Don't know. 00:07:56.020 --> 00:08:1.660 Obviously, we're not in for a full season yet, but I just think it's a case of no improving personnel that coming in. 00:08:1.940 --> 00:08:7.930 Probably a bit of lack of Mann management and performance is just a week after week are no impressive and I think it was only a matter of time. 00:08:7.930 --> 00:08:12.950 I think the fans are now properly, well and truly fed up and is there a bear in the sack race in?

I'd still go socio just a couple of weeks ago, so she would be my bet and I'll stick with that now.

Okay, Yeah, because so sure, I would say it's value elsewhere and the big, big pressure is always at the top or the bottom of the table on manager.

You think a kind of bomb proof often end up going when it seems in trouble, and I looked at the fixtures of ball with applying Villa coming up soon.

Whoever loses that game out of being Smith and Eddie House on a huge pressure, they are to an extent them, but because it's so close down the bottom there you can actually lose a couple and you're not suddenly exposed, you know.

But We're gonna talk about relegation now on before we talk about our three to go take us through the relegation prices, Jason.

I mean, this changes drastically.

Wait to wait, doesn't it?

So is that it? 00:08:58.890 --> 00:09:0.540 Just soft back one around the pictures. 00:09:0.550 --> 00:09:3.570 But at the moment we have norridge 1 to 16. 00:09:3.570 --> 00:09:9.630 We form a fortified villa 10 11 offered 15 Thio west time, 2 to 1. 00:09:9.640 --> 00:09:17.340 I'm breaking 70 to stop you, because, I mean, I'm not prepared to just say we can assume No.

Richard down.

I'm sorry.

They keep performing well against decent size.

They did it again last night.

That gave spurs a front.

I'd rather I'd rather trust a team that can score.

Goes to learn to defend in a team.

That scar can't score.

Thio suddenly starts going that they're adrift, but they're not.

This the six points away from 17th I think the market's assuming too much minority.

Okay, so that's yet another fascinating aspect to this, that they're gone.

I think what?

The issue they they're gonna have is a city is six points.

You think two wins, but because you've you've got to get about free out of teams.

You know a couple of those seams in those four games away. 00:09:58.140 --> 00:10:0.400 The league's going probably gonna pick couple winds up. 00:10:0.410 --> 00:10:3.520 You almost need four wins in a row just just to get yourself out. 00:10:3.530 --> 00:10:6.350 And that is when you won five games all season. 00:10:6.790 --> 00:10:7.320 That stuff. 00:10:7.330 --> 00:10:15.240 Okay, I'm gonna ask all three of you Which three teams are gonna go and we're looking at value here rather than who The worst are the price.

Just stand out because they are in the thick of it on 25 points now, 72.

That scene over price, I have to say, whenever I watch him, ah, locked away to plow.

I watched the the highlights.

So the guy gets former, but I thought our earth did by they lose that game, you know?

So I don't think they will go down, But you have to say, Look at the points.

A little bit over Price got feeling is it will be Norwich Villa and Balmer.

That's I think it'll go.

Yeah, Norridge Villa.

And for most definitely for me.

I just can't see those eyes.

Very hard to be that.

I think it is too tight down there doing it and I think if you were looking at maybe a value bet you could argue West Ham because of the fixture, having to play Liverpool home in a way, etcetera. 00:10:56.880 --> 00:11:3.230 But just over the course of season Villa, I don't think I've solved a striker problem with Wesley out brought in Samata from God or whatever. 00:11:3.650 --> 00:11:7.380 At this stage of the season, the kind of play you want to be bringing in is a tried and tested forward. 00:11:7.380 --> 00:11:10.550 He's got Premier League experience, not someone who's being mediocre.

Okay, in Belgium on, then you're looking a born.

If I mean a tip on the other week and to go down and my mind's not really change that, no Brooks coming back will be a big boost for them.

But I just still thinking that Brighton game.

I don't think they were completely convincing.

I don't think there's enough defensive resolving that team toe.

Keep them up.

I know Jason's got thought and he's not messing about.

He's got big price for us.

Away go Jason.

We'll still be friends after its mate.

Yeah, going palace ball worth 40 degree, exactly what Donna said.

It's just I have to put a bit of a run together to get ahead of tree other teams in the league.

For Norridge, I really like Daniel.

Far King is honestly and to fight the larger Shawn.

But I think Paul Merton Villa will go as well.

If you think someone else is going to slip in and cause it's ante post with instead of about half a season to go, well, you would rather backs up with a better value. 00:11:58.620 --> 00:12:0.580 So typical palace Where tens? 00:12:0.580 --> 00:12:2.960 The one twenties out there on them. 00:12:3.130 --> 00:12:10.250 You look at Palace Trust really around about a uniform if it is the one flavor thinking the Rast 21 grams.

But they are a bit of six point especialista Floyd.

Winds that they got was twice against West time.

Aston Villa form is and nor its soul and Barney as well.

So they went to win the games.

It's against the teams around which is really helping and would also put in Newcastle as well.

New cast are seven planes clear at the moment, with the taking four points from the last two games, and I think we were agreed that it was a late winter when Chelsea probably should have one on Saturday night and two got played out.

Everything that all things being equal to really show got well over two mill down going into injury time.