And I'm alsoheretosaythatitseemsextremelylikelythatMichiganisprobablygonnabegoingtoJoeBidenaswell.
Ithasnotbeencalled, butthereasonwhy I thinkit's prettystraightforwardthatBidenisgonnagoonandwinthestateofMichiganisbecauselet's justtake a lookatanarealikeKenCounty.
SoBernieSanders, it's a verypopulousarea.
He's winningbyabout 5% points.
Youmightthink, Well, that's prettydecent.
Butifwegobackto 2016 inhiselectionagainstHillaryClinton, thisis a countythathewonbyabout 25% pointssoyoucanseequite a significantshrinkinginthatgap.
Anotherone.
Let's take a lookatWashington.
I believethisiswheretheUniversityofMichiganasBernieSandersinthatarea.
Rightnow, he's aheadby 6% points.
Wegobackto 2016 andthiswas a countythathewonby 12% points.
Andsomethingthat I thinkisn't beingdiscussedasmuchasitprobablywarrantsisthefactthatwedon't have a competitiveprimaryontheRepublicanside.
Thisgoroundin 2020 forthepresidentialrace.
Sowiththatbeingthecasein a lotofthestatesthathaveopenprimariesorindependencecanchoosewhichsidetheywanttogoto, ortheRepublicanscouldevendecidethattheywanttoparticipateintheDemocraticprimary, thentheyhavetheoptiontodothat.
Sowe'reactuallyseeingquite a bitofhigherturnoutamongvotersovertheageof 65 whichisgenerallythetypeofvotersthatyougetintheseprimariesasopposedtothegeneralelection, whereyoungerpeopleturnout a bitMaurinthoseincontrasttotheprimaries.