Placeholder Image

Subtitles section Play video

  • Boris Johnson has produced a new plan to break the Brexit deadlock.

  • But with barely two weeks to go before the parliamentary imposed deadline, the question is.

  • Will Mr Johnson's plan fly here with me?

  • Is Robert's Grimsley, chief political commentator?

  • Does it have a chance of flying?

  • Not as it is.

  • No, I mean it.

  • It's It's a decent first stab, given where he is.

  • I think if we were six or seven months away from having to negotiate this, you might think where we can see where this is, where the landing zone might be, as the government likes to say.

  • But there are too many holes in this plan.

  • And where are those holes?

  • It's all about Northern Ireland.

  • The fundamental point is about trying to come up with guarantees around the cross board around cross border trade to Northern Ireland, the Republic of Ireland.

  • Up until now, as you know, with the backstop, the European Union's demanded rock solid insurance policy and all weather guarantee, as they say that whatever happens down the line after transition period when we get a free trade deal that frictionless trains guaranteed, what Boris Johnson has come up with is is a step towards that, but without the same guarantees with a veto for the Northern Irish assembly, if it ever gets back to meeting again and with the recognition, there will have to be some customs checks, so it doesn't answer the demands off island or the EU.

  • The question is whether it goes far enough for the you to feel it can move a little on that you can somehow meet in the middle.

  • At the moment, it's not clear that it does.

  • And you've bean in Manchester, where the Boris Johnson spoke to the Tory party conference.

  • What was the mood there like?

  • And do you think he's managed in, at least in UK political terms, to get more votes on side for his approach?

  • I think the party certainly is fairly unified behind and we know there were people expelled from an earlier parliament erupted with among his activists.

  • The mood in Manchester was definitely on side with him.

  • They're very pleased to have him as leader while not quite sure where they're going yet.

  • I think he's also in some of his more inflammatory language, done a fairly good job in saying to leave voters Well, if this doesn't go right, it's not gonna be my fault.

  • Parliament have forced me into this position where I might have to seek an extension, but it won't be because of me on.

  • Furthermore, in vetoing no deal, they made my negotiating hand much harder.

  • I think that message is being setted by those who are sympathetic to him.

  • The question is whether there's enough of them if we get to an election in November, which I think is possible for it to carry that all the way through and before we get there.

  • Obviously, there is this European summit in mid October, barely a fortnight away.

  • That's the last moment, isn't it?

  • For a deal?

  • Probably.

  • Yes, because there are a lot of technical his proposals.

  • I'm not an off the shelf solution.

  • And so technical words gonna have begun drafting work is gonna have to be done.

  • These are not simple matters, So the U is setting and try and push him back to one of their preferred bespoke solutions.

  • There's one suggestion I've heard that they'll go back to a proper Northern Ireland backstop but agree some kind of expiry claws on it, which the which Northern Ireland might be able to trigger that far from guaranteed.

  • But it's also possible they'll look at the circumstances and say, You know what?

  • What are our choices here?

  • Either we come up.

  • We signed up to a deal we don't like, But we risk a British general election, which is not gonna be any worse.

  • Was either.

  • Boris Johnson comes back.

  • Where's the new government?

  • Much more favorable.

  • So they may well be a temptation to roll the dice on a British election last point on the no deal.

  • What I'm hearing is that, actually, although there's been a lot of talk about crashing out, traffic jams going all up, then went to any viable chaos.

  • Actually, there's a fair amount of planning gone in to try and mitigate those that Christ.

  • That's certainly true.

  • The British in.

  • There's a lot of work going on and being done off late, and there are daily meetings and flow charts or they look at all the possible problems.

  • How can we fix them?

  • What are the pressure points?

  • What can we do about them?

  • And I think there has been a great deal of preparation and some of the chaos that we talked about might not happen.

  • But the fundamental point about this is the determining factor on how chaotic and no deal would be.

  • The family factors are the use decisions, not Britta's decisions on the UK can make itself as ready as it can in the air as it can control.

  • But the fundamental decisions are going to be that how awkward the you chooses to be sector by sector financial service is it would probably be all right.

  • There's a substantial desire and a lot of deals have taken place.

  • Other sectors could be much trickier.

  • Britain is not in control of that decision.

  • That's the issue.

  • Roberts Ramsey.

  • Thank you.

  • And don't forget to fasten your safety.

  • Absolutely.

Boris Johnson has produced a new plan to break the Brexit deadlock.

Subtitles and vocabulary

Click the word to look it up Click the word to find further inforamtion about it