MPsheardtodaythathalfofalltheCoronaviruscasesintheUKaremostlikelytooccurinjust a threeweekperiod, with 95% ofthemovernineweeks, raisingquestionsabouthowthe N hswillcope.
Andtonightthe N H s said, peoplereturningfromanywhereinItaly, notjustnorthernpartsofthecountry, shouldselfisolateiftheybelievetheyhavesymptomsofftheCoronavirus.
VictoriaMcDonaldwiththatreport.
Well, joiningmeNowbySkypefromOXIDASEprofessorSeanGriffiths, a publichealthexpert, wasinEmiratis, professoratHongKongUniversity.
ShecochairedtheinquiryintotheSARSoutbreakin 2002 and 2003.
Soitit's I knoweveryonesayingThisis a shockand I thinkthereasonit's theshockisthatwe'vebeenin a In a situationwherethemajorityofcasesinthecountryhavecomebackfromoverseas, we'vebeenabletotracewherethey'vecomefromAndi.
That's sortofcomfortingin a way, becauseyoucantracethepatternofdiseasewhenyoucan't treatcouldnolongerworkoutwherethediseasehascomefromwhenwe'vegotcommunityspread.
Butthat's whenanxietygrowsonDDE, and I thinkthat's thisissymbolicofthegrowthandanxietythatwehavemayhavemorepeopleinthecommunitythanweknowabouttohavethedisease, Justus, theyfoundinotherpartsoftheworld.
I knowthere's anenormouseffortatthemomenttoreducetheoccupancyinintensivecareunitstoprepareourselves, butalso I thinktherewashonestyfromthechiefmedicalofficerthismorningthatyouknowtherewouldbeanimpactevenonsomeurgenttreatments.
Buthewasalsoconfidentthat a systemlikethe N HSisabletoflexthecareitgives.
Oneofthepointshemadewasthatthepeakpressureonthe N hswillbeforaboutthreeweeks.
Sothere's a threeweekperiodwhen I thinkthingswillbevery, verydifficulton.
What I knowtheywilldoistotryandmakesurethatasmuchtreatmenthashappened, a CZpossiblehappenseitherbeforethatthreeweekperiodorafterit.
Timingisthereforeabsolutelyessential.
Thereis a questionaboutwhetherthe N H s anywayiscoping.
Well, I don't thinkit's thetimeforsortofhaving a partypoliticaldiscussion.
I willanswerthatquestionverydirectly.
When I washeld, Secretary I announced a 25% increaseinnursetrainingplaces, andtheNationalOrderedOfficedidsaytodaythatthere's been a 5% increaseoverallinthenumberofnurses.
Butit's probablynotenough.
Youknowanyhealthsystemwhenyouhave a pandemicisgoingtobeunderseverepressureonthatcriticalissueoffnurses.
HowdoyoumakesurethatwegetenoughnursesgiventhatpostBrexit, giventhatwe'reinthemiddleof a Coronaviruswherecountrieswillbedesperatelytryingtohangontotheirnurseswerefacing a reallydifficultsituationHerearen't waywhatweareon.
It's a veryshortperiodof 3 to 9 weekswhereyouhavethat a big, bigincreaseinpressure, andsotherearethingsthatyoucoulddofor a shortperiodtorelievethepressure.