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Welcome to ExplainingTheFuture.com
This time, I'm going to talk about future cities.
A modern city can be thought of as gigantic creature
that depends on resources fed to it from around the planet.
However, in the future,
such global supplies cannot be guaranteed.
Cities have evolved into sophisticated cybernetic machines
for keeping civilization alive.
In some aspects, cities are therefore humanity's greatest achievement.
Nevertheless, most cities would decend into anarchy
in only 48 hours without a constant supply
or food, energy and clean water.
The Industrial Revolution saw a mass migration
of people from the country side.
Those who remained on the land
then had to develop increasingly intensive farming methods
to meet the food requirements of urban dwellers
who could not feed themselves.
Canals, railways and roads allowed the first industrial cities
to be supplied with their daily nutrition.
However, this resulted in a food chain
dependant not just on the complex transport infrastruture,
but also fuel and modern fertilizers.
As a consequence, today, every calorie we eat
also requires the consumption of 10 calories of oil.
And within a few decades at best,
this addiction of the modern city to petroleum
will no longer be sustainable.
There are, however, possibilities that the farm
may migrate from the countryside.
So called 'vertical farming' could involve multi-tiered city farms
in future glass skyscrapers or pyramids.
Such stacks of artificial fields would allow city dwellers
to harvest crops all year round in areas without available land.
They would also significantly reduce
the energy required for food transportation,
would lower crop loss associated with shipping and storage,
could recycle their own water,
and, within their sealed environments,
may even use fewer pesticides.
One vertical farm could potentially feed 50,000 people.
However, even before the construction of such massive projects,
laws could be passed requiring all new buildings in large cities
to have at least some space dedicated to food production.
For example, new apartment blocks could be required to include
hydroponical lodgements on the roof.
In addition to food, all cities currenly require significant natural resources
to meet their raw energy needs.
However, alternative technologies,
including solar cells, rooftop wind turbines,
ground source heat pumps,
and methane power plants fuelled from domestic rubbish
could see future cities becoming at least partly energy sufficient.
Micro power generation may even extend to piezo-electric paving slabs
to generate electricity from our footsteps,
as well as hydraulic plates in road surfaces
that would generate power as vehicles drive over them.
In addition to producing at least some of their own food and power,
future cities will also have to use fresh water far more efficiently.
In part this is because treating and transporting fresh water is energy intensive.
However, half of the world's population now live in countries
where the water table is falling.
Future cities will therefore need to capture
and recycle water whenever this is possible.
Future food, energy and water supplies are at best uncertain.
The global population of city dwellers also continues to increase.
Future cities will there have to become leaner and more self-sufficient.
For more information, please see ExplainingTheFuture.com.
But now that's it for another video.
And remember, the future is in your hands.