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In 1944, at the height of World War II, a British economist named Radford was serving
in the army. He was captured and lived in prison camps for more than a year. Prisoners
at the camps received Red Cross packages that contained food, cigarettes, and a few necessities.
These were precious supplies in POW camps. At first, prisoners gave away the things they
didn’t like, but before long they started trading instead. Radford’s explanation of
this behavior may surprise you. Very soon after capture people realized that it was
both undesirable and unnecessary in view of the limited size and the equality of supplies
to give away or to accept gifts of cigarettes or food.
“Goodwill developed into trading as a more equitable means of maximizing individual satisfaction.”
More equitable? Really? Why would exchange be more equitable than gifts? Well, in a voluntary
exchange, both parties are better off, or they wouldn’t trade it all. Gifts are nice
but only the person receiving the gift is better off. Of course the giver might expect
a gift in return, but then, that’s exchange.
There are two reasons that this is important. Exchange corrects mistakes in allocation because
it moves stuff towards higher-valued uses. And exchange makes everyone who exchanges
a lot happier. There are two basic origins of exchange, and both are important.
First, same stuff different preferences. Let’s say we go on a field trip with boxed lunches
that each contain a sandwich, chips, pickle, and a cookie. I like chips and you like cookies.
I threw in my pickle to get you to agree, and we make the exchange. We’re both happier
with our lunches even though we’re still dealing with the same amount of food overall.
Second, there’s same preferences, different stuff. Suppose I have apples and you have
oranges, but we both prefer eating fruit salad with the two mixed together. If we exchange,
then we can both have fruit salad. We’re both happier with the same amount of fruit.
That’s remarkable.
In a world of scarce resources, each voluntary transaction means that people get happier
without any change to the total wealth that was available. That’s what makes trade so
powerful.
What if we have different stuff and different preferences? I do an exercise in class to
illustrate this. I give away T-shirts to my students, but I cheat. I make sure almost
every one of them ends up with the wrong size. So I ask, are you happy with your T-shirts?
Maybe 10 percent say that they are. Then I let them exchange shirts if they want to,
but only with their neighbors in the same row. Nonetheless, shirts move. You trade with
your neighbor, she trades with hers; the shirts travel around, improving the welfare of both
buyer and seller at every step. When it’s over, maybe 30 percent of the students are
happy with their shirt. It’s a big improvement but still not great.
Then I let people trade with anyone in the class. The class goes wild. Extra larges trade
for small, mediums for larges, and so on. It looks like chaos with people waving shirts,
calling out sizes. No plan, no direction, but at the end of trading, how many say they’re
happy? Ninety percent or more. The same number of shirts at the start, no one in charge,
and yet we went from 10 percent satisfied to 90 percent satisfied. Some of the shirts
changed hands many times. No one knew where the shirt was headed—it just went. And everyone
who exchanged was happier. It seems like magic, but it’s just markets.