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  • Best Investing For Beginners Advice - How TO Find Good Stocks

    最佳投資新手建議--如何尋找好股票

  • How to get started with investing - simple steps to start investing

    如何開始投資--開始投資的簡單步驟

  • intro

    介紹

  • How many millionaires do you think are there in the world?

    你覺得世界上有多少百萬富翁?

  • You won't believe this number, but there are almost 47 million (46.8 million) millionaires

    你不會相信這個數字,但有近4700萬(4680萬)的百萬富翁。

  • worldwide.

    在全球範圍內,

  • And guess what?

    你猜怎麼著?

  • 18.6 million of them are right here in the United States

    其中1860萬就在美國。

  • Let me give you one more shacking statistics.

    我再給大家統計一個棚戶區的數據。

  • Every year around 700K people become a millionaire just in the united states alone.

    僅在美國,每年就有大約70萬人成為百萬富翁。

  • It seems like becoming a millionaire isn't as difficult as many of us led to believe.

    看來,成為百萬富翁並不像我們很多人所認為的那樣困難。

  • But as we all know, it's almost to become one if you do not learn how to invest.

    但我們都知道,如果你不學習如何投資,幾乎是要成為一個。

  • Most people are interested in the stock market but the problem that many people face is how

    大多數人都對股市感興趣,但許多人面臨的問題是如何

  • to find good stocks?

    來尋找好股票?

  • How do you know if it is a good stock to buy?

    如何知道它是否是一隻好股票?

  • People usually base their decision on the news.

    人們通常根據新聞來決定。

  • If the stock is rising and it gets a lot of attention, it must be a good investment and

    如果股票在上漲,並且受到很多人的關注,那一定是一個好的投資和

  • vice versa of course

    反之亦然

  • Unfortunately, that is the worst way to invest.

    不幸的是,這是最糟糕的投資方式。

  • By the time it's out there in the news, you are probably late.

    等到新聞出來的時候,你可能已經晚了。

  • So here in this video, you will learn how to find great stocks?

    那麼在這段視頻中,你將學習如何找到好股票?

  • How do you find stocks that will rise in value over time?

    如何找到能長期升值的股票?

  • If you stick around, by the end of this video, you learn how to analyze stocks like a professional

    如果你堅持下去,在這個視頻的最後,你學會了如何像一個專業的股票分析。

  • investor

    投資者。

  • Why stock prices mean nothing.

    為什麼股票價格毫無意義。

  • Apple's has a valuation of 2 trillion dollars

    蘋果公司的估值為2萬億美元。

  • and its stock price is traded at around 120 dollars at the time of this script.

    而其股價在本稿時的交易價格為120美元左右。

  • But, what if I told you that, just in august of this year, Apple's stock price was 500

    但是,如果我告訴你,就在今年8月,蘋果的股票價格是500

  • dollars.

    美元。

  • Does that mean that the company was already valued at 10 trillion dollars, and it lost

    這是否意味著公司的估值已經達到10萬億,而它卻失去了

  • 80% of its value in the last few months

    在過去的幾個月裡,其價值的80%?

  • In fact, apple's stock price in June 2014 was 645 dollars.

    事實上,蘋果2014年6月的股價是645美元。

  • Does that mean that the company was way more valuable back then?

    這是否意味著當時的公司價值更高?

  • Not really!

    不見得!

  • That's why looking at the stock price is not investing! - oh yeah, what's Warren Buffett's

    所以看股價不是投資!- 哦,對了,巴菲特是什麼?

  • quote.

    配額。

  • If it already seems too confusing, don't worry,

    如果已經顯得過於混亂,不要擔心。

  • because that's why I am here, to simplify everything for you and turn you into a professional

    因為這就是我在這裡的原因,為你簡化一切,讓你變成一個專業的人

  • investor in under 10 minutes.

    投資者在10分鐘內。

  • Because the YouTube algorithm told me that my audience are some of the smartest subscribers

    因為YouTube的算法告訴我,我的觀眾都是最聰明的訂閱者

  • on the entire platform and they learn 10x faster than anyone else.

    在整個平臺上,他們的學習速度比別人快10倍。

  • So I am counting on you, don't let me down

    所以我就指望你了,別讓我失望!

  • If you take a look at the companies that are

    如果你看看那些公司,他們是誰?

  • traded in the stock market, they have a price tag, but because no one can afford that, they

    在股票市場上交易,他們有一個價格標籤,但因為沒有人能夠負擔得起,他們

  • are broken down into many many stocks.

    被分解成很多很多股票。

  • The key question is, does this company really worth 768 billion dollars

    關鍵問題是,這家公司真的值768億嗎?

  • The answer is NO

    答案是NO!

  • You see, there is a big difference between Price and value.

    你看,價格和價值之間有很大的區別。

  • The stock price jumps up and down every single day.

    股價每天都會跳上跳下。

  • Even slightly negative news that could be fake can drive the Price down, however not

    即使是稍微負面的消息,可能是假的,也會推動價格下跌,然而並不是。

  • the value, because the value is what the company is really worth.

    的價值,因為價值是公司真正的價值。

  • For example, in July 2018, facebook's earnings weren't as high as some investors expected,

    例如,在2018年7月,facebook的收益並沒有一些投資者預期的那麼高。

  • so the stock price fell from $217 to $176.

    所以股價從217元跌到176元。

  • That's a 20 percent decline.

    跌幅達20%。

  • The company lost 120 billion dollars of market cap in a single day.

    公司單日損失1200億市值。

  • Does that mean the company became 20 percent smaller overnight?

    這是否意味著公司一夜之間變小了20%?

  • Of course, No!

    當然,不!

  • That's why the stock price jumped back to its pre-decline level and is 32 percent higher

    所以股價才會跳回下跌前的水準,並上漲32%。

  • now.

    現在。

  • So if you want to make a good investment,

    所以如果你想做好投資。

  • you have to find out the real value of the company and then compare it to the Price that

    你必須找出公司的真正價值,然後將其與價格進行比較。

  • it's traded in the market.

    它在市場上的交易。

  • If it's undervalued, it's a good investment.

    如果它的價值被低估,那就是一個很好的投資。

  • If it's overvalued, it's a bad investment.

    如果被高估了,那就不好投資了。

  • It is as simple as that.

    就這麼簡單。

  • In 2002, Buffett came across a company called Petrochina.

    2002年,巴菲特遇到了一家叫中石油的公司。

  • After analyzing its financial statements, it was clear that this company worth at least

    在分析了它的財務報表後,發現這家公司價值至少在

  • 100 billion dollars, but when he looked at its market cap, the company was traded at

    000億美元,但當他看其市值時,公司的交易額為

  • just 30 billion dollars, and base on the political climate, it was clear that oil prices would

    僅僅300億美元,而根據政治氣候,油價顯然會。

  • rise, he knew that it was a golden opportunity, so he invested almost 488 million dollars

    漲,他知道這是一個黃金機會,所以他投入了近4.88億的資金

  • into this company.

    進入這家公司。

  • Guess what happened?

    猜猜發生了什麼?

  • The company didn't just reach a 100 billion dollar valuation, but it skyrocketed to 275

    公司的估值不僅達到了1000億美金,而且還飆升到了275

  • billion dollars.

    萬億美元。

  • Buffett sold his stake and earned 3.6 billion dollars from this deal.

    巴菲特出售了自己的股份,並從這筆交易中賺取了36億美元。

  • So the question is

    所以問題是
。

  • - how do you find the real value of a company.

    - 如何找到公司的真正價值。

  • One of the most popular methods is the P/E

    最流行的方法之一是市盈率。

  • ratio or Price to earnings ratio.

    比率或市盈率。

  • It basically means the amount of money investors are willing to pay for every dollar that the

    基本上是指投資者願意為每一元錢支付多少錢,而這

  • company earns.

    公司賺。

  • It's a simple tool to measure if the stock is overvalued or undervalued.

    這是一個衡量股票是高估還是低估的簡單工具。

  • Let's say hypothetically, Apple earned 2K dollars this year and has a total number of

    假設說,蘋果公司今年賺了2K美元,共有

  • 1000 shares.

    1000股。

  • Dividing apple earnings on the total number of shares gives us earnings per share or EPS

    將蘋果收益除以總股數,就得到了每股收益或EPS。

  • in short.

    總之,

  • This means Apple has earned 2 dollars for every share.

    這意味著,蘋果公司每分得2美元。

  • To find the P/E ratio, you have to take the Price of the share, let us assume it's 50,

    要想找到市盈率,就得把股票的價格,我們假設是50。

  • and divide it on EPS (50/2=25).

    並將其除以EPS(50/2=25)。

  • In this example, investors are paying 25 dollars for every dollar that Apple earns.

    在這個例子中,投資者為蘋果公司每賺取一美元支付25美元。

  • In other words, it would take the company 25 years to pay you back.

    換句話說,公司要花25年時間來償還你。

  • A good PE ratio is considered something around 15.

    一個好的PE比率被認為是15左右的東西。

  • Anything higher than that could mean that the stock is probably overvalued.

    如果高於這個數字,可能意味著該股可能被高估了。

  • Tesla's PE ratio is, for example, 970.

    例如,特斯拉的PE比率是970。

  • Does that mean Tesla is overvalued?

    這是否意味著特斯拉的價值被高估了?

  • Maybe, or maybe not

    也許是,也許不是。

  • When finding a PE ratio of a certain company, we take into account earnings per share for

    在尋找某家公司的PE比率時,我們會考慮到每股收益的情況,以達到

  • the last 12 month, but when you invest in a certain company, past earnings don't matter.

    過去12個月,但當你投資某家公司時,過去的收益並不重要。

  • What matters is how much the company is going to earn in the future, which is why there

    重要的是公司未來要賺多少錢,這也是為什麼要有

  • is something called forward P/E ratio

    是一種叫做遠期市盈率的東西。

  • Of course, You can't know for sure how much the company is going to earn in the future,

    當然,你無法確定公司未來會賺多少錢。

  • so the number that is used is the average of what experts usually predict

    所以使用的數字是專家通常預測的平均值。

  • If we go back to Tesla, despite it having an anstonomical PE ratio (970), its forward

    如果我們回到特斯拉,儘管它有一個靜態的PE比(970),但它的遠期的

  • PE ratio is closer to the earth at 123.

    PE比接近於123的地球。

  • Which means, That you will have to wait 949 years to earn your money back if you invest

    這意味著,如果你投資,你將不得不等待949年才能賺回你的錢。

  • in Tesla based on its past 12 month earnings, but experts are calming us down by saying

    根據特斯拉過去12個月的收益,但專家們讓我們冷靜下來,他們說:"根據特斯拉過去12個月的收益,特斯拉的收益是很高的。

  • that "don't worry, its that long, Tesla is going to be much more profitable so its just

    說 "別擔心,它的時間那麼長,特斯拉會有更多的利潤,所以它只是。

  • 123 years" which is why most investors consider Tesla an overvalued stock.

    123年 "這也是為什麼大多數投資者認為特斯拉是一隻高估的股票。

  • But we all know that Elon Musk is an alien, and he is going to prove everyone wrong, as

    但我們都知道,埃隆-馬斯克是個外星人,他要證明所有人都錯了,因為

  • he does all the time.

    他一直在做。

  • The price-to-earnings ratio isn't the most accurate method to value a company, but it's

    市盈率並不是最準確的評估公司價值的方法,但它是。

  • the simplest way to have a broad idea of how the company is performing.

    最簡單的方法就是對公司的業績有一個大致的瞭解。

  • The company might come up with a revolutionary product and beat all expert predictions

    公司可能會拿出一個革命性的產品,並擊敗所有專家的預測。

  • So to make a wiser prediction, you have to

    所以要想做出更明智的預測,你必須要

  • consider other analyses as well, such as Price to book ratio (P/B Ratio).

    同時考慮其他分析,如市賬率(P/B Ratio)。

  • It basically means how much the company is going to earn if it sold all of its assets

    基本上是指如果公司賣掉所有資產能賺多少錢

  • and paid off its debts.

    並償還了其債務。

  • Let's return back to Tesla.

    讓我們回到特斯拉。

  • Tesla has gigafactrories, thousands of charging stations, offices, patents, and a lot of other

    特斯拉擁有gigafactrories、數千座充電站、辦公室、專利以及其他很多東西。

  • assets.

    資產。

  • Let's say they all amount to 100 million, but it also has a lot of debt, let's say 70

    比方說都是一個億,但是它的債務也很多,比方說70

  • million dollars.

    萬元。

  • If we subtract its debts from its assets, we will get a book value of $30 million.

    如果我們從資產中減去它的債務,就會得到3000萬元的賬面價值。

  • So if Tesla has 10 million stocks, its book value per share is going to be $3 ($30M/10M

    所以,如果特斯拉有1000萬隻股票,其每股賬面價值要達到3美元(3000萬/1000萬)。

  • shares).

    股份)。)

  • To find out how much you will be paying for each dollar, you have to divide the stock

    要想知道每塊錢你將支付多少錢,你必須將股票除以

  • price, which is, lets say $15 by the book value of shares.

    價格,也就是,比方說,按股票的賬面價值15元。

  • In plain English, you will be paying 5 dollars for each dollar of assets that Tesla has.

    通俗地說,你將為特斯拉每1美元的資產支付5美元。

  • A good price to book ratio is considered something around 1, but sometimes it's really difficult

    一個好的價格與賬面比率被認為是1左右的東西,但有時它真的很難

  • to put a price on something like an algorithm that Instagram is running on or Snapchat filters.

    來給Instagram正在運行的算法或Snapchat濾鏡等東西定價。

  • But financial analysis is just one part of

    但財務分析只是其中的一部分。

  • the story.

    的故事。

  • Startups, for example, usually have a lot of debt and not many assets and might struggle

    例如,初創企業通常負債累累,資產不多,可能會陷入困境。

  • with cashflow, but could end up becoming widely successful.

    與現金流,但最終可能成為廣泛的成功。

  • So never rely on financial analysis as the sole predictor of a company's success, there

    所以,千萬不要把財務分析作為公司成功的唯一預測,有

  • are many other indicators that we have covered in previous videos, which links I will leave

    還有許多其他指標,我們已經在以前的視頻中涉及到,我將離開的鏈接。

  • in the description, nevertheless, financial analysis can give us a better image of how

    在描述中,然而,財務分析可以讓我們更好地瞭解

  • the company is performing.

    該公司正在執行。

  • If you guys enjoy this kind of these videos,

    如果你們喜歡這樣的視頻。

  • let us know by giving this video a thumbs up and sharing it with your friends and we

    讓我們知道,給這個視頻豎起大拇指,並與您的朋友分享,我們。

  • will make sure to make more similar videos.

    一定會製作更多類似的視頻。

  • And if you are new around and want to learn more about the stock market and want to achieve

    如果你是一個新的周圍,並希望瞭解更多的股市,並希望實現

  • your financial goals, make sure to subscribe and turn on your notifications, because that's

    你的財務目標,一定要訂閱並打開你的通知,因為那是

  • what we do on this channel.

    我們在這個頻道上做什麼。

  • Thanks for watching and until next time.  


    感謝您的觀看,直到下一次。

  • 
 


Best Investing For Beginners Advice - How TO Find Good Stocks

最佳投資新手建議--如何尋找好股票

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