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  • They said she was born a crone, an abomination forged

  • from leftovers that nature would not claim, spat out as a

  • bastard child in a damp cave by the River Nidd as the very

  • moon shunned her.

  • They said her stench was so rotten that she walked in a

  • cloud of flies.

  • They said that she turned water into stone.

  • They said these things and much more.

  • And yet they went in droves down to the petrifying well to

  • see ugly old Mother Shipton.

  • They came, hoping to influence their fates, since the women

  • who defied the very laws of nature could also see what the

  • future had to hold, and so enable them to take corrective

  • or aversive measures.

  • Yet the powers of this sorceress were incompletely

  • revealed, for she was also the guardian of a technology that

  • could match the potency of nature.

  • Yet not all of the things that they said about Mother Shipton

  • were untrue.

  • Today, her miraculous technology lies unclaimed,

  • lurking in full view as a tourist attraction.

  • While the Enlightenment gave us new sets of tools that

  • replaced our oracles and used the powers of science to

  • enable different approaches and ways of making

  • predictions, even these had their limits, being less

  • reliable as time passed or as events became

  • increasingly complex.

  • Indeed, even in our highly technologised area, our

  • ancient times are stirred when our current tool sets cannot

  • clearly see the future.

  • We have recently come to regard these limits as

  • singularities, where technologically mediated

  • events introduce time and complexity into our realities

  • so rapidly that they render our predictive methods

  • ineffective.

  • Indeed, it he said that they threaten to rupture the fabric

  • of human history.

  • They include a range of anticipated incidents, such as

  • the AI singularity, where machine intelligence exceeds

  • that of humans, the trans-human singularity, where

  • our bodies are no longer naturally made, the virtual

  • singularity, where we upload our identities, and even the

  • escape velocity singularity, where human life spans

  • increase so dramatically, they disrupt our

  • current notions of humanity.

  • But although these singularities may seem

  • diverse, they stem from a particular kind of thinking,

  • which originates from that Enlightenment worldview.

  • This is set to hard control the future and involves

  • accurately forecasting events so that we can better deal

  • with, design, or prevent them from happening.

  • Yet the inability to know exactly what happens next does

  • not imply Faustian bargains to evade grey goose scenarios, as

  • Bill Joy may claim, but it anticipates a disruption in

  • our experience of reality.

  • Through GPS scientific instruments and the data

  • processing powers of modern computing, a complex model of

  • the world has emerged and has increased our awareness of

  • existential risks to our human culture.

  • They indicate that we face great changes that are posed

  • by nature herself.

  • Over the course of this century, we are likely to

  • witness more flooding, dramatic weather patterns, and

  • resource shortages, which will reach tipping points where

  • systems behave unpredictably and which we are currently

  • powerless to describe or prevent.

  • Nature does not obey the linear laws of machines but

  • operates in complex contextualised and

  • irreversible way, which exist beyond the singularity in

  • places that we cannot see clearly.

  • We may think of these conceptual opacities as the

  • black sky for which we need a different tool set.

  • And this is black sky thinking.

  • Black sky thinking is tactical,

  • propositional, and iterative.

  • It draws existing threads or experience together and weaves

  • a loose reality fabric from them.

  • It then repeats the process until we can start to see the

  • world around us again clearly and bump confidently up

  • against its warp and weft under new blue skies.

  • I'd like to talk about a particular singularity to

  • offer an example of black sky thinking, the interstellar

  • singularity, which occurs when humans leave the solar system.

  • Our journey to the stars may be happening

  • sooner than you think.

  • Right now, Icarus Interstellar are catalysing the

  • construction of a world ship in Earth's

  • orbit within 100 years.

  • I am project leader for Persephone, which is one of

  • the projects of Icarus Interstellar and responsible

  • for the living interior to this world ship.

  • This may be thought of as a unique kind of nature that

  • supports its space-faring inhabitants.

  • But since this project will be realised in more than one

  • lifetime and also exists within an age of exponential

  • technological change, it is difficult, if not impossible,

  • to see how we can even begin to imagine how we might deploy

  • the necessary technologies to construct the living fabric

  • for a world ship that does not already exist.

  • Persephone inhabits black sky thinking territory.

  • My work addresses the unknown challenges of building a

  • living environment for this world ship by harnessing the

  • computational properties of matter, powered by subatomic

  • networks, chemical relationships,

  • and flows of energy.

  • These take place in parallel and operate in real time.

  • So we can think of the natural world as a kind of technology

  • itself and harness its potential, using the

  • techniques of natural computing , a term that was

  • inspired by Alan Turing's interest in the computational

  • powers of nature and provides us with an alternative

  • technological platform to machines, which helps us map

  • and shape continually unfolding solution spaces.

  • The outputs of this approach propose a new kind of nature,

  • with its own unique laws, based in physics and

  • chemistry, of the systems that underpin the world ship.

  • So rather than extrapolating the consequences of conceptual

  • models, black sky thinking literally feels its way around

  • possibilities by mapping and working the nature of reality

  • without having to know the future.

  • And Persephone will shape her world by horizontally coupling

  • her native physical and chemical systems together

  • through her soils, which function as a highly complex,

  • self-producing natural computer.

  • My research explores natural computing systems, such as

  • chemistries that are lively and resists the decay towards

  • equilibrium to grow structures like chemical worms and banded

  • soil-like substrates.

  • Indeed, nature's technologies are unlike those of machines.

  • They are not made from a world of geometrically-bound objects

  • but are born from a dynamic field of possibility that is

  • based on networks, relationships, and flows.

  • Such technologies are so familiar to us that we take

  • them for granted, as they already

  • exist beneath our feet.

  • Indeed, these soils are the foundation of all

  • civilizations.

  • They occur spontaneously, acting as chemical

  • transformers, whose effects can be expressed in terms of

  • land fertility.

  • Soil technology may help us feel out way around a new kind

  • of reality, not by consuming resources but by endlessly

  • transforming matter in complex entanglements of flow and

  • metabolism that result in fundamentally life-promoting

  • events, ones that we can shape.

  • The story of Mother Shipton directly speaks to my work,

  • not because of her conceptually-forged bold

  • prophecies that spoke of times when men could walk and

  • communicate under water or even when women were to wear

  • trousers to straddle transport systems as if astride a

  • broomstick.

  • However, I am drawn to the legend of a woman who embodies

  • a complete deconstruction of our aesthesized views of

  • nature, which Timothy Morton and Slavoj Zizek declare get

  • in the way of dealing with the materiality of the actual

  • world we inhabit through our preconceptions.

  • But I'm most compelled by Mother Shipton's legend

  • because at the very place she lived, as it harboured an

  • architectural scale computer.

  • Mother Shipton's petrifying well was the place where soft

  • objects were turned to stone.

  • This has nothing to do with the anti-natural tendencies of

  • a profane women but may be attributed to the synthetic

  • properties of elemental infrastructures.

  • Nor are the features of the well simply a natural

  • phenomena, untouched by humans.

  • They are carefully orchestrated by the drivers of

  • our material reality, based in physics and chemistry,

  • operating in conjunction with people who came to

  • ritualistically place soft objects in the

  • mineral-rich waters.

  • Here, the transformation begins.

  • The soft object becomes saturated with water, which

  • flows through the porous matrices

  • by capillary reaction.

  • And as the water evaporates from these permeable bodies,

  • it leaves limestone-like deposits

  • behind, like kettle scale.

  • The mouth of the well drips stone objects from its damp

  • matrix, which are hung by threads that suspend the soft

  • bodies between the ground and the air, where they wait to be

  • transformed into something more lasting, that enfolds

  • sacrificial items like teddy bears, lobsters, brushes, and

  • even John Wayne's hat into the fabrics of the rocks.

  • These processes, as magical and unconventional as they may

  • seem, exist today and embody a rudimentary framework for a

  • natural computer.

  • In its current form, these may be considered as a

  • stone-spinning web, which can act as a primordial prototype

  • to harness what David [INAUDIBLE]

  • calls pre-natural forces, and offers us a glimpse of an

  • emerging technological fields.

  • Such technologies may not only be developed through our

  • increasing knowledge of chemistry, physics, and

  • biology, but may also be evolved into more

  • sophisticated computational matrices that function as

  • artificial soils and may eventually bring world ships

  • to life, or help us invent new forms of construction ,

  • repair, and recycling for our increasingly

  • resource-constrained cities.

  • So these unnatural forms--

  • hag and worldship--

  • share something in common with all living things, in that

  • they defy the very odds of their existence.

  • Yet they do not survive by submitting to the random

  • lottery of evolution, but are post-natural hybrids that

  • manipulate the fabric of reality by drawing its

  • material threads together and shaping it through their own

  • force and will, as incessant acts of survival and growth.

  • Using the technology of natural computing, these

  • post-natural bodies spring firm fabrics out of elemental

  • cycles and grow new worlds from the very guts of nature.

  • And they claim to an existence that they do

  • not assume as a given.

  • In full view, the drip, drip, dripping off the Mother

  • Shipton stone web permeates and transforms the soft bodies

  • carefully placed in its immortal well.

  • Sometimes it spins this way.

  • And other times it twists that way.

  • From time to time, strange and unexpected nodules bulge

  • expectancy.

  • And in those prodigious moments that proceed a

  • decision, it seems that life itself may split the sack and

  • all is possible.

  • Thank you.

  • [APPLAUSE]

They said she was born a crone, an abomination forged

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