Placeholder Image

Subtitles section Play video

  • A month before the fed raised the rates,  a Bloomberg article stated that if the If  

  • Stocks Don't Fall, the Fed Needs to  Force Them. That was a red line that  

  • immature investors should have taken seriouslybut people made so much money with meme stocks  

  • that it seemed like they would never fall. When  everything is rising, making money is easy!  

  • Whatever you buy is going to be the right betYou will make money no matter what stock you buy.

  • Of course, it's great, but it's very dangerous  

  • in the long run. You will start thinking  that reading financial statements and  

  • analyzing their long strategy isn't  important when deciding which stock to buy.  

  • Here you go! You made money without even having  a clue on how to analyze financial statements!

  • Your confidence wouldn't be based on  solid grounds but is going to be flawed.  

  • That's why most meme stock investors  lost fortunes when everything crashed  

  • the moment the fed raised rates by half  a percentage point on the 4th of May

  • Once these meme traders see their portfolios  down by over 50 percent, they will most likely  

  • move to something else and stop trading  or investing until the next boom. The only  

  • problem is that the next boom doesn't  seem to be around the corner

  • Inflation has gone out of control to the  extent that it's now the fed's top priority.  

  • Experts at The Economist Intelligence  Unit expect the Fed to raise rates  

  • seven times in 2022, reaching 2.9% in early 2023.

  • On top of that, the fed plans to dramatically  shrink its 9 trillion dollar asset portfolio  

  • that it acquired during the pandemic. Beginning  of June, the fed intends to shrink the balance  

  • sheet at a maximum monthly pace of $60  billion in Treasuries and $35 billion  

  • in mortgage-backed securities after an  initial few months at a slower pace

  • This might not sound like a big deal,  

  • but it was one of the main reasons  why the market reacted so harshly

  • One of the primary ways the fed injects  money into the economy is by buying bonds.  

  • When bonds mature, the fed often replaces  them or uses the interest from these bonds  

  • to purchase more bonds. But now  it's just not going to renew them,  

  • which means no more cheap money in the economyOf course, it ain't going to happen overnight but  

  • gradually in order not to cause any immediate  economic crashes, but it already did since  

  • that sent a clear message to investors  that the age of cheap money has ended.

  • That's why stocks and crypto crashed to  rock bottom, but that raises the question:  

  • how to profit from a crash? Is there a way  to earn money when the market is crashing?

  • We will answer all of these questions  and many more but before we do that,  

  • give this video a thumbs up, and here is  a little disclaimer: this is not financial  

  • advice and everything thats said in this video  is for educational and entertainment purposes.

  • When we talk about a crash, it's usually  a negative thing. Emotions get in the way,  

  • and you start selling your positions that are  falling faster than a crashing plane. It gets  

  • even worse when these investments  represent your entire savings.  

  • Just go back to the case of GameStop  when people got ever excited and threw  

  • everything they had into that opportunityUnfortunately, things went south. People  

  • panicked and sold their stocks at negative 80  percent after the hedge fund's manipulation

  • If they had been a little more patient, they  wouldn't have lost as much as they did. Of course,  

  • it's easy to say how things should have been after  everything has already happened. But the reality  

  • is that that's the nature of the marketWe can go back and say the exact  

  • same thing about the 2020 crashThe moral of the story, not letting emotions  

  • get in the way of your investing decisions is  the best thing you can do to your investments

  • Each time the market overreacted  and fell dramatically, it recovered  

  • shortly afterward. Those investors who  panicked and sold out found themselves  

  • regretting their decision, while  patient investors were rewarded

  • After the Japanese attack on Pearl Harborthe S&P 500 index fell more than 4%  

  • and continued to drop another 14% over the next  few months. However, After that, and through  

  • the end of the war in 1945, the stock market  returned more than 25% per year on average.  

  • The moral of the story is - when everyone is  panicking and selling, that's the time to buy.  

  • Once everyone calms down and realizes  that life goes on, no matter what happens,  

  • people will start investing again, which will  bring back the market to its pre-crash level.

  • Another way investors or traders, to  be more accurate, monetize a crash  

  • is through put or call options

  • Let's go back to April 2022. The markets  were doing not bad. The only problem was that  

  • most people were unsure if the  fed would raise rates in May  

  • and, most importantly, how  the market would react.  

  • If you were a hundred percent confident, you could  have shorted the market, but if you are not, you  

  • have an option. A put option. An option to sell  the stock at a specific price for a small fee

  • Let's say stock A cost $100, and you think that if  the fed raises rates, it could fall by over %50.  

  • You buy a put option that costs 5 dollars to sell  stock A for 100 dollars that expire in a month.  

  • You have 30 days to exercise the  option. If the stock doesn't crash,  

  • maximum that you can lose is  the 5 dollars you put up

  • However, if the market crashes after the fed  raises rates and stock A drops by 50 percent as  

  • you predicted to 50 dollars. You can buy  the stock for 50 dollars and sell it for  

  • 100 dollars since you have purchased the right  to do so. And boom, you just earned 50 dollars.  

  • After deducting the cost of your put options which  was 5 dollars, you are left with a profit of $45. 

  • That's one of the main ways how traders earn  fortunes during crashes and minimize their risk.

  • But let's say the market has crashed, and you  don't know whether it will recover or not, so  

  • you don't want to risk your money buying stocksIs there a way to still profit out of this crash?

  • Of course.

  • That's why we have call options. A call  option works exactly like a put option,  

  • but in this case, you have the right  to buy the stock at a specific price

  • Let's say company B has crashed from 80 dollars  to 50 dollars, but you think that it's a temporary  

  • crash and the company has all the basis to  return back to 80 dollars, but you are not sure

  • We might face a recession, and the  stock might keep declining. So instead,  

  • you buy a call option, a right to buy the  stock at 50 dollars for, let's say, 5 dollars.  

  • 2 weeks later, the stock bounces back to  80 dollars. You exercise your right to buy  

  • the stock at 50 dollars and then sell  it in an open market for 80 dollars.  

  • After deducting the cost of the call option  ($5), you made 25 dollars on this deal.

  • So when there is a market crash, not everyone  suffers. Some people thrive during crashes.  

  • And some people are even willing to take  an infinite risk by shorting the market.  

  • That's why we have news such as  thisTesla short-sellers have made  

  • $8.2 billion betting against Elon Musk's  company this year as tech stocks crashed.

  • Instead of buying put options, you can borrow  the stock from your broker and sell it in the  

  • open market for, let's say, 1k dollars and then  buy it back once the price drops to let's say,  

  • 700 dollars and return it back to your  broker, pocketing the 300 dollar difference.  

  • The only downside to this  strategy is that, theoretically,  

  • the stock price can rise infinitely, so  theoretically, your losses can be infinite.  

  • That's exactly what went wrong with  hedge funds that shorted Gamestop.

  • Good for them that they somehow  survived the catastrophe,  

  • but it could have gotten much worse, bankrupting  entire hedge funds. But as the latest news shows  

  • that traders haven't stopped shorting. In  fact, even prominent names such as Bill Gates  

  • are using this strategy. Gates was even lately  criticized for trying to tackle climate change  

  • but at the same time shorting Tesla, that's  trying to make electric cars more affordable.

A month before the fed raised the rates,  a Bloomberg article stated that if the If  

Subtitles and vocabulary

Click the word to look it up Click the word to find further inforamtion about it