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  • - There's this classic thought experiment

  • about two gardens.

  • So imagine one garden and it has

  • the perfect amount of sunlight,

  • and then you plant different flowers in that garden.

  • And you can look and say,

  • "Well, the differences between them

  • in these plants' heights is about the seeds that I planted.

  • They all have the perfect environmental conditions.

  • The differences between them are genetic."

  • Now imagine another garden, and it is neglected.

  • If you looked at that and you said,

  • "All those plants are stunted and dead,"

  • and then you said,

  • "Ah, the difference between these two gardens

  • is that these plants in the neglected garden

  • are genetically shorter than these plants

  • in the rich, well-resourced garden."

  • We can't then say that all the differences

  • between tall and short plants

  • across very different environments

  • are in fact due to genetics.

  • That's a really obvious thing when it comes to plants,

  • but it's a really difficult thing for people

  • to keep in mind when we're talking about individual

  • versus group differences.

  • This relationship between

  • heritability and response to the environment

  • is a complicated one.

  • 'Heritability' is the proportion of variation

  • in a population that's due

  • to genetic differences between people.

  • It's a confusing term because people misinterpret heritable

  • to mean 'genetically determined,

  • unmodifiable by the environment, or innate.'

  • And it doesn't mean any of those things.

  • But it's hard for us scientists to describe why.

  • The thing about factoring in environment in genetic studies

  • is that we already face

  • an enormous, statistical power problem.

  • Do you have enough people?

  • Do you have enough observations?

  • Do you have enough data to be able to reliably say

  • that what you're picking up on is real

  • and not just random chance?

  • Genetic studies that ignore the environment

  • and are just looking for the "main effects"

  • of genes are already requiring sample sizes

  • in excess of one million people.

  • So when you start to factor in

  • gene-by-environment interaction,

  • the power problem gets even bigger.

  • Statistics is hard, biology is hard.

  • A lot of times people haven't had exposure to this

  • since high school, if at all.

  • In the larger conversation,

  • we're trying to make sense of information about race.

  • We're trying to make sense of information about genes,

  • about education, about inequality.

  • I think it's really understandable

  • that people have a hard time thinking

  • about how all these things go together.

  • 'Portability' is this idea that what we've discovered

  • in one sample or one group of people,

  • how much can we port that over to a new group of people,

  • and trust that things are gonna work in the same way?

  • So we see this all the time with our social science effects.

  • A minimum wage change in one state

  • doesn't have the same effect as a minimum wage change

  • in another state.

  • What I think people often miss

  • is that genetic causes can operate in the same way.

  • So, just because a gene influences the probability

  • of an outcome in this group of people,

  • to the extent that that's probabilistic

  • rather than deterministic,

  • to the extent that that genetic effect

  • is moderated by the environment,

  • we're not gonna be able to expect it to be portable

  • when we study a new group of people.

  • When I say that something's heritable,

  • I mean that within a group of people

  • that have experienced

  • roughly-equivalent environmental conditions,

  • genetic differences between them are related

  • to the phenotypic differences between them.

  • The genes of the seeds are related to the height

  • of the flowers.

  • But that doesn't allow us to make the leap

  • that differences between groups

  • that have experienced

  • really different environmental legacies are due to genetics.

- There's this classic thought experiment

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