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  • Jimmy sells his catch at the local market. He  knows that he can sell only fresh fish, so he  

  • throws the bad ones away, regardless of the time  it takes him to find, catch, and clean the fish.

  • Jimmy knows that if he were to sell spoiled goodshis customers would not return. So, instead of  

  • crying over stale fish, he considers them as sunk  costs and sells what customers actually want.

  • In his free time, Jimmy isn't' that rational

  • Unlike fish that don't go to the movies, Jimmy  does. He buys himself a ticket for the afternoon  

  • show. But it turns out that a few hours before  the film starts, his friends want to meet up to  

  • play football, Jimmy's favorite sport. Since  he has already spent the money on the ticket,  

  • he declines the invitation. According to sunk  costs theory, he shouldn't havethe money  

  • he spent on the tickets is already gone, and  he won't get it back by watching the movie.

  • What matters is that he has a good time.

  • Jimmy falls for the so-called sunk cost  fallacy, the strong natural fear of losing  

  • what we already own and the tendency of our  brain to treasure all the things we possess.

  • A more famous example of the fallacy is the  Concordethe supersonic passenger plane.  

  • Building the aircraft proved to be very difficult  and expensive, but instead of shutting down the  

  • project, the British and French governments  continued funding it even though they knew the  

  • aircraft would not have any economic benefit. They  argued that they had invested too much to give up.

  • To test the sunk cost fallacy, economists  Hal Arkes and Catherine Blumer came up with  

  • an experiment using theater season ticketsThe regular price for the season was $15,  

  • but some people were randomly given discounts of  either $7 or $2. It turned out that the people  

  • who had paid the regular price attended more plays  than those who received a discount. Interestingly,  

  • the only ones who behaved rationally  were children under the age of 6.

  • Behavioral economists suggest that there are  three psychological reasons for our irrationality.

  • 1. Loss aversion: people prefer avoiding  losses to acquiring equivalent gainsmost  

  • avoid bets where they can win $50  because they could also lose $50.

  • 2. The desire not to appear wastefulthis is why some finish their food even  

  • when they feel full or don't  think it's particularly tasty.

  • 3. To ensure we do things we  fear we otherwise wouldn't:  

  • We might buy expensive gym membership to  make sure we actually go and work out.

  • Assuming you are immune to the Concorde  fallacy and you could completely ignore  

  • all investments you have ever made into your  education or getting to where you are today

  • What would you be doing differently  going forward? Can you identify any  

  • 'sunk costs' that are holding you  back from making those changes?

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Jimmy sells his catch at the local market. He  knows that he can sell only fresh fish, so he  

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