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We're digging trenches, we're laying conduit, we're
backfilling, we're paving.
And after that will come electric construction.
Here in Arnold, California, Pacific Gas and Electric is
working to bury power lines underground.
This is an expensive but surefire way to practically
eliminate the risk of utility-caused wildfires,
which have devastated towns throughout California.
And a Hawaii utility could also be the cause of Maui's
recent deadly blazes.
We're coming off of a historic drought, and those
conditions are materially different than the
conditions that we saw just ten short years ago.
And so now is absolutely the right time to be taking
bold, decisive action with regard to the grid safety
and grid's resiliency and scaling this underground
program to eliminate wildfire risk.
The infamous Camp Fire of 2018 sparked when high winds
knocked over a poorly maintained PG&E transmission
line. The resulting blaze destroyed the town of
Paradise, California, killing 85 people.
PG&E was found liable, and the massive cost drove the
nation's largest utility into bankruptcy, from which
it emerged in 2020.
But just a year later and in the same county, PG&E
equipment started another catastrophic fire, prompting
the utility to announce plans to move 10,000 miles
of distribution lines underground. It's an
ambitious goal that Martin says would reduce ignition
risk by 98%.
But undergrounding just one mile costs anywhere from
$1.8 to $6 million.
The total plan would likely be in the tens of billions,
and that bill would be footed by PG&E's customers,
who already face some of the highest rates in the
nation.
It's very expensive to live in this state, and people
are already spending a lot of their money on keeping
the lights on, keeping their heat on on a cold
night, you know, keeping their medical devices
running. If we keep pushing up electricity rates, the
most vulnerable of us are not going to be able to pay.
But though it's expensive, burying power lines isn't
new. It's common practice in city centers, where
overhead lines would be obstructive, and more common
in Europe, where cities tend to be denser.
41% of medium- and low-voltage power lines in
Europe are buried, and in Germany and the Netherlands,
nearly all of them are. Only about 18% of
distribution lines in the U.S. are underground, though
for both safety and aesthetic reasons, almost
all the new lines that are built are now buried.
So while our other underground lines were
primarily in more urban areas of our service
territory, this program is exclusively focused on the
highest risk areas in our service territory, getting
the lines out of the air and eliminating ignition
risk.
In general, overhead power lines are not insulated, as
that also comes at a cost.
When you look at our overhead wire, it's bare
wire. And that's why we've got such concerns about
that, is that if the tree falls into that and that
bare wire, that is where the risk comes from.
Basically, whenever the electricity in an energized
line has a direct path to the ground, be that through
a tree that's fallen on a line or a line that's fallen
on vegetation, that's when fires start.
So during storms and times of high wildfire risk,
utilities have few good options.
One option is to essentially just shut down the power
line, because if there is no voltage and no current on
the line, there is no chance of this release of
energy happening and then there is no chance of an
ignition. So shutting them down is a very disruptive
option. It is being used quite widely in California,
but it's really a very disruptive option.
PG&E has been implementing public safety power shutoffs
in California since 2019, impacting millions of
people. But as disruptive as this option is, it does
work. Hawaiian Electric, the utility that could be
found liable for the Maui wildfires that killed at
least 98 people, was criticized for not shutting
off power in advance of high wind warnings.
If the company is determined to be at fault,
it doesn't have nearly enough money to pay off
residents' damage claims.
Looked at this way, undergrounding is
undoubtedly cheaper than dealing with the massive
costs of deadly wildfires and undoubtedly less
disruptive than shutting off power completely.
When a line is put underground, ignition risk
is reduced by about 98%.
So for this one time capital investment, we're
essentially eliminating the risk of ignition from an
overhead power line by placing it underground.
Martin says that you also eliminate vegetation
management costs and many maintenance costs as well,
since underground wires aren't exposed to the
elements.
So everything underground is actually got a sheathing on
it. There's no bare wire, and it's actually protected
and made to be there for a long time.
We don't want to put it in twice. We want to put it in
once.
Undergrounding doesn't mean getting rid of all the poles
and wires that we're so familiar with, though.
What's going to move underground are our primary
lines, and they're the highest risk lines that you
see. They'll go underground along with the transformers.
The transformers will come off the pole, and in the
case of the project today will be pad-mounted.
And what will remain is communication lines, if
there are any, and the poles that those
communication lines are on, as well as secondary lines
and service lines to our customer's homes.
PG&E is not alone in its efforts.
San Diego Gas & Electric has a plan to underground
about 1,450 miles of line through 2031, while Florida
Power & Light is undergrounding select lines
for hurricane protection.
Austin Energy is also exploring undergrounding in
the wake of a winter ice storm that caused weeks-long
outages, and the federal government has pledged to
provide $95 million to Maui to harden its electric grid,
work that could include undergrounding lines.
But PG&E's proposed plan is far more ambitious and
expensive than any other in the nation.
Under this plan, which the California Public Utilities
Commission will vote on in November, PG&E will start by
undergrounding 2,100 miles of line through 2026 at a
total cost of about $5.9 billion.
We anticipate requesting full approval for all 10,000
miles in an upcoming filing with our regulators in 2024.
If PG&E's overall four year spending plan, which
includes funding for numerous other safety
initiatives and infrastructure investments,
is approved, a typical customer can expect to see
an average increase of $44.26 in their bill every
month through 2026.
The utility says that undergrounding efforts will
account for just $3.40 of this, but the CPUC has since
released two cheaper, alternate proposals for
consideration, which greatly cut back on
undergrounding. One calls for moving just 200 miles
underground and insulating 1,800 miles with covered
conductors, while the other involves undergrounding 973
miles and insulating 1,027 miles.
Both proposals would save customers money, but would
ultimately put PG&E's 10,000 mile goal in
jeopardy, and possibly customer safety too, since
PG&E says that insulating lines is only about 65%
effective at reducing wildfire risk.
If a tree falls on the line, the line is going to break
and you're still going to have a risk of a spark, and
you would still have a chance of starting a
wildfire, even if the line is insulated.
The Utility Reform Network supports the plan to
underground 200 miles, and estimates the cost of
insulation to be about $800,000 per mile, as
compared with the $3.3 million per mile that PG&E
spent on undergrounding in 2022.
By relying more heavily on insulated lines, we can do
the work faster and we can deliver that wildfire safety
more quickly to those different communities.
Morsony notes that the nation's second largest
utility, Southern California Edison, has
embraced insulation as a wildfire mitigation
strategy, aiming to install covered conductors on over
7,200 miles of overhead lines by the end of 2025.
But because PG&E earns a guaranteed rate of return on
capital investments, the utility is inherently
incentivized to undertake more expensive
infrastructure projects like undergrounding.
The larger the investment, the larger the profit for
PG&E and its shareholders.
This model is actually how the utility makes money, not
by selling electricity or gas.
Undergrounding costs a lot of money, it's a large
investment. So that would increase the revenue that
the utilities collect.
So that might give them an incentive to go for this
type of investment rather than other solutions.
Now the question is would these other solutions be as
effective as those big investment projects?
That's where the regulators have to step in.
However utilities choose to proceed, it's abundantly
clear that there's a need to act quickly to address
the risk of wildfire, especially as the American
West tries to recover from a decades-long drought.
While the CPUC's impending decision will impact how
extensive a role undergrounding will play in
PG&E's overall risk mitigation strategy, the
utility did already move 73 miles underground in 2021,
180 miles underground in 2022, and 350 miles so far
this year.
There are about 20 counties that we anticipate will have
meaningful amounts of undergrounding over the
course of the coming years.
And what we're seeing is that utilities across the
country are recognizing the need for an ever more
resilient electric grid.
So in the Southeast, for example, hurricane risk is
very real. In the Northeast, storm risk, the
same in the Midwest.
Fires are prevalent not just in California, but all
the way up the West Coast and into the Rocky
Mountains.
As extreme weather like this becomes more common, and the
nation moves towards clean energy generation, utilities
everywhere will be making major investments to adapt.
Undergrounding power lines is just one of many
strategies, but it exemplifies that tough
balance that utilities and regulators will need to
strike as they pursue safety, reliability and
affordability.
The question of how much we should invest in
undergrounding and allowing electricity rates to
increase, really is also not only a question for
electrical engineers or companies like PG&E to be
answered. It's really a societal question as well.
How do we maintain access to power while also keeping
it affordable, I think is a very important question.