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  • F-150, Silverado, Sierra, Ram, All American, big, capable,

  • and extremely popular.

  • These are not only some of the best selling trucks in

  • America, there are also some of the best selling vehicles

  • of any kind in the country.

  • Pickup trucks are perhaps one of Detroit's last strongholds

  • in the US car market.

  • In 2023, American brands sold nearly 2.4 million pickup

  • trucks, making up more than 15% of all new car sales.

  • But in one segment, Japanese Toyota outshines American

  • names. In fact, it outsells all of its rivals combined.

  • British grown up with it, and you kind of smile when you see

  • it in a.

  • Country obsessed with ever larger vehicles.

  • Toyota never stopped betting there would be a buyer who

  • preferred a smaller truck that would do what they

  • needed. Through the years, it has also earned a strong

  • reputation in desert racing and become a favorite of off

  • roaders and Overlanders.

  • That's just world domination.

  • That's what we're going in. I'm kidding.

  • Uh, in all, seriously, uh, we consider ourselves very

  • privileged, and we don't we don't take it lightly that the

  • success that we've had within the segment, that's largely

  • due to the loyalty that we had from our customer base.

  • Pickup trucks are not only popular, but profitable and

  • are thus a tantalizing opportunity for cash hungry EV

  • startups. Legacy automakers, especially the Detroit Three,

  • have pushed more aggressively into smaller trucks as foreign

  • automakers take the lead in other segments.

  • Industry forecasters expect there will soon be twice as

  • many truck models competing for the same share of buyers.

  • So how did Toyota win this market and is it at risk of

  • losing its lead?

  • There are four main pickup size segments compact midsize,

  • full size, and Heavy Duty and Detroit rules, nearly all of

  • them. The biggest sellers are the full size segment.

  • Ford, GM and Stellantis dominate, but Toyota is king

  • of the midsize.

  • The Tacoma is the ninth best selling vehicle in the US,

  • holding nearly four times the share of its next biggest

  • competitor. When asking industry insiders, even people

  • at Toyota, what accounts for Tacoma's success?

  • One word keeps popping up consistency.

  • We got into this segment listening to truck buyers,

  • what they wanted, and we kept giving it to them.

  • It's been incredibly consistent for a long, long

  • time.

  • Back when a lot of the competition left the market,

  • stayed the course, and I think we built a lot of

  • reputational rapport with our with our customers.

  • Toyota built its first truck, the G1, in 1935.

  • It began importing trucks to the US in the 1960s, and,

  • along with Japanese brands like Datsun and Nissan, carved

  • a popular niche in the compact segment.

  • Smaller trucks had been around before that.

  • As early as the mid 19 tens, Americans were buying Ford

  • Model T roadsters or Chassis and putting aftermarket truck

  • beds on the back.

  • The modifications popularity led Ford to introduce an

  • official factory built version of the Roadster pickup

  • in 1925.

  • Several more followed.

  • A lot of these early trucks would have qualified as

  • compact pickups, but American trucks grew over time as

  • vehicles tend to in response to customer demands, and by

  • the latter half of the 20th century, importers looking to

  • gain a foothold in the US saw small pickups as a way in, and

  • we found that to be a stronghold for us because a

  • lot of people didn't want either couldn't afford or

  • didn't want that big of a truck, especially depending on

  • where you lived, like a California, you know, you have

  • smaller parking garages.

  • At that time, American firms did somewhat serve the niche.

  • The Chevrolet El Camino and Ford Ranchero could be

  • considered examples, though.

  • They were really cars with beds on them.

  • It is telling that when some of these Japanese imports took

  • off in the 1970s, the main competitors developed by

  • American companies were rebadged versions of Japanese

  • trucks. Homegrown American rivals followed.

  • The original Ford Ranger and Chevrolet S-10 came out in

  • 1983. Dodge followed in 1986 with the Dakota, and our

  • competitors throughout time have jumped in and out of the

  • segment. Our market share, um, I think over the last ten

  • years, our average share has been almost 43%, 43% of a

  • market share of anything.

  • That's pretty unbelievable.

  • Why? Because we were always there and we don't jump in and

  • out of things because we're there and consistently giving

  • the consumer what they're asking for.

  • Even today, there are more choices.

  • But no line is comprehensive.

  • As Tacoma, it's the only one you can buy with a long bed,

  • only one of two that comes with two doors.

  • Also one of only two that comes with a manual

  • transmission.

  • Toyota's really the only one that still serving the entire

  • market.

  • So consistency is one ingredient.

  • But the other bit of genius is recognizing that there is a

  • large market of buyers who would love to have some of

  • what a pickup offers, but don't need all of it.

  • I think that a mid-size truck shopper is in a very different

  • mindset than a full size truck shopper.

  • If you are really concerned with hauling a heavy payload,

  • if you are really concerned with towing a high figure,

  • then you're going to be looking at a full size trucks.

  • There's no point in building the midsize truck with the

  • highest towing rating.

  • Those people are just going to buy a full size truck

  • anyway. Midsize truck shoppers are trying to solve a

  • very practical problem.

  • And when you add Toyota quality, the sort of

  • reputation they have for long term reliability to, you know,

  • a comfortable truck that's good on the road that meets

  • that need. It's just really hard to beat.

  • The other thing that served Toyota well was its stellar

  • reputation for SR quality, durability and reliability.

  • Consumer reports places Toyota at number two on its

  • list of most reliable brands.

  • Number one Lexus, which is also owned by Toyota, another

  • major analytics company, J.D.

  • power, has the brand up top as well.

  • Toyota's reputation for SRX shows up in the used

  • marketplace. Several models are among the best at holding

  • their value, topped by Tacoma second on the list.

  • We sort of staked our reputation to that, and that's

  • foundational to what is so important to the Tacoma is the

  • fact that when we provide those type of qualities, you

  • know, you get the benefits of residual value, you get the

  • benefits of of repeat customers.

  • And I'll say lifelong customers, if you will.

  • Dependability is not the only strength supporters cite.

  • Toyota has been known for making boring cars.

  • Even its chairman and former CEO Akio Toyoda has said so.

  • Tacoma, though, might be a rare exception.

  • A joke about a lot of SUVs and more than a few pickups is

  • that the only hills they will ever climb are the speed bumps

  • in the shopping mall parking lot.

  • But 42% of Tacoma owners say they take their trucks off.

  • Road at least once a month.

  • Active outdoor adventure.

  • We heard that over and over and over again.

  • The Japanese automaker has a long history with off road

  • racing, and is especially known for its relationship

  • with Ivan Ironman Stewart, the newest Tacoma, takes

  • design cues from this racing heritage.

  • Calty, Toyota's US design office, which develops

  • products for the American market, said it wanted the

  • latest Tacoma to be a badass adventure truck.

  • We always want to make sure it's a it's a tough, rugged

  • truck.

  • The brand has leveraged this racing heritage into its

  • products in other ways.

  • A lot of automakers have high performance lines or in-house

  • tuning shops. Bmw has M division, Mercedes AMG,

  • Hyundai N line.

  • Ford has performance.

  • Toyota's first such line in America was TRD Toyota Racing

  • Development, and for a long time it was somewhat unusual

  • in that it primarily focused on off road racing.

  • A few of the versions of Tacoma that are available and

  • that have been for quite some time, are TRD badged at the

  • same time when more than 40% of your customers are off

  • roaders, close to 60% are not.

  • Tacoma's eight trim levels prove the point.

  • Several are off road focused, but there is also a base

  • model. The SR5 engineer Sheldon Brown calls the jack

  • of all trades a more on road focused TRD sport version and

  • the higher end limited.

  • Historically, we haven't sold a lot of those trucks, and

  • maybe that was because, you know, we really didn't do

  • enough to differentiate it. So we really tried to make

  • that sort of, I'll say, the gentleman's off roader, for

  • lack of a better word, but more of the amenities that you

  • would get in a full size truck.

  • They haven't chased refinement as much, and they haven't

  • chased technology as much.

  • And and it's worked out in two areas.

  • One is that the consistency of the brand.

  • And the other thing is it's more in the scope of pickup

  • trucks and where you're going to spend money.

  • It's a little bit more entry level truck versus a full size

  • truck and truck buyers up until the last couple of years

  • were hesitant on technology, and truck buyers weren't

  • necessarily demanding cameras.

  • Now they are. But that wasn't the case 6 or 7 years ago.

  • Some features found on Tacoma's today, such as crawl

  • control, which helps navigate dicey off road driving, were a

  • lot cruder in earlier versions when compared with

  • competitors like the Ford Ranger.

  • Later iterations were polished up in response to the

  • threat.

  • Tacoma doesn't necessarily lead by having the latest and

  • most perfect forms of every piece of technology.

  • Tacoma leads by being capable, by being reliable, by

  • being what its owners know it to be, and by making sure that

  • it still has that connection.

  • But Toyota no longer has the pool to itself.

  • Even though sales have risen in raw numbers, share has

  • declined simply because there are more trucks in the space.

  • The interesting part about the midsize segment is, as we've

  • seen the new entries come in, you know, market share has

  • changed because of, you know, the total number of entries in

  • there, but actual absolute value in terms of numbers has

  • continued to grow because that market has just expanded.

  • Where I look at the segment and I wonder a bit about what

  • we think is happening in the future, is, is I'm not sure

  • how much more growth there is.

  • The pickup truck segments share of the new car market

  • has historically peaked at about 20%.

  • To really go above that and sustain that would not

  • necessarily impossible, but it would be quite surprising.

  • I think at the end of the day, while pickup trucks are

  • attractive and people like them, they have an open bed.

  • And just honestly, not everybody wants an open bed.

  • It's unclear how long Toyota can maintain its dominance in

  • this segment. It seems to have held off competition from

  • the Chevrolet Colorado, which has lost market share since

  • 2019. But the Colorado did win Motortrend's truck of the

  • year award for 2024.

  • Of course, the newest generation Tacoma was not yet

  • available at the time.

  • Are they going to stay around? I mean, that's a

  • question. If they're going to stay around, they they were in

  • before, then they left and now they're back in and maybe

  • they'll leave again. I think the consumers are like, I

  • don't know if I can really trust that the other brands

  • are actually going to stay in the segment.

  • They've already left me once.

  • Then there is, of course, the big question on everyone's

  • mind what do you.

  • Do with electrification?

  • Toyota just created a hybrid Tacoma and that will get them

  • through to a certain point. But you know, the new EPA

  • tailpipe regulations making about 56% of its lineup

  • electric, and nobody has built a convincing electric

  • truck that sells in large numbers.

  • Yet plenty are trying.

  • Ev startup Rivian makes nothing but SUVs and pickup

  • trucks. Tesla has begun selling the Cybertruck.

  • Vw plans to resurrect the Scout brand, entirely focused

  • on electric SUVs and pickup trucks.

  • Legacy players without much of a presence in trucks have

  • been trying to find a path of least resistance.

  • Hyundai started selling a compact unibody pickup called

  • the Santa Cruz not an EV, but the Korean automaker, along

  • with sister brand Kia, is betting big on electric

  • vehicles. Not to be outdone, Ford released a compact pickup

  • called the Maverick, which comes with a hybrid powertrain

  • at any trim level.

  • Gm is planning a compact as well.

  • It remains to be seen if any of these can compete in a big

  • way with the Tacoma.

  • That's a lot of competition for a segment that probably

  • doesn't have a lot of growth.

  • So we. Really as those players come in, I think over

  • time it's a matter of eating somebody else's share, which

  • it always is to some degree or another.

  • It's heating up. It's getting more competitive.

  • Ford really proved a point with the Maverick, and I think

  • you may see them make more of an effort next time around.

F-150, Silverado, Sierra, Ram, All American, big, capable,

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