WhileIcelandershavenevervotedin a referendumspecificallyonEUmembership, publicsentimenthasshiftedovertime, influencedbybothdomesticandinternationalevents, including
Forexample, theSwisscherishtheirfinancialautonomy, especiallygiventhecountry's statusas a globalbankingandfinancialhub, thusconcernsaboutEUregulationspotentiallyaffectingthesectorplay a bigrole.
Itwouldtake a stringofmassivegeopoliticaleventstoswaytheSwisspeopleoverto a pro-EUside.
Overall, Icelandisprobablythemostlikelytojoinofthethree, asit's alreadypartoftheEEA, ithasclosetiestotheEU, and a decisivereferendumonjoininghasneverbeenheld.
The 2009 recessionalsoshowedtheIcelandicpeoplethevaluetheEUEconomicUnionoffered, andRussia's invasionofUkrainehasmanylookingtotheirEuropeanneighborsforsolidarity.