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  • Are you watching this video cozied up on the couch?

  • Or maybe taking in a sneaky scroll during work hours?

  • For many American workers, both could be true at the same time.

  • Remote work has been a hot topic these last four years because of the massive shifts it's made in both where and how we work.

  • But how does it affect our economy?

  • Whether you regularly clock in from the kitchen table, or you've never had the opportunity to work from home, remote work could be affecting your wages, housing costs, even inflation.

  • So it's time we understand what the rise of remote work means for all of us, and whether it's worth it.

  • Zoom may have been founded in 2011, but the rise of remote work started way before that.

  • The percentage of workers who do their jobs primarily from home has been steadily increasing since the 1960s.

  • As communication technology improved over the 90s and early 2000s, companies like IBM and Best Buy started allowing some employees to telecommute.

  • But both pilot programs were killed in the aftermath of the 2008 recession.

  • Still, that small percentage of remote workers in the U.S. kept increasing, until 2020 when the onset of the COVID pandemic pushed roughly 35% of workers to home offices overnight.

  • And despite the unusual circumstances, a majority of surveyed employees reported that working from home was a positive change.

  • For many, it made corporate culture more inclusive.

  • Working parents noted that remote work made it easier to balance childcare responsibilities with their work schedules.

  • In a time of widespread layoffs and furloughs, disabled people of working age saw a 3.5% increase in employment rates because remote work allowed them to manage their health needs in ways that typical office work does not.

  • And Black women surveyed by the Cornell School of Industrial and Labor Relations said that remote work allowed them to process news about racist violence without having to put on a happy face for co-workers, and reduced the number of microaggressions they faced, like co-workers touching their hair.

  • Remote work didn't level the playing field for everyone, though.

  • The jobs that went remote in 2020 were largely white-collar, knowledge sector jobs.

  • While workers in industries like agriculture or retail still had to show up in person.

  • These remote jobs tend to pay higher wages than jobs that can only be done IRL, with 56% of upper-income workers reporting they could work remotely, compared to 24% of lower-income workers.

  • So it's possible that the rise of remote work is contributing to a growing class divide, where only the already privileged can enjoy the benefits of working from home.

  • Remote workers also complained of loneliness, expectations of round-the-clock availability, back pain from those non-ergonomic chairs.

  • Still, 58% of white-collar workers say they prefer to work from home at least some of the time.

  • Employers saw some benefits, too.

  • When hiring for new roles, they expanded their talent pool from locals only to state or even nationwide, giving them more qualified candidates to select from.

  • And some studies suggest that remote workers may be more productive, working longer hours on average than in-person employees.

  • But we can't just look at whether remote work is good for companies or good for workers.

  • Let's look at the big picture of how the shift has affected the economy as a whole.

  • Take the real estate market.

  • Through the 2010s, interest rates were at historic lows, and companies with cheap access to cash expanded their corporate footprints.

  • But as those employees traded startup offices full of nap pods for working from their actual bedrooms, their bosses saw less need for all that extra space.

  • In cities like New York and Washington, D.C., 20 to 30% of commercial real estate currently sits vacant.

  • Building regulations make it difficult to convert this space for residential use, so commercial real estate investors unable to find new tenants have little choice but to eat their losses.

  • And as fewer workers commute to office spaces, the surrounding businesses struggle too.

  • Pharmacies, dry cleaners, and the fast, casual spot where you bought your sad desk salad are feeling the effects of lower foot traffic.

  • And it's also hitting us at home.

  • As remote workers seek out living arrangements with more space for a home office or fewer roommates to walk through the background of their Zoom calls, demand for housing has increased.

  • Researchers from the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco claim telecommuting contributed to a 24% increase in U.S. housing prices between 2019 and 2022.

  • It's not all bad news, though.

  • One upside is that remote work cut the average telecommuter's carbon emissions by half as they skipped gas-guzzling commutes and kept resource-intensive office buildings closed.

  • With damage from extreme climate events already costing the U.S. $150 billion a year, reducing emissions is a smart move for both the environment and the economy.

  • There's also evidence that while remote work threw real estate markets for a hoot, it may have had a moderating effect on inflation.

  • Usually in times of high inflation, workers seek higher pay in order to keep up with increasing prices.

  • Then, to make up for their increased labor costs, businesses raise prices even higher.

  • But as a 2021 survey reported, 75% of workers said they would choose remote work over a pay increase.

  • And it's likely that over the past three years, they did just that.

  • This tradeoff may have held off subsequent price inflation by as much as 50%.

  • It also means that wage growth was slower, which leads us to another workplace trend that remote work has made a little weirder.

  • Researchers, and maybe your bosses, have debated whether a lack of spontaneous face-to-face collaboration affects our ability to work together.

  • Maybe that doesn't really matter when it comes to making PowerPoint presentations, but collaboration is important in labor unions.

  • Since 2020, we've seen a wave of labor organizing activity, from Starbucks baristas and Amazon warehouse workers forming new unions, to UPS delivery drivers and Hollywood actors striking for better working conditions and fairer wages.

  • In 2022, the number of union petitions filed increased by more than 50% from the previous years.

  • And there's a lot of overlap between industries with high union membership and those where workers can't go remote.

  • Maybe there's something to that idea that in-person work fosters a special kind of collaboration.

  • We can't claim that remote work is all good or bad for the economy.

  • Just like telecommunity's impact on our personal lives, it's a bit of a mixed bag.

  • It seems that many companies recognize this too, with 41% of them implementing hybrid work schedules.

  • Still, in the current tight labor market, workers may have enough of an upper hand to press for more flexibility.

  • Though, if they want to bring their co-workers in on that cause, they might have to come into the office.

  • And that's our two cents.

Are you watching this video cozied up on the couch?

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