In 2023, almostthreequartersofGenZerssaidtheyplantobuy a homewithinsixyears, eventhoughthemarketistoughforbuyers.
Itisanincrediblydifficulthousingmarketrightnow.
Wehaveverylimitedhousinginventoryandwehavehadverylimitedhousinginventoryfor a longperiodoftime.
It's pusheduphomepricesatthesametimethatinterestratesareat a higherpointthantheyhavebeeninthelastfewyears.
SohowisGen Z affordinghomessoonerthantheirelderscould?
Andwhatimplicationswillthathaveforthehousingmarketand U.S. economy?
InJanuary 2021, the 30-yearfixedmortgageratehit a recordlow.
I signedlessthan 3% onmymortgage, whichis, youknow, anastronomicallow.
That's historic.
So I probablywillnevergivethatup.
I won't buyuntileither I don't need a mortgage, I canmakeanequitytransaction.
Gen Z waslookingliketheyweredoingbetterthanMillennials, betterthanGen X, becausetheywerebuyinghomesat a fasterrate.
But I think a lotofthathadtodowithhowlowinterestrateswereduringthoseyearsandremoteworkopeningupmorepossibilitiesforGenZerstobuyhomesinplacesthataremoreaffordable.
During 1970, whentheoldestBoomerwas 24, themajorityof U.S. homeownersin a two- ormore-personhouseholdunder 25 livedinthesouthernregion.
Inadditiontotheeasyinterestrateenvironmenthousingadvantage, someGenZerswereabletoget a headstartfromtheirfamilymembers.
Morethan 36% ofGen Z andMillennialswhoplantopurchaseareexpectingtheirfamilytohelpthemwiththedownpayment.
I hadmyparentsco-signonthemortgagebecauseatthatage, regardlessofyourcredit, youprettymuchhavetohave a co-signerand I understandthatnoteverybodyhasthatopportunity.
If a Gen Z memberwasin a goodeconomicposition, theyhad a jobortheyhadhelpfromfamilytoafford a home, andtheywereabletobuy a home, thentheymadeoutreallywellbecausehomevalueswentupconsiderablyfrom 2021 towherewearenow.
AnaverageAmericanhomeinthesecondquarterof 2024 cost a littleover $501,000.
InFebruary 2020, homebuyersneededtoearnjustover $40,000 inannualincometoqualifyfor a starterhome.
Today, a first-timebuyerneedstomakearound $76,000 toafford a typicalstarterhomeinthe U.S. 2020 experiencednewlowsformortgagerates.
The 30-yearfixedratewasjustunder 3%.
Thetypicalageof a first-timebuyerin 2023 was 35.
InNewJersey, themedianagewas 49.
Similartotheaverageage, themedianpriceof a homeinNewJerseygrew.
Themedianpriceof a homeforsaleinthestateofNewJerseyrightnowexceeds $500,000.
Sowhatwe'reseeingis a marketthatisincreasinglyconstrainedintermsofopportunityforfirst-timehomebuyersandforhomebuyersseekingtotradeupinhousesbecauseofthemarketcompressionthatwe'reobserving, aswellasthetremendousamountofdemand.
Acrossthestate, asmuchas a quarteroffamiliesarenowcominginwith a substantialdownpayment, oftensupportedbyparents, lovedones, significantothersthatarenotnecessarilyco-borrowers.
Whenthemarket's thistight, anykindof a cashinfusioncanhelpyoutoaccess a home.
Andsothatpressureisincreasinglymakingitdifficultforfirst-timehomebuyerswhoaren't selling a houseandtakingthatnesteggtobuythenexthouse.
Overthree-quartersofGen Z homebuyershavereceivedhelpondownpayments.
Butthosewhoareinterestedinpurchasingalonecouldhave a hardertimequalifyingfor a mortgage.
Mortgagelenderslookatannualsalariestodeterminehowmuch a potentialclientcanaffordtoborrow.
ThiscouldpotentiallyaffectGen Z becausetheyaremostlikelyreceivingentry-levelsalaries, theyowe a substantialamountofdebtcomparedtotheirparentswhentheyarethesameage, andthey'regrapplingwiththehighcostoflivingfrominflation.
Gen Z homebuyershavecomparativelylowerincomescomparedtootherhomebuyersbecausetheyarejuststartingoutintheircareers.
Sothey'recompetingagainstGen X andmillennialhomebuyerswho'vebeeninthemarketplacelongerandwhowereclosedoutinthelastdecadefromhomepurchases.
Roughly 38% ofGenZersandmillennialsbelievetheyhave a hardertimebuildingfinancialwealththantheirparentsdidbecausetheyfeelleftbehindbytheeconomy, while 17% believetheyhaveiteasier.
Andinsomeways, Gen Z mayberight.
AlthoughGen Z isinfactmakingmoremoneythantheirparentsdidatthesameage, they'verackedupmoredebtthantheirparents.
An 18 to 24-year-oldin 2022 made $20,000 inwagesafteradjustingforinflation.
That's nearly $5,000 morethanwhat 18 to 24-year-oldsmadein 1992.
YetGen Z carriesmorestudentloansandmortgagedebtthantheirparents.
Theaverage 18 to 24-year-oldin 2022 held $117,000 inmortgagedebt, whilethesameagegroupin 1992 owed $39,367.
Forevery $10,000 thatyouseeanincreaseinsomeone's studentloans, thatbasicallyreducestheirabilitytopurchase a homeby 10 or 15%.
Gen Z homebuyershavecomparativelylowerincomescomparedtootherhomebuyersbecausetheyarejuststartingoutintheircareers.
Whenitcomestotheworkforce, jobsecurityis a majorobstacleforthisagegroup.
Andwhileyoungadultsaremorelikelytobeemployedfull-timethanyoungadultsthreedecadesago, those 18 to 24 onlysaw a 1% gainintheirshareoffull-timeworkerscomparedtothesameagegroupthatworkedfull-timein 1993.
Itwasn't easy.
I workedatleast 40 hours a weekduringcollegejusttomakeithappen.
ThesefinancialobstaclesareimpactingGen Z anddriving a wedgebetweentheirgoaltobehomeowners.
In 2023, aftermortgageratessoaredtoasmuchas 8%, thehomeownershiprateforadultGen Z-ersstagnated.
In 2023, thehomeownershiprateforadultGenZers, those 19 to 26 yearsold, washigherthanthehomeownershiprateforMillennialsandGen X whentheywere 24.
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