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Welcome, welcome to the Wee Robot Party.
歡迎,歡迎來到小機器人派對。
We have quite a show for you tonight, I think you're going to like it.
我們今晚為你準備了一場精彩的演出,我想你會喜歡的。
As you can see, I just arrived in the RoboTaxi, the CyberCab, and there's 20 more where that is.
如你所見,我剛坐上機器人計程車和網絡駕駛室,那裡還有 20 多輛。
So they've been traveling, they're all, there's no people in them, as you can see, the car's just going by with no people.
所以,他們一直在旅行,他們都沒有人在裡面,你可以看到,車只是經過,沒有人。
We have 50 fully autonomous cars here tonight, so you'll see Model Ys and the CyberCab all driverless.
今晚我們有 50 輛全自動駕駛汽車,所以你會看到 Model Y 和 CyberCab 都是無人駕駛的。
You'll be able to take a ride in the CyberCab, there's no steering wheel or pedals.
您可以乘坐 CyberCab,沒有方向盤或踏板。
So I hope this goes well, we'll find out.
所以我希望一切順利,到時候就知道了。
So, you see a lot of sci-fi movies where the future is dark, dismal, where it's not a future you want to be in.
是以,你會看到很多科幻電影中的未來都是黑暗的、令人沮喪的,這不是你想要的未來。
So, you know, like, I love Blade Runner, but I don't know if we want that future.
所以,你知道,我喜歡《銀翼殺手》,但我不知道我們是否想要那樣的未來。
I think we want that duster he's wearing, but not the bleak apocalypse.
我想我們要的是他穿的那件撣子,而不是淒涼的啟示錄。
We want to have a fun, exciting future that if you could look in a crystal ball and see the future, you'd be like, yes, I wish I could be there now.
我們希望有一個有趣的、令人興奮的未來,如果你能在水晶球裡看到未來,你會說,是的,我希望我現在就能在那裡。
That's what we want.
這就是我們想要的。
So when we think about transport today, there's a lot of pain that we take for granted that we think is normal.
是以,當我們思考今天的交通問題時,有很多我們認為理所當然的痛苦是正常的。
Like having to drive around LA in like three hours of traffic.
比如在洛杉磯開車要堵上三個小時。
Yeah, people that live in LA, I mean, try to get from Pasadena to El Segundo during rush hour, you can fly to another city faster than you can get to Crosstown, LA.
是啊,住在洛杉磯的人,我是說,試著在高峰時段從帕薩迪納到埃爾塞貢多,你飛到另一個城市的速度都比你到洛杉磯克羅斯鎮的速度快。
How many hours a week are cars used?
汽車每週使用多少小時?
Your average passenger car is only used about 10 hours a week out of 168 hours.
在 168 個小時中,普通乘用車每週只使用 10 個小時左右。
So the vast majority of the time, cars are just doing nothing.
是以,絕大多數時候,汽車只是在做無用功。
But if they're autonomous, they could be used, I don't know, five times more, maybe 10 times more.
但如果它們是自主的,那麼它們的使用率可能會提高五倍,甚至十倍。
So you could actually, for the same car, would have five times as much value, maybe 10 times as much value.
是以,同樣一輛車,你實際上可以擁有五倍甚至十倍的價值。
There's 168 hours in the week, and like I said, only 10 of them are used for driving.
一週有 168 個小時,就像我說的,只有 10 個小時用來開車。
So then a bunch of those hours are looking for a parking spot, which can be pretty annoying at times.
是以,這些時間都用來找停車位,有時會很煩人。
So with autonomy, you get your time back.
是以,有了自主權,你的時間就回來了。
This is a very big deal.
這是一件大事。
So it'll save lives, like a lot of lives, and prevent injuries.
是以,它能拯救很多人的生命,防止受傷。
I think we'll see autonomous cars become 10 times safer than a human.
我認為,我們將看到自動駕駛汽車變得比人類安全十倍。
And if you think of times past, where there used to be an elevator operator in every elevator.
回想過去,每部電梯裡都有一名電梯操作員。
But once in a while, they get tired, and accidentally show somebody in half.
但偶爾,他們也會感到疲憊,不小心把某個人秀成了兩半。
So now we have automated elevators.
所以,現在我們有了自動電梯。
You just get in an elevator, and you press a button.
你只需進入電梯,然後按下按鈕。
And you don't even think about it.
你甚至想都沒想過。
And it just takes you to the floor.
它就這樣把你帶到地板上。
And if you did see an elevator operator with a big relay switch, you'd be like, that's weird.
如果你真的看到一個電梯操作員拿著一個大繼電器開關,你會覺得很奇怪。
Now that's how cars will be.
這就是汽車的未來。
And it's not just the lives saved in injuries, but if you think about the cumulative time that people spend in a car, and the time that they will get back, that they can now spend, I guess, on their phones, or watching a movie, or doing work, or whatever you want to do.
這不僅僅是在受傷時挽救了生命,而且如果你想想人們在汽車上花費的時間,以及他們可以拿回的時間,我想,他們現在可以花在手機上,或看電影,或工作,或任何你想做的事情上。
You can think of the car in an autonomous world as being like, just a little lounge.
你可以把自動駕駛世界中的汽車想象成一個小休息室。
You're just sitting in a comfortable little lounge.
你只是坐在一個舒適的小休息室裡。
And you can do whatever you want, while you're in this comfortable little lounge.
在這個舒適的小休息室裡,你可以做任何想做的事。
And when you get out, you will be at your destination.
當你下車時,你將到達目的地。
So yeah, it's going to be awesome.
所以,是的,這會很棒。
So in fact, I think the cost of autonomous transport will be so low that you can think of it like individualized mass transit.
是以,事實上,我認為自主交通的成本將非常低,你可以把它想象成個性化的公共交通。
The average cost of a bus per mile for a city, not the ticket price, because that is subsidized, but the average price is about $1 a mile.
一個城市公車每英里的平均費用,不是票價,因為票價有補貼,但平均價格約為每英里 1 美元。
Whereas the cost of CyberCab, we think probably over time, the operating cost is probably going to be around $0.20 a mile.
而 CyberCab 的成本,我們認為隨著時間的推移,營運成本可能會在每英里 0.20 美元左右。
And price, including taxes and everything else, probably ends up being $0.30 or $0.40 a mile.
而價格,包括稅費和其他一切,最終可能是每英里 0.3 或 0.4 美元。
So, yes, and you will be able to buy one.
所以,是的,你將能買到一個。
Yes, exactly.
是的,沒錯。
And we expect the cost to be below $30,000.
我們預計成本將低於 3 萬美元。