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You know, when I was young I grew up watching Star Trek. I used to dream about tricorders,
replicators, these transporters, all these amazing advances we saw. I also imagined I
would be using communicators, that I’d have a replicator reproducing all the ice cream
and chocolate that I wanted. So I used to imagine a world of amazing things and we had
solved the problems of humanity and we were shooting for the stars, and we were exploring
new worlds. That's how I thought it would be when I grew up. Look at the world I grew
up into, poverty, hunger, despair, where we put each other down, where we're worried about
scarcity running out of resources. It's the exact opposite of what I thought we would
have when I grew up when I was young. So I, like the rest of the world, became pessimistic.
I mean two or three years ago I too was worried about shortages of energy, food, hunger, overpopulation,
the world coming apart because of all of the battles we're fighting.
If you read my writing right now I'm the greatest optimist there is. I talk about this being
the most innovative decade in human history when we'll solve the grand challenges of humanity.
I talk about the Star Trek future we're headed into. What changed over there? What changed
was that I started learning about the advances that are happening in technology. In hanging
out with people like Peter Diamandis and Ray Kurzweil at Singularity University, I started
learning about the fact that computing is moving exponentially and it's causing many
other fields to go exponential. We all know about Moore's Law and we've seen how computers
advance in capabilities. Indeed our smartphones are more powerful than the greatest supercomputers
of yesteryear.
The same advances are now happening in 3-D printing, in artificial intelligence, robotics,
synthetic biology, and in medicine. And what they're making possible is for us to solve
the grand challenges of humanity. I now believe that within the next ten to 20 to 30 years
we're going to have unlimited energy. Solar is advancing most predictably but there will
be many other technologies that become viable over the next five or ten years, which means
that in the 2025, 2030 timeframe we should be in an era of almost unlimited energy. We'll
have solar cells or other technologies, which generate energy locally, which lets us power
electric cars, which are clean. They let us now produce unlimited clean water. We can
grow unlimited food. We can 3-D print meat. So we're headed into an era where technology
is going to make it possible for us to get out of this shortage mode we've been in, as
well with lots of advances in healthcare.
We already now have sensory-based devices that we carry in our pockets, they're called
smartphones. They track where we go, when we sleep, they track our activity levels.
We'll also have wearable devices that monitor our internals and monitor our vital signs.
They'll all be connected to the cloud. We'll have AI based physicians, which monitor us
on a 24/7 basis and tell us when we're about to get sick. They'll advise us on how to eat
better, how to live healthier lifestyles. So we'll be living longer, we'll be living
a healthier, we'll be having an abundance of the basics we need. We'll be able to 3-D
print buildings. This is an era we're headed into. And when I finish giving my talks, people
start looking more closely at the things that are happening, reading up. And I had most
people coming to me later on weeks after they've heard my talk about advancing technologies
and say, you know Vivek, you really opened our eyes. It does indeed seem that the world
is headed in the right direction. There's all these amazing technology advances happening,
which are going to better mankind.
Now by the way, I've have also become really concerned about the dark side of technology.
For a while I was just thinking the world is going to be a wonderful place, it was all
good, you know, ra-ra-ra, ra-ra-ra. Now I've also started worrying about the fact that
we're creating a dark side it to all of this; that we could be creating killer viruses;
that with all this automation with 3-D printing and robotics we're headed into an era when
we won't need human beings doing manufacturing. With AI based physicians we won't need as
many doctors. We won't need supermarket clerks. We won't need people doing delivery. We won't
need truck drivers. We won't need taxi drivers. We're headed into a jobless future. It's almost
certain that automation now takes away more jobs than it creates. That's the way it's
always been. It's almost certain that we’ll have social unrest because large parts of
the population have become unemployed and they have nothing better to do. They are not
like the rest who want to now start learning new careers and doing things. It's almost
certain that laws and ethics can't keep pace with advancing technologies. The fact is we're
already having these battles in the Supreme Court. This case about Aereo broadcasting
TV signals went to the Supreme Court, and now we're watching Uber battle the taxi industry.
We have Airbnb battling the hotel industry. We're having these new technology companies
battling old-line industries. This is the beginning. We're going to see more and more
debates about what's right and what's wrong.
The laws can't keep up because laws are based on - laws are essentially codified ethics.
That we develop a consensus as a society about what's good and what's bad and then it becomes
what's right and what's wrong, and then it becomes what's legal and what's illegal. That's
the way the progression goes. On most of those technologies we haven't decided what's good
or bad. Is it good to have drones delivering our goods? Yeah it will be convenient if we
can get Starbucks delivered to our homes in the morning rather than having to drive down
to the coffee shop. But these drones also have high definition cameras in them. If they
happen to fly by your bathroom and you've got the window open, is it okay for them to
be photographing you? Is it okay now for these drones to be carrying weapons? What happens
if you had a swarm of drones now attacking buildings?
So, we haven't figured out what's legal, what's illegal, what's right or wrong, so we're going
to be having many debates about it. So you've got the optimistic Vivek Wadhwa who thinks
about the amazing world we're headed into, how everything is going to be wonderful and
we will solve the grand challenges of humanity. And then you've got this fellow at Stanford
Law School whose researching the ethics and legal issues of advancing technologies. And
this professor is really worried about the dark side of technology and the nightmares
that are being created by the people who are taking these technologies and using them for
bad. So it's a very interesting era we're headed into. The only thing that's certain
is that change will happen. The only thing that's certain is that technologies will advance.
The only thing that's certain is that we will have good and we will have bad. It's really
up to us to decide what we do with it and how we deal with these advances. We can make
the world, the Star Trek utopia we dreamed about, or we can make it a Mad Max madhouse
and be killing each other and destroy humanity. It's really up to us. So this is why I encourage
students to now start learning ethics and values and to focus on bettering the world
because it's really up to us what we do with it. We need more people now focused on the
betterment of humanity, on using technology for good versus evil so we can balance it
out. The bad will always be there, we just have to have more people doing good and uplifting
humanity. If we do that we can have this amazing utopian world that we watched on Star Trek
where we fix the problems of humanity, we're now going to new lands, to new galaxies exploring
new worlds and uplifting humanity and the rest of the universe as a whole.