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  • So, I think all good tornado talks

  • need to start with an awesome tornado shot.

  • And this is not that awesome tornado shot.

  • Alright, that was the first tornado I ever saw,

  • it was really cool, it was really scary,

  • and the reason I'm showing it to you guys

  • was because that's why I got into the field in the first place.

  • So, even though it's a bad photograph,

  • it was really cool to be out there the first time.

  • But now I'm taking real tornado footage.

  • Fast forward a few years here.

  • This is a few years ago

  • during a field project called VORTEX2,

  • where myself and a bunch of other scientists were out there

  • surrounding tornadoes with different types of instrumentation

  • and trying to figure out how tornadoes form.

  • So, it's a big question that we're trying to answer.

  • It sounds like a very basic one,

  • but it's something that we're still trying to figure out.

  • We're also still trying to figure out

  • what the winds are like near the surface.

  • We know what the winds are like above building level,

  • but we really don't know what the winds are like at the surface

  • and how that relates to what we're seeing above building level.

  • So, most tornadoes form from what we call supercell thunderstorms,

  • and these supercell thunderstorms

  • are what you commonly think of as tornado-raising storms.

  • They're big, rotating thunderstorms

  • that happen a lot of times in the midsection of the United States.

  • But the problem is that

  • even because they're rotating up above

  • doesn't mean they're rotating at the surface.

  • And when we look at these storms

  • and when we look at these pictures

  • and when we look at the data that we have

  • they all kind of look the same.

  • And it's really problematic

  • if we're trying to make tornado forecasts or tornado warnings

  • because we only want to warn on the storms

  • or forecast about the storms

  • that are going to actually make a tornado.

  • One of the big critical distinguishing features

  • that we think between these storms

  • is something about the rear flank downdraft.

  • So, these big rotating thunderstorms

  • have this downdraft that wraps around the rear edge of it,

  • hence the rear flanking downdraft.

  • But we think how warm that is,

  • how buoyant that air is,

  • and then also how strong the updraft

  • that's wrapping into

  • makes a big difference on whether or not

  • there's going to make a tornado or not.

  • And there's certainly a lot more that goes into it

  • and I'll tell you a little more about that in a second.

  • Once you actually get a tornado,

  • again, the problem that we have

  • is getting measurements near the surface.

  • It's really hard to get measurements near the surface

  • because most people don't want to drive into tornadoes.

  • There are a few exceptions,

  • and you might have seen them on TV shows.

  • But most people don't want to do that.

  • And even getting instrumentation in the path of the tornado is pretty tricky, too.

  • Because, again, you don't want to be that close to a tornado

  • because sometimes the winds around the tornado are strong, as well.

  • So, getting information, that critical location, is key for us.

  • Because, again, we don't know

  • if the winds that we're seeing above ground level,

  • way above building level,

  • actually map to the surface.

  • If they're stronger, if they're weaker,

  • or if they're about the same as what we're saying above buildings.

  • The way that we get at answering a lot of these questions,

  • and I'm an observationalist, so I love to get out in the field,

  • I love to collect data on tornadoes,

  • we compile a lot of observations.

  • And I work with this group who operates these mobile radars,

  • and they're exactly what they say they are:

  • they're basically a radar on the back of a big blue truck,

  • and we drive up really close to tornadoes

  • to map out the winds, we map out the precipitation,

  • we map out all these different things that are going on

  • in order to better understand the processes in these storms.

  • And that bottom there,

  • that's what a tornado looks like

  • when you're looking at it with a mobile radar

  • and when you're looking at it with a mobile radar really close.

  • Also, what we do is we do a lot of modeling,

  • so we do a lot of computer models and simulations

  • because the atmosphere is governed by the laws of physics,

  • so we can model the laws of physics

  • and see where the tornado might go,

  • where the storm might go,

  • how strong the winds are near the surface

  • and not actually have to go out in the field.

  • But, of course, we want to have both observations and modelling

  • to move forward with the science.

  • So, this is, I showed you that video earlier that went real quick, too.

  • This is what it looks like when you're looking at it with a radar.

  • So you saw it visually,

  • but this is what I get really excited about

  • when I see now in the field

  • is stuff that looks like this.

  • And the really exciting thing about looking at stuff like this

  • is that this storm,

  • we caught it from when it didn't make a tornado

  • to when it made a tornado

  • and it intensified

  • and when it dissipated.

  • So, this is the one of the really rare data sets

  • that we have out there

  • that we're able to study the entire life cycle of a tornado.

  • I talked about that rear-flying down draft,

  • how we think that rear flanking downdraft is important

  • because it tilts, there's a lot of spin in the atmosphere,

  • but the problem with all this spin in the atmosphere

  • is it needs to be oriented vertically

  • because that's what tornadoes are doing,

  • and it needs to orientated vertically near the ground.

  • So, we think this rear flanking downdraft, we think that it just pulses.

  • And these pulses in this rear flanking downdraft,

  • we think are very important

  • for converging that rotation

  • but also getting that rotation into the right place.

  • Other things that we've learned

  • is that we have gotten a bunch of fortuitous measurements

  • in the path of the tornadoes

  • and very near the surface.

  • And we found out that the winds near the surface

  • are actually pretty comparable

  • to what we're seeing 30, 40 meters above ground level.

  • So there's not a big reduction in what we're seeing above the surface

  • to what we're seeing at house level.

  • And that was a pretty surprising finding for us

  • because we kind of assumed that

  • the winds decreased pretty substantially near the surface.

  • So I'm going to end it with this real quick.

  • And this is not my last tornado I ever saw,

  • but I really like this image

  • because this was taken with one of those mobile radars I was talking about.

  • And this is a tornado, not a hurricane,

  • and this is what it looks like

  • when you're really close to it.

  • And I find this amazing,

  • that we can actually take technology,

  • take technology this close to these types of storms,

  • and see these inner workings.

  • And for those of you who look at tornado images often,

  • you can see there's a lot going on there.

  • There's rain spiraling, and you can actually see the debris cloud

  • associated with this tornado,

  • and I look forward to the future and future technologies

  • and being able to learn a lot more about these storms

  • as the world advances,

  • as you guys contribute to the science,

  • and we're able to really learn more about how tornadoes form.

  • Thank you!

So, I think all good tornado talks

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