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  • Why does the universe exist?

  • Why is thereOkay. Okay. (Laughter)

  • This is a cosmic mystery. Be solemn.

  • Why is there a world, why are we in it,

  • and why is there something rather than nothing at all?

  • I mean, this is the super ultimate "why" question?

  • So I'm going to talk about the mystery of existence,

  • the puzzle of existence,

  • where we are now in addressing it,

  • and why you should care,

  • and I hope you do care.

  • The philosopher Arthur Schopenhauer said that

  • those who don't wonder about the contingency of their existence,

  • of the contingency of the world's existence,

  • are mentally deficient.

  • That's a little harsh, but still. (Laughter)

  • So this has been called the most sublime

  • and awesome mystery,

  • the deepest and most far-reaching question

  • man can pose.

  • It's obsessed great thinkers.

  • Ludwig Wittgenstein, perhaps the greatest

  • philosopher of the 20th century,

  • was astonished that there should be a world at all.

  • He wrote in his "Tractatus," Proposition 4.66,

  • "It is not how things are in the world

  • that is the mystical,

  • it's that the world exists."

  • And if you don't like taking your epigrams

  • from a philosopher, try a scientist.

  • John Archibald Wheeler, one of the great physicists

  • of the 20th century,

  • the teacher of Richard Feynman,

  • the coiner of the term "black hole,"

  • he said, "I want to know

  • how come the quantum,

  • how come the universe, how come existence?"

  • And my friend Martin Amis

  • sorry that I'll be doing a lot of name-dropping in this talk,

  • so get used to it

  • my dear friend Martin Amis once said

  • that we're about five Einsteins away from answering

  • the mystery of where the universe came from.

  • And I've no doubt there are five Einsteins

  • in the audience tonight.

  • Any Einsteins? Show of hands? No? No? No?

  • No Einsteins? Okay.

  • So this question, why is there something rather than nothing,

  • this sublime question, was posed rather late

  • in intellectual history.

  • It was towards the end of the 17th century,

  • the philosopher Leibniz who asked it,

  • a very smart guy, Leibniz,

  • who invented the calculus

  • independently of Isaac Newton, at about the same time,

  • but for Leibniz, who asked why is there something rather than nothing,

  • this was not a great mystery.

  • He either was or pretended to be

  • an Orthodox Christian in his metaphysical outlook,

  • and he said it's obvious why the world exists:

  • because God created it.

  • And God created, indeed, out of nothing at all.

  • That's how powerful God is.

  • He doesn't need any preexisting materials to fashion a world out of.

  • He can make it out of sheer nothingness,

  • creation ex nihilo.

  • And by the way, this is what

  • most Americans today believe.

  • There is no mystery of existence for them.

  • God made it.

  • So let's put this in an equation.

  • I don't have any slides so I'm going to mime my visuals,

  • so use your imaginations.

  • So it's God + nothing = the world.

  • Okay? Now that's the equation.

  • And so maybe you don't believe in God.

  • Maybe you're a scientific atheist

  • or an unscientific atheist, and you don't believe in God,

  • and you're not happy with it.

  • By the way, even if we have this equation,

  • God + nothing = the world,

  • there's already a problem:

  • Why does God exist?

  • God doesn't exist by logic alone

  • unless you believe the ontological argument,

  • and I hope you don't, because it's not a good argument.

  • So it's conceivable, if God were to exist,

  • he might wonder, I'm eternal, I'm all-powerful,

  • but where did I come from?

  • (Laughter)

  • Whence then am I?

  • God speaks in a more formal English.

  • (Laughter)

  • And so one theory is that God was so bored with

  • pondering the puzzle of His own existence

  • that He created the world just to distract himself.

  • But anyway, let's forget about God.

  • Take God out of the equation: We have

  • ________ + nothing = the world.

  • Now, if you're a Buddhist,

  • you might want to stop right there,

  • because essentially what you've got is

  • nothing = the world,

  • and by symmetry of identity, that means

  • the world = nothing. Okay?

  • And to a Buddhist, the world is just a whole lot of nothing.

  • It's just a big cosmic vacuity.

  • And we think there's a lot of something out there

  • but that's because we're enslaved by our desires.

  • If we let our desires melt away,

  • we'll see the world for what it truly is,

  • a vacuity, nothingness,

  • and we'll slip into this happy state of nirvana

  • which has been defined as having

  • just enough life to enjoy being dead. (Laughter)

  • So that's the Buddhist thinking.

  • But I'm a Westerner, and I'm still concerned

  • with the puzzle of existence, so I've got

  • ________ + —

  • this is going to get serious in a minute, so

  • ________ + nothing = the world.

  • What are we going to put in that blank?

  • Well, how about science?

  • Science is our best guide to the nature of reality,

  • and the most fundamental science is physics.

  • That tells us what naked reality really is,

  • that reveals what I call TAUFOTU,

  • the True And Ultimate Furniture Of The Universe.

  • So maybe physics can fill this blank,

  • and indeed, since about the late 1960s or around 1970,

  • physicists have purported to give

  • a purely scientific explanation of how

  • a universe like ours could have popped into existence

  • out of sheer nothingness,

  • a quantum fluctuation out of the void.

  • Stephen Hawking is one of these physicists,

  • more recently Alex Vilenkin,

  • and the whole thing has been popularized

  • by another very fine physicist and friend of mine,

  • Lawrence Krauss, who wrote a book called

  • "A Universe from Nothing,"

  • and Lawrence thinks that he's given

  • he's a militant atheist, by the way,

  • so he's gotten God out of the picture.

  • The laws of quantum field theory,

  • the state-of-the-art physics, can show how

  • out of sheer nothingness,

  • no space, no time, no matter, nothing,

  • a little nugget of false vacuum

  • can fluctuate into existence,

  • and then, by the miracle of inflation,

  • blow up into this huge and variegated cosmos

  • we see around us.

  • Okay, this is a really ingenious scenario.

  • It's very speculative. It's fascinating.

  • But I've got a big problem with it,

  • and the problem is this:

  • It's a pseudo-religious point of view.

  • Now, Lawrence thinks he's an atheist,

  • but he's still in thrall to a religious worldview.

  • He sees physical laws as being like divine commands.

  • The laws of quantum field theory for him

  • are like fiat lux, "Let there be light."

  • The laws have some sort of ontological power or clout

  • that they can form the abyss,

  • that it's pregnant with being.

  • They can call a world into existence out of nothing.

  • But that's a very primitive view of what

  • a physical law is, right?

  • We know that physical laws are actually

  • generalized descriptions of patterns and regularities

  • in the world.

  • They don't exist outside the world.

  • They don't have any ontic cloud of their own.

  • They can't call a world into existence

  • out of nothingness.

  • That's a very primitive view

  • of what a scientific law is.

  • And if you don't believe me on this,

  • listen to Stephen Hawking,

  • who himself put forward a model of the cosmos

  • that was self-contained,

  • didn't require any outside cause, any creator,

  • and after proposing this,

  • Hawking admitted that he was still puzzled.

  • He said, this model is just equations.

  • What breathes fire into the equations

  • and creates a world for them to describe?

  • He was puzzled by this,

  • so equations themselves can't do the magic,

  • can't resolve the puzzle of existence.

  • And besides, even if the laws could do that,

  • why this set of laws?

  • Why quantum field theory that describes

  • a universe with a certain number of forces

  • and particles and so forth?

  • Why not a completely different set of laws?

  • There are many, many mathematically consistent sets of laws.

  • Why not no laws at all? Why not sheer nothingness?

  • So this is a problem, believe it or not,

  • that reflective physicists really think a lot about,

  • and at this point they tend to go metaphysical,

  • say, well, maybe the set of laws

  • that describes our universe,

  • it's just one set of laws

  • and it describes one part of reality,

  • but maybe every consistent set of laws

  • describes another part of reality,

  • and in fact all possible physical worlds

  • really exist, they're all out there.

  • We just see a little tiny part of reality

  • that's described by the laws of quantum field theory,

  • but there are many, many other worlds,

  • parts of reality that are described

  • by vastly different theories

  • that are different from ours in ways we can't imagine,

  • that are inconceivably exotic.

  • Steven Weinberg, the father

  • of the standard model of particle physics,

  • has actually flirted with this idea himself,

  • that all possible realities actually exist.

  • Also, a younger physicist, Max Tegmark,

  • who believes that all mathematical structures exist,

  • and mathematical existence is the same thing

  • as physical existence,

  • so we have this vastly rich multiverse

  • that encompasses every logical possibility.

  • Now, in taking this metaphysical way out,

  • these physicists and also philosophers are actually

  • reaching back to a very old idea

  • that goes back to Plato.

  • It's the principle of plenitude or fecundity,

  • or the great chain of being,

  • that reality is actually as full as possible.

  • It's as far removed from nothingness

  • as it could possibly be.

  • So we have these two extremes now.

  • We have sheer nothingness on one side,

  • and we have this vision of a reality

  • that encompasses every conceivable world

  • at the other extreme: the fullest possible reality,

  • nothingness, the simplest possible reality.

  • Now what's in between these two extremes?

  • There are all kinds of intermediate realities

  • that include some things and leave out others.

  • So one of these intermediate realities

  • is, say, the most mathematically elegant reality,

  • that leaves out the inelegant bits,

  • the ugly asymmetries and so forth.

  • Now, there are some physicists who will tell you

  • that we're actually living in the most elegant reality.

  • I think that Brian Greene is in the audience,

  • and he has written a book called "The Elegant Universe."

  • He claims that the universe we live in mathematically

  • is very elegant.

  • Don't believe him. (Laughter)

  • It's a pious hope, I wish it were true,

  • but I think the other day he admitted to me

  • it's really an ugly universe.

  • It's stupidly constructed,

  • it's got way too many arbitrary coupling constants

  • and mass ratios

  • and superfluous families of elementary particles,

  • and what the hell is dark energy?

  • It's a stick and bubble gum contraption.

  • It's not an elegant universe. (Laughter)

  • And then there's the best of all possible worlds

  • in an ethical sense.

  • You should get solemn now,

  • because a world in which sentient beings

  • don't suffer needlessly,

  • in which there aren't things like

  • childhood cancer or the Holocaust.

  • This is an ethical conception.

  • Anyway, so between nothingness

  • and the fullest possible reality,

  • various special realities.

  • Nothingness is special. It's the simplest.

  • Then there's the most elegant possible reality.

  • That's special.

  • The fullest possible reality, that's special.

  • But what are we leaving out here?

  • There's also just the crummy,

  • generic realities

  • that aren't special in any way,

  • that are sort of random.

  • They're infinitely removed from nothingness,

  • but they fall infinitely short of complete fullness.

  • They're a mixture of chaos and order,

  • of mathematical elegance and ugliness.

  • So I would describe these realities

  • as an infinite, mediocre, incomplete mess,

  • a generic reality, a kind of cosmic junk shot.

  • And these realities,

  • is there a deity in any of these realities?

  • Maybe, but the deity isn't perfect

  • like the Judeo-Christian deity.

  • The deity isn't all-good and all-powerful.

  • It might be instead 100 percent malevolent

  • but only 80 percent effective,

  • which pretty much describes the world we see around us, I think. (Laughter)

  • So I would like to propose that the resolution

  • to the mystery of existence

  • is that the reality we exist in

  • is one of these generic realities.

  • Reality has to turn out some way.

  • It can either turn out to be nothing

  • or everything or something in between.

  • So if it has some special feature,

  • like being really elegant or really full

  • or really simple, like nothingness,

  • that would require an explanation.

  • But if it's just one of these random, generic realities,

  • there's no further explanation for it.

  • And indeed, I would say

  • that's the reality we live in.

  • That's what science is telling us.

  • At the beginning of the week,

  • we got the exciting information that

  • the theory of inflation, which predicts a big,

  • infinite, messy, arbitrary, pointless reality,

  • it's like a big frothing champagne

  • coming out of a bottle endlessly,

  • a vast universe, mostly a wasteland

  • with little pockets of charm and order and peace,

  • this has been confirmed,

  • this inflationary scenario, by the observations

  • made by radio telescopes in Antarctica

  • that looked at the signature of the gravitational waves

  • from just before the Big Bang.

  • I'm sure you all know about this.

  • So anyway, I think there's some evidence

  • that this really is the reality that we're stuck with.

  • Now, why should you care?

  • Well — (Laughter) —

  • the question, "Why does the world exist?"

  • that's the cosmic question, it sort of rhymes

  • with a more intimate question:

  • Why do I exist? Why do you exist?

  • you know, our existence would seem to be amazingly improbable,

  • because there's an enormous number of genetically possible humans,

  • if you can compute it by looking at

  • the number of the genes and the number of alleles and so forth,

  • and a back-of-the-envelope calculation will tell you

  • there are about 10 to the 10,000th

  • possible humans, genetically.

  • That's between a googol and a googolplex.

  • And the number of the actual humans that have existed

  • is 100 billion, maybe 50 billion,

  • an infinitesimal fraction, so all of us,

  • we've won this amazing cosmic lottery.

  • We're here. Okay.

  • So what kind of reality do we want to live in?

  • Do we want to live in a special reality?

  • What if we were living in the most elegant possible reality?

  • Imagine the existential pressure on us

  • to live up to that, to be elegant,

  • not to pull down the tone of it.

  • Or, what if we were living in the fullest possible reality?

  • Well then our existence would be guaranteed,

  • because every possible thing

  • exists in that reality,

  • but our choices would be meaningless.

  • If I really struggle morally and agonize

  • and I decide to do the right thing,

  • what difference does it make,

  • because there are an infinite number

  • of versions of me

  • also doing the right thing

  • and an infinite number doing the wrong thing.

  • So my choices are meaningless.

  • So we don't want to live in that special reality.

  • And as for the special reality of nothingness,

  • we wouldn't be having this conversation.

  • So I think living in a generic reality that's mediocre,

  • there are nasty bits and nice bits

  • and we could make the nice bits bigger

  • and the nasty bits smaller

  • and that gives us a kind of purpose in life.

  • The universe is absurd,

  • but we can still construct a purpose,

  • and that's a pretty good one,

  • and the overall mediocrity of reality

  • kind of resonates nicely with the mediocrity

  • we all feel in the core of our being.

  • And I know you feel it.

  • I know you're all special,

  • but you're still kind of secretly mediocre,

  • don't you think?

  • (Laughter) (Applause)

  • So anyway, you may say, this puzzle, the mystery of existence,

  • it's just silly mystery-mongering.

  • You're not astonished at the existence of the universe

  • and you're in good company.

  • Bertrand Russell said,

  • "I should say the universe is just there, and that's all."

  • Just a brute fact.

  • And my professor at Columbia, Sidney Morgenbesser,

  • a great philosophical wag,

  • when I said to him, "Professor Morgenbesser,

  • why is there something rather than nothing?"

  • And he said, "Oh, even if there was nothing,

  • you still wouldn't be satisfied."

  • So — (Laughter) — okay.

  • So you're not astonished. I don't care.

  • But I will tell you something to conclude

  • that I guarantee you will astonish you,

  • because it's astonished all of the brilliant,

  • wonderful people I've met at this TED conference,

  • when I've told them, and it's this:

  • Never in my life have I had a cell phone.

  • Thank you.

  • (Laughter) (Applause)

Why does the universe exist?

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