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  • Hello and welcome, my name is Brian Caplen, editor of the Banker.

  • I'm here with Philip Alexander, the senior editor, and we're previewing the special edition of the Banker

  • for the IMF annual meetings, which are in Lima, Peru, in October.

  • And Philip, I mean, we've got all the usual things in the IMF edition,

  • we've got an interview with Christy McGrath, the managing director of the IMF and a whole range of viewpoints from finance, business.

  • But one of the interesting things we've also got is a Bank Safety Ranking,

  • and it's the first time we've ever done one. Why did the Banker decide to do a Bank Safety Ranking?

  • Well Brian, because every July we produce the Top 1000 World Banks Ranking,

  • but that's just ranked by size, essentially the size of the tier one capital.

  • As we know, that doesn't necessarily mean that the bank is safe, in fact, during the financial crisis,

  • some of the largest banks in the world were the ones that gone into trouble.

  • So what we've done is we've taken the 250 largest banks in the world, so the ones that are most significant in terms of financial stability,

  • and also have the most data available on them. And we've ranked them according to a series of indicators that we think reflect the safety of the bank.

  • Okay, I mean it's pretty complex business isn't it?

  • I mean, ranking bank safety. So what sorts of indicators have we used?

  • So we looked at the capital ratio, how well capitalized they are, but we've also looked at profitability, sustain, whether that sustained.

  • We've looked at asset quality, how many bad loans they have, we've looked at how they fund themselves.

  • Are they, more or less, dependent on wholesale funding, which as we know from the crisis, can dry up.

  • All of that information comes from the Banker database, we've also pulled in one set of numbers from beyond the Banker database,

  • which is, we wanted to look at the operating environment for the banks.

  • So obviously, even the best-run banks in the world, if you're operating in a conflict zone, things could go wrong.

  • So for that we've taken the Organization for Economic Cooperation Development, they have country risk classifications,

  • which are designed to tell you the risk of, really of its export credits to those countries, so it looks at that kind of things.

  • Okay, and which types of banks have come out well in this ranking?

  • First of all, some more specialized banks have done well because of the business model.

  • So for instance, we've got banks that are essentially asset managers with a banking license or custodian banks that look after client's assets.

  • So they don't have lending risks.

  • Exactly. In terms of universal banks, one bank in the United States noticeably came out very well which is Wells Fargo.

  • They've been profitable for quite a while, they've also got a much higher capital ratio than a lot of other big American banks.

  • In terms of regions, the region that really did quite well was the gulf state, and in particular Saudi Arabia.

  • A lot of Saudi banks came high up in the ranking. They've had good profitability, also they're very well capitalized.

  • Okay, alright. So this is the first time, are we gonna carry on doing it next year?

  • Absolutely, I mean from what we've seen it's an interesting ranking.

  • And also we think that there are some enhancements we can make; we learn as we go along.

  • We're hoping to get a bit more data, and in particular being able to stretch some of the data back over a long time period,

  • so we can tell the things like profitability and not just recent, but do they have a track record of maintaining that kind of profitability over time.

  • Okay, thank you very much, we look forward to the September issue of the Banker.

Hello and welcome, my name is Brian Caplen, editor of the Banker.

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