Subtitles section Play video
Welcome to the Investors Trading Academy economic calendar of the week. Each week our news analysts
review the upcoming economic events that you should be monitoring. Mario Draghi manipulated
the markets like a master after the ECB held rates and policy as expected. Draghi’s comments
sent the euro tumbling 200 points. On the heels of the ECB were surprising earning reports
in the US. Traders were expecting a round of gloomy data, but reports have been pretty
rosy. On Friday, an unexpected move from the People Bank of China sent equities and commodities
rallying. This week’s Federal Reserve meeting could be anti-climactic. Expectations are
low the Fed will provide any new policy insight in the coming week, and focus should stay
on economic reports and a flood of earnings, from Apple, big oil, drug makers and others.
In fact, strategists say more clarity on what the Fed might do should come from the employment
report the following week. Market expectations put a less than 5 percent chance on the Fed
raising rates at its two-day October meeting, and the odds are not even that high for the
Fed's December meeting. The ECB President signaled that more QE and
lower deposit rates could come as soon as December, sending EUR lower across the board.
Fed inaction has put the Bank of Japan in a tough spot. BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda
is expected to announce an increase to the bond buying program to boost growth as the
latest inflation data has disappointed. On Thursday Investors’ attention will turn
to the October BoJ meeting where economists expect another round of easing. If confirmed,
model simulations have shown that more QE should lift USD/JPY by more than 4%.
US data dominates the economic calendar in the coming week with the highlight being the
Federal Reserve meeting on Wednesday. And the week kicks off on Monday with data on
new home sales while the Dallas Federal Reserve manufacturing survey is released.
On Tuesday, the Case Shiller measure of home prices will be released with a gauge of consumer
confidence and figures on orders of durable (or long-lasting) goods with the latter also
serving as a proxy for business investment. Also surveys are released by the Richmond
and Dallas Federal Reserve districts. On Thursday the first estimates of economic
growth are expected for the September quarter with economists tipping annualized growth
rate of 1.7 per cent -- a result that gives the Fed more ammunition to justify the low
rate environment. Also on Thursday is the release of weekly
data on claims for unemployment insurance and pending home sales. And on Friday, data
on personal income and spending is issued with the final reading of the consumer sentiment
index for October from the University of Michigan.