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  • We invent.

  • My company invents

  • all kinds of new technology

  • in lots of different areas.

  • And we do that for a couple of reasons.

  • We invent for fun --

  • invention is a lot of fun to do --

  • and we also invent for profit.

  • The two are related because

  • the profit actually takes long enough that if it isn't fun,

  • you wouldn't have the time to do it.

  • So we do this

  • fun and profit-oriented inventing

  • for most of what we do,

  • but we also have a program where we invent for humanity --

  • where we take some of our best inventors,

  • and we say, "Are there problems

  • where we have a good idea for solving a problem the world has?" --

  • and to solve it in the way we try to solve problems,

  • which is with dramatic, crazy,

  • out-of-the-box solutions.

  • Bill Gates is one of those smartest guys of ours

  • that work on these problems

  • and he also funds this work, so thank you.

  • So I'm going to briefly discuss

  • a couple of problems that we have

  • and a couple of problems where

  • we've got some solutions underway.

  • Vaccination is one of the

  • key techniques in public health,

  • a fantastic thing.

  • But in the developing world a lot of vaccines

  • spoil before they're administered,

  • and that's because they need to be kept cold.

  • Almost all vaccines need to be kept at refrigerator temperatures.

  • They go bad very quickly if you don't,

  • and if you don't have stable power grid, this doesn't happen,

  • so kids die.

  • It's not just the loss of the vaccine that matters;

  • it's the fact that those kids don't get vaccinated.

  • This is one of the ways that

  • vaccines are carried:

  • These are Styrofoam chests. These are being carried by people,

  • but they're also put on the backs of pickup trucks.

  • We've got a different solution.

  • Now, one of these Styrofoam chests

  • will last for about four hours with ice in it.

  • And we thought, well, that's not really good enough.

  • So we made this thing.

  • This lasts six months with no power;

  • absolutely zero power,

  • because it loses less

  • than a half a watt.

  • Now, this is our second generations prototype.

  • The third generation prototype is, right now,

  • in Uganda being tested.

  • Now, the reason we were able to come up with this

  • is two key ideas:

  • One is that this is similar to a cryogenic Dewar,

  • something you'd keep liquid nitrogen or liquid helium in.

  • They have incredible insulation,

  • so let's put some incredible insulation here.

  • The other idea is kind of interesting,

  • which is, you can't reach inside anymore.

  • Because if you open it up and reach inside,

  • you'd let the heat in, the game would be over.

  • So the inside of this thing actually looks like a Coke machine.

  • It vends out little individual vials.

  • So a simple idea,

  • which we hope is going to change the way vaccines are distributed

  • in Africa and around the world.

  • We'll move on to malaria.

  • Malaria is one of the great public health problems.

  • Esther Duflo talked a little bit about this.

  • Two hundred million people a year.

  • Every 43 seconds a child in Africa dies;

  • 27 will die during my talk.

  • And there's no way for us here in this country

  • to grasp really what that means to the people involved.

  • Another comment of Esther's

  • was that we react when there's

  • a tragedy like Haiti,

  • but that tragedy is ongoing.

  • So what can we do about it?

  • Well, there are a lot of things people have tried

  • for many years for solving malaria.

  • You can spray; the problem is there are environmental issues.

  • You can try to treat people and create awareness.

  • That's great, except the places that have malaria really bad,

  • they don't have health care systems.

  • A vaccine would be a terrific thing,

  • only they don't work yet.

  • People have tried for a long time. There are a couple of interesting candidates.

  • It's a very difficult thing to make a vaccine for.

  • You can distribute bed nets,

  • and bed nets are very effective if you use them.

  • You don't always use them for that. People fish with them.

  • They don't always get to everyone.

  • And bed nets

  • have an effect on the epidemic,

  • but you're never going to make it extinct with bed nets.

  • Now, malaria is

  • an incredibly complicated disease.

  • We could spend hours going over this.

  • It's got this sort of soap opera-like lifestyle;

  • they have sex, they burrow into your liver,

  • they tunnel into your blood cells ...

  • it's an incredibly complicated disease,

  • but that's actually one of the things we find interesting about it

  • and why we work on malaria:

  • There's a lot of potential ways in.

  • One of those ways might be better diagnosis.

  • So we hope this year

  • to prototype each of these devices.

  • One does an automatic malaria diagnosis

  • in the same way that a diabetic's glucose meter works:

  • You take a drop of blood,

  • you put it in there and it automatically tells you.

  • Today, you need to do a complicated laboratory procedure,

  • create a bunch of microscope slides

  • and have a trained person examine it.

  • The other thing is, you know,

  • it would be even better if you didn't have to draw the blood.

  • And if you look through the eye,

  • or you look at the vessels on the white of the eye,

  • in fact, you may be able to do this

  • directly, without drawing any blood at all,

  • or through your nail beds.

  • Because if you actually look through your fingernails, you can see blood vessels,

  • and once you see blood vessels, we think we can see the malaria.

  • We can see it because of this molecule

  • called hemozoin.

  • It's produced by the malaria parasite

  • and it's a very interesting crystalline substance.

  • Interesting, anyway, if you're a solid-state physicist.

  • There's a lot of cool stuff we can do with it.

  • This is our femtosecond laser lab.

  • So this creates pulses of light

  • that last a femtosecond.

  • That's really, really, really short.

  • This is a pulse of light that's

  • only about one wavelength of light long,

  • so it's a whole bunch of photons

  • all coming and hitting simultaneously.

  • It creates a very high peak power

  • and it lets you do all kinds of interesting things;

  • in particular, it lets you find hemozoin.

  • So here's an image of red blood cells,

  • and now we can actually map

  • where the hemozoin and where the malaria parasites are

  • inside those red blood cells.

  • And using both this technique

  • and other optical techniques,

  • we think we can make those diagnostics.

  • We also have another hemozoin-oriented

  • therapy for malaria:

  • a way, in acute cases, to actually

  • take the malaria parasite and filter it out of the blood system.

  • Sort of like doing dialysis,

  • but for relieving the parasite load.

  • This is our thousand-core supercomputer.

  • We're kind of software guys,

  • and so nearly any problem that you pose,

  • we like to try to solve with some software.

  • One of the problems that you have if you're trying to eradicate malaria

  • or reduce it

  • is you don't know what's the most effective thing to do.

  • Okay, we heard about bed nets earlier.

  • You spend a certain amount per bed net.

  • Or you could spray.

  • You can give drug administration.

  • There's all these different interventions

  • but they have different kinds of effectiveness.

  • How can you tell?

  • So we've created, using our supercomputer,

  • the world's best computer model of malaria,

  • which we'll show you now.

  • We picked Madagascar.

  • We have every road,

  • every village,

  • every, almost, square inch of Madagascar.

  • We have all of the precipitation data

  • and the temperature data.

  • That's very important because the humidity and precipitation

  • tell you whether you've got

  • standing pools of water for the mosquitoes to breed.

  • So that sets the stage on which you do this.

  • You then have to introduce the mosquitoes,

  • and you have to model that

  • and how they come and go.

  • Ultimately, it gives you this.

  • This is malaria spreading

  • across Madagascar.

  • And this is this latter part of the rainy season.

  • We're going to the dry season now.

  • It nearly goes away in the dry season,

  • because there's no place for the mosquitoes to breed.

  • And then, of course, the next year it comes roaring back.

  • By doing these kinds of simulations,

  • we want to eradicate or control malaria

  • thousands of times in software

  • before we actually have to do it in real life;

  • to be able to simulate both the economic trade-offs --

  • how many bed nets versus how much spraying? --

  • or the social trade-offs --

  • what happens if unrest breaks out?

  • We also try to study our foe.

  • This is a high-speed camera view

  • of a mosquito.

  • And, in a moment,

  • we're going to see a view of the airflow.

  • Here, we're trying to visualize the airflow

  • around the wings of the mosquito

  • with little particles we're illuminating with a laser.

  • By understanding how mosquitoes fly,

  • we hope to understand how to make them not fly.

  • Now, one of the ways you can make them not fly

  • is with DDT.

  • This is a real ad.

  • This is one of those things you just can't make up.

  • Once upon a time, this was the primary technique,

  • and, in fact, many countries got rid of malaria through DDT.

  • The United States did.

  • In 1935, there were 150,000 cases a year

  • of malaria in the United States,

  • but DDT and a massive public health effort

  • managed to squelch it.

  • So we thought,

  • "Well, we've done all these things that are focused on the Plasmodium,

  • the parasite involved.

  • What can we do to the mosquito?

  • Well, let's try to kill it with consumer electronics."

  • Now, that sounds silly,

  • but each of these devices

  • has something interesting in it that maybe you could use.

  • Your Blu-ray player has

  • a very cheap blue laser.

  • Your laser printer has a mirror galvanometer

  • that's used to steer a laser beam very accurately;

  • that's what makes those little dots on the page.

  • And, of course, there's signal processing

  • and digital cameras.

  • So what if we could put all that together

  • to shoot them out of the sky with lasers?

  • (Laughter)

  • (Applause)

  • Now, in our company, this is what we call

  • "the pinky-suck moment."

  • (Laughter)

  • What if we could do that?

  • Now, just suspend disbelief for a moment,

  • and let's think of what could happen

  • if we could do that.

  • Well, we could protect very high-value targets like clinics.

  • Clinics are full of people that have malaria.

  • They're sick, and so they're less able to defend themselves from the mosquitoes.

  • You really want to protect them.

  • Of course, if you do that,

  • you could also protect your backyard.

  • And farmers could protect their crops

  • that they want to sell to Whole Foods

  • because our photons

  • are 100 percent organic. (Laughter)

  • They're completely natural.

  • Now, it actually gets better than this.

  • You could, if you're really smart,

  • you could shine a nonlethal laser on the bug

  • before you zap it,

  • and you could listen to the wing beat frequency

  • and you could measure the size.

  • And then you could decide:

  • "Is this an insect I want to kill,

  • or an insect I don't want to kill?"

  • Moore's law made computing cheap;

  • so cheap we can weigh

  • the life of an individual insect

  • and decide thumbs up

  • or thumbs down. (Laughter)

  • Now, it turns out we only kill the female mosquitoes.

  • They're the only ones that are dangerous.

  • Mosquitoes only drink blood

  • to lay eggs.

  • Mosquitoes actually live ... their day-to-day nutrition

  • comes from nectar, from flowers --

  • in fact, in the lab, we feed ours raisins --

  • but the female needs the blood meal.

  • So, this sounds really crazy, right?

  • Would you like to see it?

  • Audience: Yeah!

  • Nathan Myhrvold: Okay, so our legal department prepared a disclaimer,

  • and here it is.

  • (Laughter)

  • Now, after thinking about this a little bit

  • we thought, you know, it probably would be simpler

  • to do this with a nonlethal laser.

  • So, Eric Johanson, who built the device,

  • actually, with parts from eBay;

  • and Pablos Holman over here,

  • he's got mosquitoes in the tank.

  • We have the device over here.

  • And we're going to show you,

  • instead of the kill laser,

  • which will be a very brief, instantaneous pulse,

  • we're going to have a green laser pointer

  • that's going to stay on the mosquito for, actually, quite a long period of time;

  • otherwise, you can't see it very well.

  • Take it away Eric.

  • Eric Johanson: What we have here

  • is a tank on the other side of the stage.

  • And we have ... this computer screen

  • can actually see the mosquitoes as they fly around.

  • And Pablos, if he stirs up our mosquitoes a little bit

  • we can see them flying around.

  • Now, that's a fairly straightforward image processing routine,

  • and let me show you how it works.

  • Here you can see that the insects are being tracked

  • as they're flying around,

  • which is kind of fun.

  • Next we can actually light them up with a laser. (Laughter)

  • Now, this is a low powered laser,

  • and we can actually pick up a wing-beat frequency.

  • So you may be able to hear some mosquitoes flying around.

  • NM: That's a mosquito wing beat you're hearing.

  • EJ: Finally, let's see what this looks like.

  • There you can see mosquitoes as they fly around, being lit up.

  • This is slowed way down

  • so that you have an opportunity to see what's happening.

  • Here we have it running at high-speed mode.

  • So this system that was built for TED is here to illustrate

  • that it is technically possible to actually deploy a system like this,

  • and we're looking very hard at how to make it

  • highly cost-effective to use in places like Africa and other parts of the world.

  • (Applause)

  • NM: So it wouldn't be any fun to show you that

  • without showing you what actually happens when we hit 'em.

  • (Laughter)

  • (Laughter)

  • This is very satisfying.

  • (Laughter)

  • This is one of the first ones we did.

  • The energy's a little bit high here.

  • (Laughter)

  • We'll loop around here in just a second, and you'll see another one.

  • Here's another one. Bang.

  • An interesting thing is, we kill them all the time;

  • we've never actually gotten the wings to shut off in midair.

  • The wing motor is very resilient.

  • I mean, here we're blowing wings off

  • but the wing motor keeps all the way down.

  • So, that's what I have. Thanks very much.

  • (Applause)

We invent.

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