finally happened and yeah so I figure I'll give my two cents since this is

the only place you're likely to hear analysis such as what mine will be.

Because The Young Turks and the like will say, "Hillary WON! We have to

vote against this racist orange whoopee cushion!!! AWESOME." And Alex Jones and his

ilk, of course they probably said already that Trump won. "Trump. Trump was the clear

winner. And a globalist elite!" And I'm going to try to keep this under 20 minutes

because I don't really want to ramble on too long I just wanna hit some points

that I thought were important reasons why I think the debate more or less

ended in a tie.

Although if I had to call it one way I guess 51 to 49 Trump. And I'll lay out

why Trump may have just barely edged Hillary out by hair. As expected all the

major media outlets called it a 'win' for Hillary and as expected Trump won all

the online polls. So first things first,

much of what you see online is going to be skewed be aware of

that. If you look at CNN's poll, Hillary won. And most of the media is using that

one poll that one selective poll, and they do this with everything.

So anytime...

So if Real Clear Politics which is an aggregate, so if the aggregate poll shows

Trump in the lead, what the media will do is they'll

focus in on that one poll that shows Hillary in the lead [an oulier poll] and so that's the

way that they skew the polls for those who are not aware. Now if you look at

Drudge Report which tends to be Republican heavy it'll say Trump won but

if you look at large cross sections of polls adjusted for bias you can

extrapolate a clearer picture of public opinion.

Ultimately it doesn't matter if every pundit and TV analyst thinks Hillary

won. If the primaries have taught us anything it's that it's never as

clear-cut for voters as CNN believes it is. And winning or losing the debate may

not necessarily translate to gaining independent or

undecided votes. Although Bernie won, if you look back at the primary

race; although Bernie won every online poll as well. Hillary always

ended up with more total votes though again one should be mindful of some of

the details that came out in the DNC leaks details to derail Bernie which you

were uncovered. Also rumors of voter fraud that were widely reported on by

local news affiliates during that time. Of course all of this stuff happened at

the local level, so nationally no one heard about it. What I would also happen

to point out is that the debate was somewhat stacked against Trump going in.

That was kind of evident in the amount of negative questions from the

moderator Lester Holt to Trump such as: tax returns,

endorsement of the Iraq war, stop-and-frisk, the birther issue, and

also I found this one to be the oddest question,

they kind of tied this together, "how do you feel about the first

woman president?" Or the idea of the first female president. And

also his history of respect or disrespect of women and does he accept

Hillary, would he accept Hillary as the first female president. He said he

would.

Which I guess he didn't want to make a big issue out of it. So as for Hillary, and

if you watched the debates, you know she didn't get any direct negative questions from

Lester himself, but in all fairness he did follow up on negative

questions that were brought up by Trump. But Trump had to bring them up!

Like the email scandal and so forth. He didn't try to skim over it as I

thought would have happened. I thought that was what would happen actually, that

no one would bring it up at all and if Trump tried to bring it up they would

gloss over it if they could. But they didn't and one reason why they may

not have glossed over some of the points that Trump made up is

because Hilary did do a lot of prep work and you know her camp must

have known what would he would attack with. There's only so many things that

they were going to go at each other with. As I kind of

predicted it was the same old same old.

Otherwise, I thought Lester did a fair job moderating. Yeah

maybe he could have actually done a bit more moderating but it was probably

better to let them just go at each other freely rather than micromanage

everything. Let them run their mouths.

Maybe one of them will put their foot in it. Personally I

don't think that either one of them said anything extremely stupid not stupid

enough to tie their own noose and hang their campaign with. Maybe next

debate will get a no campaign ending comment or you know,

October is coming up. The next debate is October 9th so.. That WikiLeaks leak is

going to drop and if it's a doozy you know Trump's going to use it.

I was actually surprised that Trump came out with both arms swinging right

out of the gate. He came out with both arms swinging. At first he said, "Secretary

Clinton is that ok? Secretary Clinton how's that? I'm going to be respectful."

And then BOOM! I mean he just went H.A.A.M. I expected that he was

going to play a lot cooler at least for the first 15 minutes or so. I, as

a sort of unbiased observer, I did feel that he came off a bit unhinged at times.

Which is one of his biggest criticisms. And a point that many of the

fear mongers within the media who are on Clinton's side like to drive

home to the undecideds out there. All you have to do is just look at anything

written by Salon or Vox or any kind of online publication like that. I think the

CNN's. ..maybe you might see a little bit of that from MSNBC but

kind of the more traditional legacy media news outlets, they they tend

to be a bit more classy. But he really should have played it a lot

cooler. I would score that against Trump as an independent. As someone who's

registered independent. Someone who's really not invested in any of these

candidates. Or 'either' of these candidates because you know obviously the the

debate committee only wants a Republican and a Democrat onstage

unfortunately. Surprisingly I think a lot of people on

both sides, in Hillary Clinton's corner and in Trump's corner, they kind of

painted Jill Stein as being "a crazy person" finger quotes "crazy." She's crazy,

she's a fringe candidate, you know she doesn't really have anything to contribute. But

it's actually surprising, if you follow her on social media,

she often times hits Clinton harder than Trump does. Like MUCH

harder.

And she's very intimately acquainted with the details

of Hillary Clinton's career. Trump could borrow a couple of tactics

out of her play book. Anyway I'm getting way off way off topic.

Yeah so, he should have chilled the fuck out. But he didn't. He should have

attempted to come off a little bit more "unruffle-able" because he's

known for being a hothead. And some might call it 'passionate.' Some of the

independents or

undecideds out there they might also see it as being 'passionate' they may not see

it as being hot-headed. Or you know 'hair trigger' which, I kind of saw it

that way. As far as his hotheadedness, one of the

things that he managed to do, and I think he did this successfully, though I could be

wrong, but it seems like he put it to rest. He did squash much of the nuclear

talk, which as I said the fear mongers in the media try to sort of paint him as

unreliable. Like, "is just the guy you want with the nuclear codes? No!" But he

did come out and say, "no I promise I'm not going to initiate

a nuclear strike" and in fact, he emphasized that nuclear proliferation is

the biggest threat to the planet which he could have stopped there. And he

probably should have stopped there. I think his point would have been well

made. But then he went on to say it was a bigger threat than climate change.

Like dude...

For some of the people who are on the fence he

shouldn't invoke anything, this is kind of a right-wing talking point, he really

shouldn't have brought up anything superfluous. Anything

unnecessary. He shouldn't have done that. He's kind of throwing that out there to

his to his own base who he's already won.

He's already got his own base on lockdown so if you can

avoid the topic of climate change regardless of what his personal feelings

are, and I have a feeling that he's either ambivalent or he does really

realize the importance of climate change but he's

not going to say so in order not to rock the boat with his Republican base.

Yeah so anyway,

funny enough he deleted his famous Tweet claiming that climate change is a

hoax invented by the Chinese.

To gain an edge in global business and trade which is really funny.

He doubles down on everything else so he should have just left it be.

Or maybe he shouldn't have mentioned it at all. Which again,

this kind of goes to,

'did he do homework for the debate?' I mean somebody in his in his corner must have

realized, he's got to have coaches. Or maybe they did coach and

say, 'listen, if she brings this up this is what you should say' but he

just went off the rails and that's typical Trump. Now conversely, in all

fairness to Hillary Clinton because I know there's many Trump supporters who

are subscribed to me now and I'm going to say that your opinion in this case,

(this is going to piss people off) doesn't really matter much. And I'm

sure a lot of people right now are going, "oh? Who are YOU to say

my opinion doesn't matter buddy!?!?! SCREW YOU!" *Unsubscribe* And of course

that's not exactly what I mean by that.

So I shall explain; what I mean to say is, that if you're already in the bag for

Trump you're going to vote Trump nothing Hillary Clinton can say will sway you

from not voting for Trump. And conversely, if you're already a Hillary fan, you know

whoever is a Hillary fan

that's out there. That exists. If they exist at all, they're are a rare breed like

chupacabras. So if you're in the bag for Hillary,

you're not likely to be swayed by anything that Donald Trump says. If it

were possible, it would have been done a long time ago on either side. If

either or could sway. So when they get up onstage they're not

trying to change each other's minds. They're not really trying to change the

minds of the fans. Right now they're at a 50/50 dead heat so what

they're trying to do is, the people who are independents as I keep stressing and

the undecided voters and also you know whatever first-time voters who are

looking at this thinking, 'should I stay home that day or is this important?'

Which one is going to convince me? Those are the people

who matter.

So what it comes down to is the independent voters and the undecideds.

A lot of people don't seem to realize that. A lot of people who are personally

invested in the political hullabaloo. It's not about the

partisans at all. Partisans are easy to account for because we know how they're

going to vote.

That's that's why I say, "don't take them into, I don't

take them into consideration." That's why I say, "your opinion doesn't matter." To any

Hillary fans who are out there listening, which I'm sure it's like ONE. And any

Trump supporters who are listening, which I'm sure, probably judging

by the amount of subscribers I've recently gained there is probably a handful in

there. So that's why I put the emphasis on independent voters. Which I've said

many many times, they make up 42% of eligible voters

currently in the United States. That's important. And I hate to have to keep

hammering the same points over and over again, sounding like a broken record but..

Also politics is not about getting things done.

That's not important. So what do I mean by that? I mean that

politics is all the fucking shit show.

If you don't know that by now you'd better open your eyes and take a look

around.

It's about how you present yourself. It's about sweet-talk. It's about convincing

people that you're the best choice. "How to get elected." If Trump thinks that

Hillary Clinton is the best choice, do you think he's gonna concede? NO!

And vice versa, if Hillary Clinton was like, 'yeah you know what

I think Donald Trump makes some fair points.' Or Gary Johnson or

Jill Stein. Do you think if... Actually, let's say for example everybody was

allowed to debate fairly; all four major candidates and YES they are major

candidates, the Green Party and the Libertarian party. With their poll

numbers they are certainly contenders. And so let's say they're all

on stage and I don't know for sake of argument we'll say that Gary Johnson is

making the most sense or actually for sake of argument that Jill Stein is making

the most sense because she's got the lowest poll numbers. So she's got the

lowest poll numbers but she's up on stage and now

she's got a national platform here so she can get her message out and everybody

onstage goes, "oh you know what?" Actually if you have Trump thinking in his mind like, "you

know what? Maybe this chick has the best policy?

Perhaps I should concede?" NO! None of them are going to do that! None of them