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  • A toothpaste brand claims their product will destroy more plaque

  • than any product ever made.

  • A politician tells you their plan will create the most jobs.

  • We're so used to hearing these kinds of exaggerations

  • in advertising and politics

  • that we might not even bat an eye.

  • But what about when the claim is accompanied by a graph?

  • Afterall, a graph isn't an opinion.

  • It represents cold, hard numbers, and who can argue with those?

  • Yet, as it turns out, there are plenty of ways graphs can mislead

  • and outright manipulate.

  • Here are some things to look out for.

  • In this 1992 ad, Chevy claimed to make the most reliable trucks in America

  • using this graph.

  • Not only does it show that 98% of all Chevy trucks sold in the last ten years

  • are still on the road,

  • but it looks like they're twice as dependable as Toyota trucks.

  • That is, until you take a closer look at the numbers on the left

  • and see that the figure for Toyota is about 96.5%.

  • The scale only goes between 95 and 100%.

  • If it went from 0 to 100, it would look like this.

  • This is one of the most common ways graphs misrepresent data,

  • by distorting the scale.

  • Zooming in on a small portion of the y-axis

  • exaggerates a barely detectable difference between the things being compared.

  • And it's especially misleading with bar graphs

  • since we assume the difference in the size of the bars

  • is proportional to the values.

  • But the scale can also be distorted along the x-axis,

  • usually in line graphs showing something changing over time.

  • This chart showing the rise in American unemployment from 2008 to 2010

  • manipulates the x-axis in two ways.

  • First of all, the scale is inconsistent,

  • compressing the 15-month span after March 2009

  • to look shorter than the preceding six months.

  • Using more consistent data points gives a different picture

  • with job losses tapering off by the end of 2009.

  • And if you wonder why they were increasing in the first place,

  • the timeline starts immediately after the U.S.'s biggest financial collapse

  • since the Great Depression.

  • These techniques are known as cherry picking.

  • A time range can be carefully chosen to exclude the impact of a major event

  • right outside it.

  • And picking specific data points can hide important changes in between.

  • Even when there's nothing wrong with the graph itself,

  • leaving out relevant data can give a misleading impression.

  • This chart of how many people watch the Super Bowl each year

  • makes it look like the event's popularity is exploding.

  • But it's not accounting for population growth.

  • The ratings have actually held steady

  • because while the number of football fans has increased,

  • their share of overall viewership has not.

  • Finally, a graph can't tell you much

  • if you don't know the full significance of what's being presented.

  • Both of the following graphs use the same ocean temperature data

  • from the National Centers for Environmental Information.

  • So why do they seem to give opposite impressions?

  • The first graph plots the average annual ocean temperature

  • from 1880 to 2016,

  • making the change look insignificant.

  • But in fact, a rise of even half a degree Celsius

  • can cause massive ecological disruption.

  • This is why the second graph,

  • which show the average temperature variation each year,

  • is far more significant.

  • When they're used well, graphs can help us intuitively grasp complex data.

  • But as visual software has enabled more usage of graphs throughout all media,

  • it's also made them easier to use in a careless or dishonest way.

  • So the next time you see a graph, don't be swayed by the lines and curves.

  • Look at the labels,

  • the numbers,

  • the scale,

  • and the context,

  • and ask what story the picture is trying to tell.

A toothpaste brand claims their product will destroy more plaque

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