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  • You see this little gadget?

  • Let's call it an "iEverything."

  • You can't get it yet,

  • but if technology keeps moving as fast as it is now,

  • the iEverything will be with us before you know it;

  • a combination of intelligent computing,

  • 3D manufacturing,

  • big data crunching,

  • and advanced biotechnology.

  • This little machine will be able

  • to do everything you want

  • and give you everything you need.

  • There's only one hitch.

  • As the economy is now organized,

  • no one will be able to buy it

  • because there won't be any paying jobs left.

  • You see, the iEverything will do...

  • everything.

  • I'm exaggerating a bit

  • in order to make a point about

  • the trend we're already seeing.

  • Even now, we're producing more and more

  • with fewer and fewer people.

  • Internet sales are on the way

  • to replacing millions of retail workers.

  • Diagnostic apps will be replacing

  • hundreds of thousands of healthcare workers.

  • Self-driving cars and trucks

  • will replace five million drivers.

  • *digital voice* Where would you like to go?

  • Researchers estimate that almost half

  • of all U.S. jobs are at risk

  • of being automated in the next two decades.

  • Now, this isn't necessarily bad.

  • The economy we're heading toward

  • could offer millions of people more free time

  • to do what they want

  • instead of what they have to do to earn a living.

  • But, to make this work,

  • we'll have to figure out some way to recirculate the money

  • from the relatively few people

  • who do very well in the economy of the iEverything

  • to the rest of us, who will want to buy

  • the iEverythings.

  • One possible answer:

  • a universal basic income,

  • possibly financed out of

  • the profits going to labor-replacing innovations.

  • The idea of a universal basic income historically

  • has had support from people on both the left

  • and the right.

  • In the 1970's, President Nixon

  • proposed a similar concept for the United States,

  • and it even passed the House of Representatives.

  • *President Nixon* I therefore propose

  • that we abolish the present welfare system,

  • and a basic federal minimum would be provided.

  • The idea is getting some traction again.

  • Some think it could be superior to welfare

  • or other kinds of public assistance,

  • because a universal basic income doesn't

  • tell people what to spend the assistance on.

  • And everyone qualifies.

  • In recent years, evidence has shown that

  • giving people cash

  • as a way to address poverty

  • actually works.

  • In study after study, people

  • don't stop working, and they don't drink it away,

  • they actually use it

  • to increase their earnings.

  • Interest in a basic income is surging,

  • with governments debating it from Finland,

  • to Canada,

  • to Namibia.

  • The charity Give Directly

  • is about to launch a basic income pilot in Kenya.

  • Providing an income for more than ten years

  • to some of the poorest and most vulnerable families

  • on the planet, and then

  • rigorously evaluate the results.

  • As new technologies replace work,

  • the question for the future is

  • how best to provide economic security for all.

  • A universal basic income

  • could be an answer.

You see this little gadget?

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B1 US

羅伯特-賴克什麼是全民基本收入? (Robert Reich: What is Universal Basic Income?)

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    王惟惟 posted on 2021/01/14
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