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  • HEALTH VIEW BUT ALSO DAMAGING FROM ANY SENSE OF CREDIBILITY

  • FROM ANY SENSE OF CREDIBILITY THAT THE U.S. GOVERNMENT MAY

  • THAT THE U.S. GOVERNMENT MAY NEED IN THE FUTURE WHEN IT IS

  • NEED IN THE FUTURE WHEN IT IS APPROPRIATE.

  • APPROPRIATE. >> YOUVE BEEN IN OFFICE AT THE

  • >> YOUVE BEEN IN OFFICE AT THE WHITE HOUSE WHEN THERE HAVE BEEN

  • WHITE HOUSE WHEN THERE HAVE BEEN CRISES THAT PEOPLE WORRY ABOUT.

  • CRISES THAT PEOPLE WORRY ABOUT. AND YOUVE GOT TO THINK ABOUT

  • AND YOUVE GOT TO THINK ABOUT THE MESSAGING AND LISTEN, WHEN

  • THE MESSAGING AND LISTEN, WHEN PRESIDENT TRUMP WAS IN OFFICE

  • PRESIDENT TRUMP WAS IN OFFICE AFTER THE RECESSION, I REMEMBER

  • AFTER THE RECESSION, I REMEMBER BEING CRITICAL AT TIMES OF THE

  • BEING CRITICAL AT TIMES OF THE ADMINISTRATION THAT WAS OVERLY

  • ADMINISTRATION THAT WAS OVERLY OPTIMISTIC ABOUT THINGS THAT

  • OPTIMISTIC ABOUT THINGS THAT THEY SHOULD LESS OPTIMISTIC

  • THEY SHOULD LESS OPTIMISTIC ABOUT BUT WHAT DO YOU THINK IT

  • ABOUT BUT WHAT DO YOU THINK IT NEEDS TO BE?

  • NEEDS TO BE? THE STOCK MARKET THAT DONALD

  • THE STOCK MARKET THAT DONALD TRUMP CARRIES ON ALL THE TIME?

  • TRUMP CARRIES ON ALL THE TIME? THE BOTTOM LINE, JUST PUT UP A

  • THE BOTTOM LINE, JUST PUT UP A CHART OF THE DOW, 1929 OR

  • CHART OF THE DOW, 1929 OR SOMETHING, IN THE DEPRESSION,

  • SOMETHING, IN THE DEPRESSION, STOCK MARKET TENDS TO GO UP OVER

  • STOCK MARKET TENDS TO GO UP OVER TIME AND TENDS TO RECOVER FROM

  • TIME AND TENDS TO RECOVER FROM THE RECESSION AND FROM 9/11

  • THE RECESSION AND FROM 9/11 WITHIN A MONTH.

  • WITHIN A MONTH. WHAT’S THE REAL WORRY HERE?

  • WHAT’S THE REAL WORRY HERE? IS IT THE LIFESTYLE CHANGE WERE

  • IS IT THE LIFESTYLE CHANGE WERE GOING TO HAVE AND SAYING, I’M

  • GOING TO HAVE AND SAYING, I’M NOT GOING TO THE BALLPARK OR

  • NOT GOING TO THE BALLPARK OR CASINO OR A TRIP, THEY DON’T

  • CASINO OR A TRIP, THEY DON’T SPEND MONEY OR STAY HOME, WHAT’S

  • SPEND MONEY OR STAY HOME, WHAT’S THE THING THAT YOURE MOST

  • THE THING THAT YOURE MOST WORRIED ABOUT WHEN IT COMES TO

  • WORRIED ABOUT WHEN IT COMES TO THE ECONOMY?

  • THE ECONOMY? >> SO WHAT I WOULD SAY IS

  • >> SO WHAT I WOULD SAY IS EXACTLY WHAT YOU SAID, WHICH IS

  • EXACTLY WHAT YOU SAID, WHICH IS THE STOCK MARKET IS NOT BEING

  • THE STOCK MARKET IS NOT BEING IRRATIONAL.

  • IRRATIONAL. THEY HAVE VERY LITTLE

  • THEY HAVE VERY LITTLE INFORMATION BECAUSE WE HAVE SO

  • INFORMATION BECAUSE WE HAVE SO LITTLE TESTING HERE, AND SO

  • LITTLE TESTING HERE, AND SO THEY, JUST LIKE ALL OF US, DON’T

  • THEY, JUST LIKE ALL OF US, DON’T REALLY KNOW WHAT THE IMPACT IS

  • REALLY KNOW WHAT THE IMPACT IS GOING TO BE ON THE AVERAGE

  • GOING TO BE ON THE AVERAGE AMERICAN AND THE AVERAGE

  • AMERICAN AND THE AVERAGE AMERICAN’S LIFE, AND THE THING I

  • AMERICAN’S LIFE, AND THE THING I WOULD EXPLAIN TO PEOPLE IS THAT

  • WOULD EXPLAIN TO PEOPLE IS THAT NORMALLY IN A CRISIS LIKE AN

  • NORMALLY IN A CRISIS LIKE AN EARTHQUAKE, ECONOMISTS THINK,

  • EARTHQUAKE, ECONOMISTS THINK, YES, GROWTH GOES DOWN ONE

  • YES, GROWTH GOES DOWN ONE QUARTER, BUT IT REBOUNDS WHEN

  • QUARTER, BUT IT REBOUNDS WHEN YOU REBUILD.

  • YOU REBUILD. THAT EVEN HAPPENED IN SARS, WENT

  • THAT EVEN HAPPENED IN SARS, WENT DOWN IN THE SECOND QUARTER OF

  • DOWN IN THE SECOND QUARTER OF 2003 AND REBUILDS.

  • 2003 AND REBUILDS. IF YOU CANCEL YOUR SPRING

  • IF YOU CANCEL YOUR SPRING VACATION, YOURE PROBABLY NOT SO

  • VACATION, YOURE PROBABLY NOT SO ANYBODY WITH THE OLD MODE WILL

  • ANYBODY WITH THE OLD MODE WILL HAVE RECESSION IN THE FIRST

  • HAVE RECESSION IN THE FIRST QUARTER OR DOWNTURN BUT IT WILL

  • QUARTER OR DOWNTURN BUT IT WILL COME BACK EASY IN THE SECOND OR

  • COME BACK EASY IN THE SECOND OR THIRD QUARTER AND SECOND, A LOT

  • THIRD QUARTER AND SECOND, A LOT OF THAT CONSUMER ACTIVITY, 70%

  • OF THAT CONSUMER ACTIVITY, 70% OF THAT, GDP IN THE U.S., THE

  • OF THAT, GDP IN THE U.S., THE THING WEVE BEEN COUNTING ON AND

  • THING WEVE BEEN COUNTING ON AND REBOUND LATER.

  • REBOUND LATER. >> LET ME ASK YOU THIS.

  • >> LET ME ASK YOU THIS. NOT TOO MUCH TIME LEFT BUT ABOUT

  • NOT TOO MUCH TIME LEFT BUT ABOUT THE THINGS THE GOVERNMENT CAN DO

  • THE THINGS THE GOVERNMENT CAN DO AND WOULD HAVE DONE AND

  • AND WOULD HAVE DONE AND PRESIDENTS THAT YOU WORKED FOR,

  • PRESIDENTS THAT YOU WORKED FOR, TAX CUTS?

  • TAX CUTS? ARE WE TALKING ABOUT THE FED

  • ARE WE TALKING ABOUT THE FED CUTTING INTEREST RATES?

  • CUTTING INTEREST RATES? I KNOW THAT’S NOT SOMETHING THE

  • I KNOW THAT’S NOT SOMETHING THE PRESIDENT WILL TELL THE FED TO

  • PRESIDENT WILL TELL THE FED TO DO.

  • DO. THIS PRESIDENT COUNTRYDOESN’T SE

  • THIS PRESIDENT COUNTRYDOESN’T SE HAVE PROBLEMS WITH THAT.

  • HAVE PROBLEMS WITH THAT. >> WHETHER YOU GO ON TRAVEL,

  • >> WHETHER YOU GO ON TRAVEL, IT’S NOT CLEAR, IF FED CUTTING

  • IT’S NOT CLEAR, IF FED CUTTING RATES, WILL NOT HAVE BIG OF AN

  • RATES, WILL NOT HAVE BIG OF AN EFFECT.

  • EFFECT. I THINK WHAT I WOULD BE DOING IS

  • I THINK WHAT I WOULD BE DOING IS SPENDING DRAMATICALLY ON THE

  • SPENDING DRAMATICALLY ON THE THINGS WE NEED TO PREPARE.

  • THINGS WE NEED TO PREPARE. THAT’S THE TWO-FOR.

  • THAT’S THE TWO-FOR. YOURE DOING IT TO GET TEST

  • YOURE DOING IT TO GET TEST KITS, WHATEVER IS NECESSARY TO

  • KITS, WHATEVER IS NECESSARY TO HELP PEOPLE STAY HOME IF THEY

  • HELP PEOPLE STAY HOME IF THEY NEED AND HELP PEOPLE GO TO WORK.

  • NEED AND HELP PEOPLE GO TO WORK. THAT KIND OF ALL-OUT

  • THAT KIND OF ALL-OUT MOBILIZATION, MANY WAR-LIKE

  • MOBILIZATION, MANY WAR-LIKE MOBILIZATION WE GIVE PEOPLE AND

  • MOBILIZATION WE GIVE PEOPLE AND CONTAIN IT AND YEAH, IT MIGHT

  • CONTAIN IT AND YEAH, IT MIGHT GIVE US AN ECONOMIC BOUNCE, A

HEALTH VIEW BUT ALSO DAMAGING FROM ANY SENSE OF CREDIBILITY

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