I willtalkabouthistoricaltrendsineducation, labor, marketonearnings.
Secondly, I willbetalkingaboutforcesthatworks, explainingthistrendsandfinally, thefactorsthatunderlietheremainingdisparitiesinthelabormarket.
Sothefacts I willstartfromeducation.
I wassayingbeforethatthesedaysthereisnoreasontobelievethatwomenarelessproductivethanman, andthisisprobablythemainreasonbehindthat.
Sothisfiguregivesyouthecollegegraduationratesinthe U.
S.
For, uh, bytheageof 35 fourpeopleboardbetween 18 70 in 1980.
Soasyoucanseehereattheverybeginningofthesampleperiod, late 19thcenturyearly 19 early 20thcentury, veryfewpeopleweregraduatingamongeithermenorwomen, so 5% graduationratealmostequalacrossgenders.
So, forexample, ifyoucompareSwedenandNorwaytosouthernEuropeancountries, youseethatthesedayswomenhaveunemploymentrateinSwedenandNorwayofabout 80% whileit's only 50 to 60% forexample, inItalyandSpain.
AnotherveryimportanttakeawaypointfromthosegraphsisthatthissustainedincreaseinfemaleemploymentratesthatwehaveobservedsinceWorldWarTwoisnotreally a sortofhistoricalnecessitybeforeWorldWarTwo.
Andthisisthereasonwhy I put a sortofredlinedivide.
Butwecanmake a verysimilarconsiderationaswe'vemadefromfemaleemploymenthere.
Sothistograssrepresentstherelativefemaleearnings, a setpercentageofmaleearning.
SothisisUKandUSbothintheUKandtheUSThathas a veryclearupwardtrendinfemaleearnings.
SointheUK, themediawomanwasearningabout 50% offthemedianmanin 1970 onthesedaysisabout 83% similarinthe U.
S.
Soverystrongconvergenceinearnings.
IfyoulookatEuropeancountrieshereofsampleFrance, GermanyandItaly, there's beensomewhatof a sortofincreasingtrend.
Butthere's twothingsthatoneneedtonotice.
Firstofall, theconvergenceislesspronouncedthaninAngloSaxoncountries, andalsothelevelis a lothigher.
Sointermsoffrelativeearnings, womenaredoing a lotbetter.
InFrance, forexample, 85% inItaly 85 to 90% andeveninGermanythaninthe U.
S.
AndintheUK, thisisduetotwomainreasonsoneobviousreasonisthatthesecountriesincontinentalEuropehave a muchmorecompressedwishdistribution.
They'remuchmoresortoff.
Theyhavemoreequalweightsettingpoliciesand a muchmoresortofconcentratedwishdistribution, whichmeansthatifyoutake a verybrought a verywideandweightdistribution, anygivendifferencesinthecharacteristicsofworkingmenandwomenbecomesamplifiedin a countrythathasverybig, forexample, returnstoeducationalreturnstoexperience.
Why, wheretheregistervisionisverycompressed, thereis a muchtosortoffamplifydifferencesincharacteristics.
Sothefactthattheservicesectorwasexpandingwasbasicallypullingwomenoutofthehouseholdandintothelabormarketintojobsforwhichtheyhad a sortofhistoricalcomparativeadvantage.
I startedtoworkinthesectorforwhichtheyhad a comparativeadvantage, anotherveryimportantforceonwhichwewilltalkagainmorewhenittookaboutremainingdisparitiesand I willtalkagaintomorrow.
Talkingaboutgendernormsandidentityisthatduringthiswholeperiodtherewas a veryimportantevolutionofgendernorms, expectationsandidentity.
So, ofcourse, thereisanincreasingwomeninsortofprofessionaldegrees, likemedicalschoollawdegreesNBA's.
Now.
Thisalsoimplied a veryimportantchangesidentitiesonsocialnorms.
Sothereis a transitionfrom a situationinwhichwemenworkbecausethefamilyreallyneedstheincome.
So a situationinwhichwomenworkwhenthehusbanddoesn't earnenoughto a situationinwhichwomenworkbecausetheirjobsarenotonly a waytosortofincreasedfamilyincome, butalso a waytosortofcharacterizeondefine, onceidentity, workforsociety.
Sothentheimportantthingisthatwhathappenedfirst, economicshocksofthechangeinidentityon I'm afraid I'm notgonnabeabletogiveyou a definiteansweronthat.
Butthere's a lotoffevidencethatthere's a lotofreleasesuggestingevidencethattherehavebeenmajoreconomiconhistoricalchanges, notnecessarilyeconomicchangesthathappenedduringthe 20thcentury.
English A veryhighproportionofthemweresortofmobilizedtothewar, andthereforetheyleftjobsintypicalmaleoccupationslike, forexample, heavymanufacturingmilitaryindustrytransportationintoSotheyweretheleft, thosejobsvacant.
Butgiventhatthosejobshadtobeoperatedbysomebodytherewereoperatedbywomenandwomenweresortoffpulledin a completelyunexpectedandalsosubstantialwayintothisjobs.
Butthisimpliedthatthenextgenerationofftheirsonsandtheirdaughtersortoflearnedthatwomencandotheirjobsandthatcandothisparticularjobsonthisimplythesortoff, graduallyevolvingsocialnormaboutthekindofjobsthatwomenandmendoingthelabormarketanotherveryimportantchangesrelatedtowhat I wastalkingbeforeabouttheriseoftheserviceeconomy.
Offcourse, thissortofbecame a viciousassault, a sortof a virtuouscircle, becausetheexposuretoworkingwomeninturnweakenstereotypesaboutthekindoffjobsthatwomencandoon.
Thereissomeevidencethatintheseshowsthatobservingwomeninthelabormarketandevenmoreinsortofleadershippositionsinpoliticsandthemanagementhas a beneficialeffectonmembersectionsaboutwemissproductivity.
I will.
I willcometothatin a bit.
Sono, giventhatwehavetakenstockof a verybroadvarietyofstoriesthatexplaingenderconvergenceinthelabormarket, I'm gonnatook a lotmoreaboutwhatreallyiskindofhinderingfurtherconvergence.
Andthisis a veryimportantquestionthesedaysbecausedespiteallthenicetrendthatcashonlysofar, I wasalsoshowingyouthatstartingfromthesortoflate 20 centurytothousands, thisconvergencehasverystronglydecelerated, ifnotcompletelystopped, insomecountry.
Soweneedtounderstandwhat's goingonthere.
Um, so, as I saidbefore, genderconvergencedoesn't seemtobeveryeasilyextrapolatedtofuturedecadeson.
Inparticular, womenremainunderrepresentedinhighstatus, highincomeoccupation, despite, as I saidbefore, equalizededucationopportunitiesandequalpaylegislation.
Sobyselectingfulltimeemployees, thisisverymuch a sortofunderstatementoffthetotalwhichgapbetweenmenandwomenbecause, ofcourse, parttimeworkerssentorlesson a nightlybasisthatfulltimeworkersandevenmoreon a sortofburningspaces.
Soasyoucanseehere, ifyoutakeoutthescoresortofthreehourliarswith 20% of 30% whichgaponanotherfewerliarsherewiththewagegapbelow 10% thereis a hugemiddlesectionoffcountriesinwhichtheearninggapis a solid 15%.
Okay, so 15% stronglysignificant, stronglypersistent, andthenthemain.
Themainquestionis, whydoesthat?
So I'm gonnatalkhereaboutthreemostactiveareasofresearchthesedays.
Thisis a relativelynewareaofresearch, Sothestateoftheartupuntil, say, the 19 ninetieswaasmostlooking a primaryfactorsofgendersoffgenderinequalitieslikeproductivityanddiscriminationSoifyoutakethe 1999 LaborEconomicsHandbookchapterbyAnthologyonwhy I'm Blank.
So, forexample, askingquestionaboutdomenandwomenonedifferentthingsfromtheirlabormarketexperiencestomenandwomenwantdifferentthingsinlifearegenerallyandalsotheyhavebeenveryimportant.
So, forexample, thereisthispaperthatshowsthatwentstakesarelow.
Rememberforbetteragainstwomenwearstakesarehigh.
Womenperformbetteragainstman, asthinks, ofcourse, a veryimportantbecausewheneveryouwanttoextrapolatefrom a labexperimenttothelabormarketthekindofstakeswe'retalkingabout, a completelydifferent.
Insteadofsortofexpandingmydiscussionaboutthiskindoflabexperiments, I wouldliketogiveyoutwomaincaveatstowardstheinterpretationoffthisevidenceongenderpreferences.
So I'm justgivingyoutheresultsfromoneexperimentwithabout 80 men.
These 80 menaretestedfortheamountoftestosteronetaking a samplefromthesalivaon.
Thenthey'reaskedtoperformsomeriskinvestmentwith a relativelylimitedendowment.
I thinkthisshowthatinthisdiagramthatthereis a milebutpositivecorrelationbetweentheamountoftestosteroneinyoursalivaonthedollaramountinvestmentinthiskindofriskylottery.
Sothecompressionhereiswhetherwe'remaking a verylongleapfromthelab, a labexperimentinwhichthestakesarelow, inwhichthesubjectmightnotbeentirelyrepresentativeoffworkingmenandworkingwomenand, mostimportantly, inwishedtheenvironmentisshortlived.
Thereisn't thatsortoffdaytodayrepeated a longerterminteractionthatweobserveinthelabormarket.
Now, ofcourse, onecomingoff a criticismofthiskindofexperimentitisthroughthelabexperimentsmaynotbefullyrepresentativeofthelabormarket, butthisexperimentreferstotheteachingprofession, a professionalthatishistoricallylike a femaleprofession.
Soifanything, thisisverymuchtheprofessional, whichweexpectwomentobehavesortofcompetitivelyandconfidentlymorethan, say, ininvestmentbanking, sowedon't have a similarexperimentforinvestmentback.
Ifinstead, theconstraintscomefromthelaborsupplysize, thereisnot a bigenoughpool a wellqualifiedwomenforthatparticularsortofprotectedjob.
Thenquotasmayactuallybackfire, becausebyselectingonlyfromonePool, 1 mayattract a sortoflowerqualitypoolofhireson, therefore, reinforcingthesortofstereotypesthatwomenarenotgoodenoughforcertainprofessions.
Anotherimportantquestionabouthavinggenderquartersinstartoffhighlyimportantoccupationsoccupations, forexample, inpoliticsandinmanagerialjobsisreallytounderstandhowtheformacionoffteamswiththedifferentgenderpresentshasanimpactondecisionspercolatingdown, forexample, for a companypoliciesororordecisionsmadeinpolitics.
So, ofcourse, thereis, forexample, thatcanberememberedastherecentevidenceatthemomentonthefactthatgenderboardsinwhichthereis a higherpresenceofwomentheymayactuallymakeactuallydifferentdecisionabout, forexample, humanresourcepracticesabouthiringorfiringpractices.
Andthisthing's kindofroleofwomeninevitablyhassomelabormarketeffectswon't verysimplewaytoseethewomenbeingtheprimaryprovidersoffchildcarealsobearsomekindofburdenintheirlabormarketprospectsistoobserve a verysimplepieceofevidence.
Sothisisresultsfrom a recentpaperbyHarryClevelandandcoffersthattakesDanishadministrativedataandfollowscouplesfromthetimefrombeforethetimeyouwishtohavetheirfirstchildforabout 10 yearsafterfirstbirth.
Sounlessthiskindofpsychologicaldifferencesturnsonthemoment a womanhas a child, then, ofcourse, is a lotmoredifficulttoexplaindifferencesinlabormarketwithinnatedifferencesbetweenGeneral, uh, what I'veshownyoubeforewasdatafromDenmark, whichareallthemoresurprisingbecausewhenwethinkthatScandinaviancountries, andespeciallyDenmark, hasinplacesomerelativelygenderneutralfamilypoliciesontherelativelyequalapproachtolabormarkets, theyrefertotheaverageworker.
What I'm goingtoshowyounextissomethingcompletelydifferent.
Thatcostfromthevery, verytopoffthedistributionoffmalesandfemalesearning A refersto a verysmallandselectedsampleoffgraduatesfrom a topbusinessschoolinthe U.
Butalsotolookattheimpactofwork, life, balance, considerationincareersinwhichthelonghourscultureandthecontinuessortofworkattachmentthecontinuesinvolvementandthecompetitivenessmaybeparticularlydetrimentaltomenandwomenwhowanttohave a sortoffsolidpresenceinthehouse.
SowhatTheWheelerfromthisstudy.
Thisbodyhas a relativelysmallsample, sowe'renottalkingaboutDanishregisteredeight.
Ofcourse, we'retalking a smallsampleofgraduates, butwehaveextremelygoodinformationonthissample, extremelypreciseinformationonexactlywhatthey'vedonebeforegraduatingfromthe M.